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Felix FirstRed
20

Felix FirstRed

The Counter-Puncher

🥊 Day Trader 📅 312 years old (Born 1714)

"Let them punch themselves out. Then I strike."

Ancient beyond imagining—a Japanese samurai master who somehow survived three centuries. Boxing gloves hang next to a katana on his wall.

📊 View Performance: 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months YTD 1 Year 2 Years
Feb 14, 2024 → Feb 14, 2026 (731 days)
🎯 Asset Class: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All Assets 114

📊 2 Years Performance: We gave Felix FirstRed $10,000 and let her trade 114 symbols from Jan 2, 2024 to today. 🟢 LIVE

$9,904
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at: $10,000 ($-96)
-0.96%
2-Year ROI
44.4%
Win Rate
34,068
Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

-0.2%
1 Month
+0.5%
3 Months
+0.4%
6 Months
+0.2%
YTD
-0.6%
1 Year

Equity Curve (2 Years)

Combined P&L across all 114 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (2 Years)

Stock Volume
$303,624,620
30,773 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$30,124,525
3,295 trades
Crypto Fees
$75,311
0.25% of volume

⚠️ Important Note: This simulation tests each symbol with its own $10K account (not pooled). Crypto symbols can show 40-75%+ fee drag due to high trade frequency.

Stocks are FREE on Alpaca, so the ~100 stock symbols have zero fee impact.

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Short first red after 3 greens, 0.5% target

After three green candles, buyers are extended. The first red candle signals exhaustion—profit-taking has begun. Felix shorts for 0.5%.

🎯 Best Suited For

Overextended momentum, end of runs

"Wait for weakness, then strike. The tired always fall."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

He's not predicting tops—he's fading exhaustion. Works in any market, in any century.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

3 consecutive green candles, THEN first red candle appears
→ SHORT at close of first red candle (fade the exhaustion)

📉 Exit Conditions

• TARGET: Price ≤ entry × 0.995 (+0.5% gain on short)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≥ entry × 1.003 (-0.3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: 15 bars (quick fade)

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

GREEN_STREAK: 3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT: 0.5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT: 0.3%
MAX_HOLD_BARS: 15
COOLDOWN_BARS: 78

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Munehisa Homma's candlestick patterns in Dojima

Munehisa Homma was a rice trader in 18th century Japan who developed candlestick charting. His insight: after a strong move, there is always exhaustion.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

RIOT
+46.6%
301 trades
SLB
+32.7%
302 trades
META
+28.2%
303 trades
RIVN
+26.1%
301 trades
USO
+16.1%
304 trades
MU
+15.0%
299 trades
XOM
+14.8%
303 trades
JNJ
+14.1%
301 trades
PYPL
+14.0%
297 trades
RBLX
+13.8%
302 trades

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

PEPEUSD ₿
-43.3%
290 trades
SQQQ
-28.2%
301 trades
LCID
-27.7%
298 trades
DOTUSD ₿
-23.2%
302 trades
SNOW
-19.9%
302 trades

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 2 Years: Feb 14, 2024 → Feb 14, 2026 (731 days)
Rank Symbol Return Start Final Value Trades Win Rate Fees Net Max DD Avg Hold Refunds Last Refund
1 RIOT +46.64% $10,000 $14,664 301 49% - +$4,664 -9.1% 0.2h ✓ -
2 SLB +32.73% $10,000 $13,273 302 51% - +$3,273 -3.7% 0.6h ✓ -
3 META +28.21% $10,000 $12,821 303 50% - +$2,821 -3.9% 0.6h ✓ -
4 RIVN +26.09% $10,000 $12,609 301 46% - +$2,609 -15.7% 0.3h ✓ -
5 USO +16.15% $10,000 $11,615 304 49% - +$1,615 -9.9% 0.7h ✓ -
6 MU +14.96% $10,000 $11,496 299 47% - +$1,496 -4.9% 0.5h ✓ -
7 XOM +14.84% $10,000 $11,484 303 53% - +$1,484 -5.5% 0.8h ✓ -
8 JNJ +14.05% $10,000 $11,405 301 52% - +$1,405 -3.1% 1.0h ✓ -
9 PYPL +13.99% $10,000 $11,399 297 49% - +$1,399 -5.5% 0.6h ✓ -
10 RBLX +13.77% $10,000 $11,377 302 47% - +$1,377 -6.0% 0.4h ✓ -
11 AXP +13.53% $10,000 $11,353 301 49% - +$1,353 -2.9% 0.8h ✓ -
12 OXY +13.31% $10,000 $11,331 302 49% - +$1,331 -6.5% 0.7h ✓ -
13 UVXY +12.96% $10,000 $11,296 301 47% - +$1,296 -19.1% 0.3h ✓ -
14 REGN +12.38% $10,000 $11,238 300 46% - +$1,238 -5.2% 0.6h ✓ -
15 VXX +11.16% $10,000 $11,116 301 42% - +$1,116 -8.6% 0.4h ✓ -
16 UNH +9.93% $10,000 $10,993 303 46% - +$993 -7.8% 0.7h ✓ -
17 MRNA +8.61% $10,000 $10,861 300 43% - +$861 -8.7% 0.3h ✓ -
18 COST +8.33% $10,000 $10,833 303 49% - +$833 -6.5% 0.9h ✓ -
19 AMGN +7.72% $10,000 $10,772 303 49% - +$772 -6.9% 0.7h ✓ -
20 LLY +6.26% $10,000 $10,626 304 47% - +$626 -9.2% 0.7h ✓ -
21 XLE +6.18% $10,000 $10,618 305 49% - +$618 -5.7% 0.9h ✓ -
22 PLTR +5.77% $10,000 $10,577 301 46% - +$577 -6.1% 0.3h ✓ -
23 CSCO +5.73% $10,000 $10,573 302 47% - +$573 -3.8% 0.9h ✓ -
24 VZ +5.65% $10,000 $10,565 304 48% - +$565 -6.3% 0.9h ✓ -
25 COP +5.42% $10,000 $10,542 300 45% - +$542 -7.0% 0.7h ✓ -
26 MA +5.10% $10,000 $10,510 305 48% - +$510 -4.9% 0.9h ✓ -
27 TSLA +5.07% $10,000 $10,507 302 45% - +$507 -11.2% 0.4h ✓ -
28 XLK +4.91% $10,000 $10,491 303 53% - +$491 -9.0% 0.9h ✓ -
29 ARM +4.65% $10,000 $10,465 302 46% - +$465 -13.0% 0.3h ✓ -
30 MDT +4.46% $10,000 $10,446 305 49% - +$446 -4.0% 0.9h ✓ -
31 TLT +4.42% $10,000 $10,442 303 52% - +$442 -2.6% 1.1h ✓ -
32 AVGO +4.36% $10,000 $10,436 302 46% - +$436 -7.5% 0.5h ✓ -
33 CRWD +4.20% $10,000 $10,420 302 43% - +$420 -6.7% 0.5h ✓ -
34 UNIUSD ₿ +3.96% $10,000 $10,396 301 42% - +$396 -10.5% 0.3h ✓ -
35 PG +3.69% $10,000 $10,369 303 46% - +$369 -6.0% 1.0h ✓ -
36 GOOGL +3.55% $10,000 $10,355 302 45% - +$355 -8.9% 0.7h ✓ -
37 MARA +3.50% $10,000 $10,350 301 45% - +$350 -16.2% 0.2h ✓ -
38 HD +3.17% $10,000 $10,317 303 46% - +$317 -5.1% 0.8h ✓ -
39 WMT +2.94% $10,000 $10,294 303 47% - +$294 -8.3% 0.9h ✓ -
40 TQQQ +2.50% $10,000 $10,250 302 46% - +$250 -10.2% 0.4h ✓ -
41 IBM +2.48% $10,000 $10,248 301 47% - +$248 -6.8% 0.8h ✓ -
42 MS +2.47% $10,000 $10,247 306 45% - +$247 -6.1% 0.7h ✓ -
43 XRPUSD ₿ +2.28% $10,000 $10,228 300 44% - +$228 -7.9% 0.4h ✓ -
44 VRTX +1.36% $10,000 $10,136 303 44% - +$136 -7.2% 0.7h ✓ -
45 MCD +1.36% $10,000 $10,136 300 49% - +$136 -7.2% 0.9h ✓ -
46 KO +1.31% $10,000 $10,131 291 46% - +$131 -4.5% 1.0h ✓ -
47 PEP +1.22% $10,000 $10,122 304 49% - +$122 -7.8% 0.9h ✓ -
48 SCHW +1.14% $10,000 $10,114 306 45% - +$114 -7.6% 0.8h ✓ -
49 ISRG +0.70% $10,000 $10,070 303 45% - +$70 -11.2% 0.7h ✓ -
50 INTC +0.06% $10,000 $10,006 301 42% - +$6 -10.8% 0.4h ✓ -
51 BTCUSD ₿ +0.00% $10,000 $10,000 NO ENTRY - - - -0.0% 0.0h ✓ -
52 XLF -0.43% $10,000 $9,957 306 48% - -$43 -5.7% 1.0h ✓ -
53 ADBE -0.72% $10,000 $9,928 301 43% - -$72 -6.2% 0.6h ✓ -
54 PM -0.74% $10,000 $9,926 301 50% - -$74 -5.9% 0.9h ✓ -
55 GILD -1.11% $10,000 $9,889 302 42% - -$111 -14.9% 0.7h ✓ -
56 BRK-B -1.37% $10,000 $9,863 300 47% - -$137 -6.9% 0.9h ✓ -
57 MSFT -1.40% $10,000 $9,860 304 47% - -$140 -7.6% 0.9h ✓ -
58 GME -1.44% $10,000 $9,856 300 44% - -$144 -15.4% 0.3h ✓ -
59 ORCL -1.66% $10,000 $9,834 302 43% - -$166 -8.2% 0.6h ✓ -
60 IWM -1.67% $10,000 $9,833 301 49% - -$167 -6.8% 0.8h ✓ -
61 CRM -1.68% $10,000 $9,832 302 43% - -$168 -10.1% 0.6h ✓ -
62 CVX -1.75% $10,000 $9,825 305 47% - -$175 -8.1% 0.8h ✓ -
63 QQQ -1.88% $10,000 $9,812 309 48% - -$188 -9.9% 1.0h ✓ -
64 CMCSA -2.42% $10,000 $9,758 305 45% - -$242 -12.3% 0.8h ✓ -
65 C -2.49% $10,000 $9,751 302 45% - -$249 -7.3% 0.7h ✓ -
66 HOOD -2.84% $10,000 $9,716 301 42% - -$284 -11.4% 0.3h ✓ -
67 VTI -2.90% $10,000 $9,710 301 51% - -$290 -7.8% 1.1h ✓ -
68 SPY -3.31% $10,000 $9,669 305 49% - -$331 -5.7% 1.1h ✓ -
69 BLK -3.59% $10,000 $9,641 307 43% - -$359 -9.5% 0.8h ✓ -
70 ETHUSD ₿ -3.77% $10,000 $9,623 301 43% - -$377 -9.4% 0.5h ✓ -
71 AMD -3.81% $10,000 $9,619 301 45% - -$381 -11.2% 0.4h ✓ -
72 SOLUSD ₿ -3.85% $10,000 $9,615 301 43% - -$385 -13.0% 0.3h ✓ -
73 PANW -3.93% $10,000 $9,607 304 43% - -$393 -9.2% 0.6h ✓ -
74 GS -4.34% $10,000 $9,566 303 46% - -$434 -7.7% 0.7h ✓ -
75 AMZN -4.35% $10,000 $9,565 300 43% - -$435 -14.5% 0.7h ✓ -
76 JPM -4.50% $10,000 $9,550 302 44% - -$450 -8.7% 0.8h ✓ -
77 GLD -4.72% $10,000 $9,528 306 50% - -$472 -6.0% 1.1h ✓ -
78 BIIB -5.73% $10,000 $9,427 301 43% - -$573 -14.5% 0.6h ✓ -
79 TMO -5.75% $10,000 $9,425 301 44% - -$575 -10.1% 0.8h ✓ -
80 WFC -6.04% $10,000 $9,397 302 43% - -$604 -9.2% 0.7h ✓ -
81 SOXL -6.07% $10,000 $9,393 303 46% - -$607 -17.9% 0.3h ✓ -
82 ARKK -6.45% $10,000 $9,355 303 45% - -$645 -11.8% 0.5h ✓ -
83 DOGEUSD ₿ -6.59% $10,000 $9,341 300 42% - -$659 -16.2% 0.3h ✓ -
84 LTCUSD ₿ -6.60% $10,000 $9,340 302 42% - -$660 -13.7% 0.4h ✓ -
85 DIA -6.65% $10,000 $9,335 304 50% - -$665 -7.3% 1.1h ✓ -
86 NFLX -7.22% $10,000 $9,278 302 43% - -$722 -9.2% 0.7h ✓ -
87 SOFI -7.80% $10,000 $9,220 302 41% - -$780 -13.7% 0.3h ✓ -
88 BMY -8.19% $10,000 $9,181 302 41% - -$819 -12.2% 0.7h ✓ -
89 AAPL -8.42% $10,000 $9,158 305 42% - -$842 -9.9% 0.8h ✓ -
90 VOO -8.50% $10,000 $9,150 304 49% - -$850 -8.8% 1.1h ✓ -
91 V -8.57% $10,000 $9,143 302 45% - -$857 -11.1% 0.9h ✓ -
92 ABBV -8.65% $10,000 $9,135 301 41% - -$865 -11.7% 0.8h ✓ -
93 AVAXUSD ₿ -8.85% $10,000 $9,115 300 43% - -$885 -13.7% 0.3h ✓ -
94 PFE -9.21% $10,000 $9,079 304 43% - -$921 -11.3% 0.8h ✓ -
95 NIO -9.33% $10,000 $9,067 301 39% - -$933 -22.0% 0.3h ✓ -
96 SMCI -9.76% $10,000 $9,024 301 42% - -$976 -18.7% 0.2h ✓ -
97 SLV -10.21% $10,000 $8,979 303 47% - -$1,021 -13.8% 0.8h ✓ -
98 DIS -11.12% $10,000 $8,888 303 42% - -$1,112 -12.2% 0.8h ✓ -
99 BAC -11.29% $10,000 $8,871 302 41% - -$1,129 -11.3% 0.8h ✓ -
100 ACN -11.73% $10,000 $8,827 302 41% - -$1,173 -15.5% 0.7h ✓ -
101 AMC -12.28% $10,000 $8,772 295 40% - -$1,228 -23.0% 0.3h ✓ -
102 LINKUSD ₿ -12.55% $10,000 $8,745 301 42% - -$1,255 -15.6% 0.4h ✓ -
103 NVDA -13.90% $10,000 $8,610 302 43% - -$1,390 -22.3% 0.5h ✓ -
104 NET -14.10% $10,000 $8,590 300 40% - -$1,410 -16.1% 0.4h ✓ -
105 SHIBUSD ₿ -14.59% $10,000 $8,541 297 39% - -$1,459 -20.5% 0.3h ✓ -
106 DKNG -17.51% $10,000 $8,249 299 37% - -$1,751 -22.9% 0.4h ✓ -
107 MRK -18.41% $10,000 $8,159 303 41% - -$1,841 -22.4% 0.8h ✓ -
108 SPXU -18.83% $10,000 $8,117 258 39% - -$1,883 -23.6% 0.5h ✓ -
109 COIN -18.93% $10,000 $8,107 301 40% - -$1,894 -24.0% 0.3h ✓ -
110 SNOW -19.92% $10,000 $8,008 302 38% - -$1,992 -24.1% 0.4h ✓ -
111 DOTUSD ₿ -23.18% $10,000 $7,682 302 38% - -$2,318 -24.6% 0.4h ✓ -
112 LCID -27.68% $10,000 $7,232 298 36% - -$2,768 -31.3% 0.2h ✓ -
113 SQQQ -28.20% $10,000 $7,180 301 31% - -$2,820 -29.1% 0.4h ✓ -
114 PEPEUSD ₿ -43.33% $10,000 $5,667 290 36% - -$4,333 -43.3% 0.2h ✓ -

👤 Personality

Defensive by nature. Never leads, always counters. Believes the best trades are reactions, not predictions.