13
Orion Breakout
The Early Bird
🌅 Day Trader 📅 36 years old (Born 1990)"The opening range is a coiled spring. When it breaks, ride the explosion."
Intense man in his mid-30s, already on his third coffee by 9:35 AM. Multiple monitors, standing desk. Dark circles under eyes, but alert.
Feb 14, 2025
→
Feb 14, 2026
(365 days)
📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Orion Breakout's performance over the last year across 114 symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$10,893
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$10,633
(+$260)
+2.44%
Last Year ROI
43.0%
Win Rate
8,920
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last Year)
Combined P&L across all 114 symbols
💰 Trading Activity (Last Year)
Stock Volume
$79,472,388
7,620 trades
Stock Fees
$0
✓ Commission FREE
Crypto Volume
$16,793,498
1,300 trades
Crypto Fees
$41,984
0.25% of volume
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Opening range breakout with 0.5% confirmation
Marks the high and low of the first 30 minutes. When price breaks above (or below) with 0.5% confirmation, enters the trade.
🎯 Best Suited For
High-volume stocks with gap openings
"The first thirty minutes tell you everything. Everything else is noise."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Institutions show their hand early. The first 30 minutes establishes what big players think the day's range should be.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
Close > OR_HIGH × 1.005 (0.5% confirmation above opening range high)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.99 (-1% loss)
• END_OF_DAY: Force exit at last bar of day (day trade style as swing)
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
OR_BARS:
6
BREAKOUT_CONFIRM_PCT:
0.5%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
1%
COOLDOWN_BARS:
78
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Toby Crabel's "Day Trading with Short Term Price Patterns"
Toby Crabel's 1990 book became so valuable it was pulled from publication. Original copies sell for thousands.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last Year:
Feb 14, 2025
→
Feb 14, 2026
(365 days)
| Rank | Symbol | Return | 1Y Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
SOXL
|
+106.73% | $9,001 | $18,608 | 110 | 46% | - | +$9,607 | -30.1% | 1.9h | ✓ | - |
| 2 |
RIOT
|
+76.60% | $8,530 | $15,064 | 105 | 47% | - | +$6,534 | -34.5% | 1.2h | ✓ | - |
| 3 |
XRPUSD ₿
|
+50.25% | $14,123 | $21,220 | 116 | 42% | - | +$7,097 | -23.0% | 2.5h | ✓ | - |
| 4 |
SMCI
|
+43.51% | $8,452 | $12,129 | 91 | 43% | - | +$3,677 | -38.0% | 1.5h | ✓ | - |
| 5 |
SLV
|
+37.08% | $9,601 | $13,161 | 87 | 59% | - | +$3,560 | -17.4% | 4.6h | ✓ | - |
| 6 |
MRNA
|
+34.42% | $6,648 | $8,937 | 104 | 44% | - | +$2,288 | -44.7% | 1.7h | ✓ | - |
| 7 |
LINKUSD ₿
|
+33.77% | $14,217 | $19,017 | 117 | 40% | - | +$4,801 | -22.6% | 2.1h | ✓ | - |
| 8 |
UNH
|
+33.62% | $8,621 | $11,519 | 72 | 50% | - | +$2,898 | -22.6% | 4.4h | ✓ | - |
| 9 |
MU
|
+27.18% | $14,616 | $18,589 | 90 | 48% | - | +$3,973 | -19.9% | 3.4h | ✓ | - |
| 10 |
PLTR
|
+26.77% | $12,336 | $15,638 | 91 | 46% | - | +$3,302 | -16.0% | 2.9h | ✓ | - |
| 11 |
GOOGL
|
+26.20% | $10,326 | $13,032 | 73 | 49% | - | +$2,706 | -13.9% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 12 |
NET
|
+26.19% | $10,643 | $13,431 | 89 | 52% | - | +$2,787 | -15.2% | 3.5h | ✓ | - |
| 13 |
NIO
|
+24.63% | $8,052 | $10,036 | 78 | 44% | - | +$1,983 | -31.2% | 1.8h | ✓ | - |
| 14 |
AMD
|
+23.53% | $10,778 | $13,314 | 85 | 44% | - | +$2,536 | -18.5% | 3.0h | ✓ | - |
| 15 |
RBLX
|
+23.19% | $10,426 | $12,844 | 83 | 39% | - | +$2,418 | -23.7% | 3.2h | ✓ | - |
| 16 |
SPXU
|
+22.04% | $9,831 | $11,998 | 62 | 52% | - | +$2,167 | -19.5% | 2.1h | ✓ | - |
| 17 |
ABBV
|
+19.79% | $10,816 | $12,956 | 66 | 52% | - | +$2,140 | -8.1% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 18 |
GLD
|
+19.52% | $8,995 | $10,751 | 51 | 65% | - | +$1,756 | -13.3% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 19 |
COIN
|
+17.64% | $14,058 | $16,537 | 90 | 41% | - | +$2,480 | -13.9% | 1.8h | ✓ | - |
| 20 |
ISRG
|
+15.79% | $10,107 | $11,703 | 72 | 47% | - | +$1,596 | -16.4% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 21 |
ORCL
|
+14.49% | $10,180 | $11,655 | 87 | 45% | - | +$1,475 | -24.5% | 4.0h | ✓ | - |
| 22 |
CMCSA
|
+14.29% | $9,727 | $11,116 | 72 | 54% | - | +$1,390 | -8.3% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 23 |
MARA
|
+11.79% | $10,452 | $11,684 | 101 | 39% | - | +$1,232 | -14.8% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 24 |
BLK
|
+11.68% | $9,121 | $10,186 | 67 | 54% | - | +$1,065 | -15.5% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 25 |
C
|
+11.26% | $12,143 | $13,510 | 91 | 54% | - | +$1,367 | -12.2% | 4.8h | ✓ | - |
| 26 |
CRM
|
+11.25% | $9,121 | $10,147 | 73 | 48% | - | +$1,026 | -24.2% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 27 |
LLY
|
+10.77% | $10,127 | $11,218 | 76 | 49% | - | +$1,091 | -11.6% | 4.4h | ✓ | - |
| 28 |
MS
|
+10.42% | $12,072 | $13,329 | 80 | 55% | - | +$1,258 | -14.4% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 29 |
VZ
|
+10.13% | $11,522 | $12,689 | 54 | 50% | - | +$1,167 | -12.4% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 30 |
MRK
|
+10.03% | $6,656 | $7,324 | 62 | 48% | - | +$668 | -38.3% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 31 |
GILD
|
+9.72% | $8,738 | $9,587 | 80 | 46% | - | +$849 | -25.0% | 4.6h | ✓ | - |
| 32 |
BAC
|
+9.71% | $10,134 | $11,118 | 66 | 61% | - | +$984 | -19.0% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 33 |
BMY
|
+9.21% | $12,532 | $13,686 | 66 | 44% | - | +$1,154 | -7.1% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 34 |
JPM
|
+8.99% | $9,929 | $10,822 | 63 | 52% | - | +$893 | -13.9% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 35 |
IWM
|
+8.84% | $10,825 | $11,782 | 76 | 54% | - | +$957 | -13.9% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 36 |
PYPL
|
+8.83% | $11,280 | $12,276 | 56 | 46% | - | +$996 | -18.0% | 4.3h | ✓ | - |
| 37 |
WMT
|
+8.33% | $10,538 | $11,416 | 75 | 48% | - | +$878 | -8.0% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 38 |
JNJ
|
+7.96% | $9,774 | $10,552 | 55 | 53% | - | +$778 | -17.3% | 5.6h | ✓ | - |
| 39 |
BIIB
|
+7.50% | $8,750 | $9,406 | 82 | 41% | - | +$656 | -16.8% | 3.8h | ✓ | - |
| 40 |
AMGN
|
+6.80% | $11,213 | $11,975 | 69 | 49% | - | +$762 | -10.0% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 41 |
PFE
|
+6.75% | $9,092 | $9,706 | 62 | 53% | - | +$614 | -10.8% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 42 |
ETHUSD ₿
|
+6.60% | $8,482 | $9,042 | 114 | 34% | - | +$560 | -23.5% | 2.8h | ✓ | - |
| 43 |
PEP
|
+6.43% | $9,132 | $9,719 | 53 | 47% | - | +$587 | -14.7% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 44 |
DIA
|
+6.01% | $10,339 | $10,961 | 47 | 60% | - | +$621 | -6.0% | 5.8h | ✓ | - |
| 45 |
LCID
|
+5.39% | $9,988 | $10,526 | 88 | 38% | - | +$538 | -16.8% | 1.4h | ✓ | - |
| 46 |
SPY
|
+4.94% | $10,555 | $11,076 | 42 | 52% | - | +$521 | -8.3% | 5.7h | ✓ | - |
| 47 |
ACN
|
+4.71% | $9,933 | $10,401 | 69 | 42% | - | +$468 | -9.3% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 48 |
VTI
|
+4.69% | $11,107 | $11,628 | 45 | 51% | - | +$521 | -9.9% | 5.6h | ✓ | - |
| 49 |
VOO
|
+3.96% | $10,530 | $10,947 | 42 | 50% | - | +$417 | -8.6% | 5.7h | ✓ | - |
| 50 |
XLK
|
+3.40% | $10,919 | $11,290 | 65 | 52% | - | +$371 | -10.6% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 51 |
KO
|
+3.33% | $11,236 | $11,610 | 52 | 52% | - | +$374 | -9.9% | 5.7h | ✓ | - |
| 52 |
META
|
+2.91% | $10,977 | $11,296 | 60 | 43% | - | +$319 | -12.8% | 4.3h | ✓ | - |
| 53 |
AMZN
|
+2.04% | $11,409 | $11,641 | 71 | 41% | - | +$233 | -13.9% | 4.4h | ✓ | - |
| 54 |
CVX
|
+1.58% | $9,573 | $9,724 | 59 | 49% | - | +$151 | -9.3% | 5.1h | ✓ | - |
| 55 |
WFC
|
+1.42% | $9,218 | $9,349 | 88 | 50% | - | +$131 | -25.4% | 4.8h | ✓ | - |
| 56 |
AXP
|
+1.35% | $9,556 | $9,685 | 75 | 51% | - | +$129 | -15.6% | 4.8h | ✓ | - |
| 57 |
INTC
|
+1.18% | $11,782 | $11,921 | 88 | 39% | - | +$139 | -21.7% | 2.8h | ✓ | - |
| 58 |
ARKK
|
+0.89% | $11,577 | $11,680 | 89 | 42% | - | +$103 | -14.6% | 3.8h | ✓ | - |
| 59 |
PM
|
+0.42% | $12,529 | $12,581 | 81 | 56% | - | +$53 | -11.5% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 60 |
SOFI
|
+0.40% | $13,193 | $13,246 | 104 | 38% | - | +$53 | -17.7% | 2.4h | ✓ | - |
| 61 |
BTCUSD ₿
|
+0.00% | $10,000 | $10,000 | NO ENTRY | - | - | - | -0.0% | 0.0h | ✓ | - |
| 62 |
RIVN
|
-0.26% | $7,504 | $7,485 | 101 | 35% | - | -$20 | -36.7% | 1.6h | ✓ | - |
| 63 |
MDT
|
-0.31% | $9,263 | $9,234 | 47 | 47% | - | -$29 | -17.8% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 64 |
SCHW
|
-1.29% | $10,025 | $9,895 | 70 | 43% | - | -$129 | -13.8% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 65 |
QQQ
|
-1.54% | $10,490 | $10,328 | 57 | 49% | - | -$162 | -12.6% | 5.5h | ✓ | - |
| 66 |
DOGEUSD ₿
|
-1.95% | $18,642 | $18,279 | 120 | 37% | - | -$364 | -22.8% | 2.1h | ✓ | - |
| 67 |
MSFT
|
-1.95% | $11,248 | $11,029 | 57 | 33% | - | -$219 | -15.6% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 68 |
GS
|
-2.32% | $11,403 | $11,139 | 85 | 44% | - | -$265 | -17.6% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 69 |
HD
|
-2.47% | $9,678 | $9,439 | 65 | 42% | - | -$239 | -23.2% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 70 |
CSCO
|
-2.78% | $9,541 | $9,276 | 69 | 45% | - | -$265 | -21.1% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 71 |
DKNG
|
-3.55% | $11,212 | $10,814 | 90 | 39% | - | -$398 | -21.5% | 2.9h | ✓ | - |
| 72 |
XLF
|
-4.12% | $9,986 | $9,574 | 48 | 48% | - | -$411 | -7.7% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 73 |
TMO
|
-4.13% | $10,265 | $9,841 | 70 | 41% | - | -$424 | -12.0% | 4.6h | ✓ | - |
| 74 |
MCD
|
-4.87% | $9,578 | $9,112 | 50 | 46% | - | -$466 | -14.4% | 5.1h | ✓ | - |
| 75 |
BRK-B
|
-4.98% | $11,456 | $10,886 | 43 | 40% | - | -$571 | -8.6% | 5.4h | ✓ | - |
| 76 |
ADBE
|
-5.16% | $8,622 | $8,177 | 67 | 40% | - | -$445 | -31.1% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 77 |
VRTX
|
-5.17% | $10,345 | $9,810 | 71 | 48% | - | -$535 | -19.1% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 78 |
TLT
|
-6.06% | $9,857 | $9,260 | 38 | 47% | - | -$597 | -7.9% | 5.9h | ✓ | - |
| 79 |
UNIUSD ₿
|
-6.48% | $16,298 | $15,242 | 116 | 30% | - | -$1,056 | -29.3% | 1.9h | ✓ | - |
| 80 |
MA
|
-6.52% | $10,659 | $9,964 | 57 | 40% | - | -$695 | -10.5% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 81 |
COST
|
-6.72% | $13,055 | $12,178 | 57 | 37% | - | -$877 | -7.8% | 5.4h | ✓ | - |
| 82 |
TSLA
|
-7.05% | $10,245 | $9,523 | 91 | 36% | - | -$722 | -21.5% | 2.9h | ✓ | - |
| 83 |
AAPL
|
-7.16% | $9,986 | $9,271 | 59 | 49% | - | -$715 | -27.0% | 4.6h | ✓ | - |
| 84 |
XOM
|
-7.27% | $9,883 | $9,165 | 72 | 47% | - | -$719 | -16.9% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 85 |
SLB
|
-7.52% | $9,392 | $8,686 | 82 | 44% | - | -$706 | -27.5% | 4.1h | ✓ | - |
| 86 |
TQQQ
|
-8.19% | $13,902 | $12,763 | 113 | 45% | - | -$1,139 | -24.3% | 3.4h | ✓ | - |
| 87 |
PG
|
-8.27% | $10,079 | $9,245 | 47 | 38% | - | -$834 | -17.0% | 5.5h | ✓ | - |
| 88 |
V
|
-9.74% | $10,145 | $9,157 | 49 | 35% | - | -$988 | -13.0% | 5.4h | ✓ | - |
| 89 |
LTCUSD ₿
|
-11.46% | $10,332 | $9,148 | 116 | 39% | - | -$1,184 | -32.7% | 2.9h | ✓ | - |
| 90 |
OXY
|
-11.47% | $9,188 | $8,134 | 80 | 38% | - | -$1,054 | -23.5% | 4.3h | ✓ | - |
| 91 |
VXX
|
-13.27% | $13,921 | $12,074 | 104 | 32% | - | -$1,847 | -16.1% | 2.0h | ✓ | - |
| 92 |
USO
|
-14.25% | $8,664 | $7,429 | 92 | 40% | - | -$1,235 | -31.7% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 93 |
IBM
|
-14.86% | $11,067 | $9,422 | 77 | 40% | - | -$1,645 | -18.5% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 94 |
NVDA
|
-15.27% | $17,706 | $15,002 | 84 | 37% | - | -$2,704 | -18.7% | 3.5h | ✓ | - |
| 95 |
HOOD
|
-17.00% | $11,511 | $9,554 | 99 | 32% | - | -$1,957 | -26.2% | 2.3h | ✓ | - |
| 96 |
DOTUSD ₿
|
-17.03% | $12,268 | $10,179 | 113 | 34% | - | -$2,089 | -29.2% | 2.3h | ✓ | - |
| 97 |
PANW
|
-17.73% | $9,485 | $7,804 | 81 | 41% | - | -$1,682 | -31.4% | 4.1h | ✓ | - |
| 98 |
UVXY
|
-18.25% | $15,537 | $12,702 | 113 | 31% | - | -$2,836 | -23.6% | 1.2h | ✓ | - |
| 99 |
COP
|
-20.26% | $8,581 | $6,842 | 83 | 41% | - | -$1,738 | -36.1% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 100 |
NFLX
|
-20.34% | $10,390 | $8,276 | 71 | 41% | - | -$2,113 | -23.3% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 101 |
AMC
|
-20.34% | $10,418 | $8,299 | 87 | 23% | - | -$2,119 | -33.0% | 1.6h | ✓ | - |
| 102 |
XLE
|
-21.34% | $9,953 | $7,829 | 74 | 41% | - | -$2,124 | -24.9% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 103 |
REGN
|
-21.64% | $8,715 | $6,829 | 93 | 41% | - | -$1,886 | -39.8% | 4.1h | ✓ | - |
| 104 |
SQQQ
|
-21.81% | $9,135 | $7,142 | 103 | 32% | - | -$1,992 | -48.5% | 2.3h | ✓ | - |
| 105 |
AVAXUSD ₿
|
-24.52% | $10,278 | $7,758 | 123 | 29% | - | -$2,520 | -39.7% | 2.1h | ✓ | - |
| 106 |
GME
|
-24.77% | $11,135 | $8,377 | 98 | 32% | - | -$2,758 | -25.4% | 2.1h | ✓ | - |
| 107 |
SHIBUSD ₿
|
-24.98% | $12,790 | $9,595 | 122 | 34% | - | -$3,195 | -33.4% | 2.2h | ✓ | - |
| 108 |
PEPEUSD ₿
|
-25.48% | $6,121 | $4,561 | 124 | 32% | - | -$1,560 | -64.0% | 1.4h | ✓ | - |
| 109 |
SNOW
|
-25.57% | $6,791 | $5,055 | 80 | 34% | - | -$1,736 | -58.7% | 3.4h | ✓ | - |
| 110 |
ARM
|
-25.99% | $9,998 | $7,400 | 80 | 31% | - | -$2,599 | -44.2% | 2.4h | ✓ | - |
| 111 |
AVGO
|
-27.23% | $9,112 | $6,630 | 87 | 39% | - | -$2,481 | -45.0% | 3.3h | ✓ | - |
| 112 |
DIS
|
-28.66% | $10,453 | $7,457 | 66 | 32% | - | -$2,996 | -32.6% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 113 |
CRWD
|
-33.41% | $17,534 | $11,676 | 83 | 27% | - | -$5,858 | -36.4% | 3.5h | ✓ | - |
| 114 |
SOLUSD ₿
|
-35.53% | $12,216 | $7,876 | 119 | 34% | - | -$4,340 | -47.4% | 1.9h | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Intense morning energy that crashes by 11 AM. Believes the first 30 minutes contain all the information you need for the day.