Orion Breakout
The Early Bird
🌅 Day Trader 📅 36 years old (Born 1990)"The opening range is a coiled spring. When it breaks, ride the explosion."
Intense man in his mid-30s, already on his third coffee by 9:35 AM. Multiple monitors, standing desk. Dark circles under eyes, but alert.
📊 2 Years Performance: We gave Orion Breakout $10,000 and let him trade 114 symbols from Jan 2, 2024 to today. 🟢 LIVE
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (2 Years)
Combined P&L across all 114 symbols
💰 Trading Activity (2 Years)
⚠️ Important Note:
This simulation tests each symbol with its own $10K account (not pooled).
Crypto symbols can show 40-75%+ fee drag due to high trade frequency.
Stocks are FREE on Alpaca, so the ~100 stock symbols have zero fee impact.
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Opening range breakout with 0.5% confirmation
Marks the high and low of the first 30 minutes. When price breaks above (or below) with 0.5% confirmation, enters the trade.
🎯 Best Suited For
High-volume stocks with gap openings
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Institutions show their hand early. The first 30 minutes establishes what big players think the day's range should be.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
📉 Exit Conditions
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Toby Crabel's "Day Trading with Short Term Price Patterns"
Toby Crabel's 1990 book became so valuable it was pulled from publication. Original copies sell for thousands.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (2 Years)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (2 Years)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
| Rank | Symbol | Return | Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
XRPUSD ₿
|
+112.20% | $10,000 | $21,220 | 234 | 41% | - | +$11,220 | -23.0% | 2.5h | ✓ | - |
| 2 |
LINKUSD ₿
|
+90.17% | $10,000 | $19,017 | 236 | 38% | - | +$9,017 | -22.6% | 2.1h | ✓ | - |
| 3 |
SOXL
|
+86.08% | $10,000 | $18,608 | 223 | 39% | - | +$8,608 | -30.1% | 1.9h | ✓ | - |
| 4 |
MU
|
+85.89% | $10,000 | $18,589 | 175 | 46% | - | +$8,589 | -19.9% | 3.4h | ✓ | - |
| 5 |
DOGEUSD ₿
|
+82.79% | $10,000 | $18,279 | 239 | 39% | - | +$8,279 | -22.8% | 2.1h | ✓ | - |
| 6 |
COIN
|
+65.37% | $10,000 | $16,537 | 197 | 41% | - | +$6,537 | -13.9% | 1.8h | ✓ | - |
| 7 |
PLTR
|
+56.38% | $10,000 | $15,638 | 187 | 43% | - | +$5,638 | -16.0% | 2.9h | ✓ | - |
| 8 |
UNIUSD ₿
|
+52.42% | $10,000 | $15,242 | 243 | 35% | - | +$5,242 | -29.3% | 1.9h | ✓ | - |
| 9 |
RIOT
|
+50.64% | $10,000 | $15,064 | 219 | 42% | - | +$5,064 | -34.5% | 1.2h | ✓ | - |
| 10 |
NVDA
|
+50.02% | $10,000 | $15,002 | 183 | 40% | - | +$5,002 | -18.7% | 3.5h | ✓ | - |
| 11 |
BMY
|
+36.86% | $10,000 | $13,686 | 135 | 47% | - | +$3,686 | -7.1% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 12 |
C
|
+35.10% | $10,000 | $13,510 | 165 | 54% | - | +$3,510 | -12.2% | 4.8h | ✓ | - |
| 13 |
NET
|
+34.31% | $10,000 | $13,431 | 186 | 46% | - | +$3,431 | -15.2% | 3.5h | ✓ | - |
| 14 |
MS
|
+33.29% | $10,000 | $13,329 | 142 | 53% | - | +$3,329 | -14.4% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 15 |
AMD
|
+33.14% | $10,000 | $13,314 | 164 | 42% | - | +$3,314 | -18.5% | 3.0h | ✓ | - |
| 16 |
SOFI
|
+32.46% | $10,000 | $13,246 | 203 | 39% | - | +$3,246 | -17.7% | 2.4h | ✓ | - |
| 17 |
SLV
|
+31.61% | $10,000 | $13,161 | 168 | 52% | - | +$3,161 | -17.4% | 4.6h | ✓ | - |
| 18 |
GOOGL
|
+30.32% | $10,000 | $13,032 | 122 | 49% | - | +$3,032 | -13.9% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 19 |
ABBV
|
+29.56% | $10,000 | $12,956 | 122 | 49% | - | +$2,956 | -8.1% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 20 |
RBLX
|
+28.44% | $10,000 | $12,844 | 187 | 41% | - | +$2,844 | -23.7% | 3.2h | ✓ | - |
| 21 |
TQQQ
|
+27.63% | $10,000 | $12,763 | 232 | 47% | - | +$2,763 | -24.3% | 3.4h | ✓ | - |
| 22 |
UVXY
|
+27.02% | $10,000 | $12,702 | 229 | 39% | - | +$2,702 | -23.6% | 1.2h | ✓ | - |
| 23 |
VZ
|
+26.89% | $10,000 | $12,689 | 101 | 52% | - | +$2,689 | -12.4% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 24 |
PM
|
+25.81% | $10,000 | $12,581 | 139 | 60% | - | +$2,581 | -11.5% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 25 |
PYPL
|
+22.76% | $10,000 | $12,276 | 124 | 46% | - | +$2,276 | -18.0% | 4.3h | ✓ | - |
| 26 |
COST
|
+21.78% | $10,000 | $12,178 | 110 | 46% | - | +$2,178 | -7.8% | 5.4h | ✓ | - |
| 27 |
SMCI
|
+21.29% | $10,000 | $12,129 | 185 | 39% | - | +$2,129 | -38.0% | 1.5h | ✓ | - |
| 28 |
VXX
|
+20.74% | $10,000 | $12,074 | 220 | 38% | - | +$2,074 | -16.1% | 2.0h | ✓ | - |
| 29 |
SPXU
|
+19.98% | $10,000 | $11,998 | 130 | 44% | - | +$1,998 | -19.5% | 2.1h | ✓ | - |
| 30 |
AMGN
|
+19.75% | $10,000 | $11,975 | 135 | 52% | - | +$1,975 | -10.0% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 31 |
INTC
|
+19.21% | $10,000 | $11,921 | 164 | 41% | - | +$1,921 | -21.7% | 2.8h | ✓ | - |
| 32 |
IWM
|
+17.82% | $10,000 | $11,782 | 139 | 54% | - | +$1,782 | -13.9% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 33 |
ISRG
|
+17.03% | $10,000 | $11,703 | 136 | 49% | - | +$1,703 | -16.4% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 34 |
MARA
|
+16.84% | $10,000 | $11,684 | 210 | 38% | - | +$1,684 | -14.8% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 35 |
ARKK
|
+16.80% | $10,000 | $11,680 | 189 | 43% | - | +$1,680 | -14.6% | 3.8h | ✓ | - |
| 36 |
CRWD
|
+16.76% | $10,000 | $11,676 | 181 | 39% | - | +$1,676 | -36.4% | 3.5h | ✓ | - |
| 37 |
ORCL
|
+16.55% | $10,000 | $11,655 | 150 | 43% | - | +$1,655 | -24.5% | 4.0h | ✓ | - |
| 38 |
AMZN
|
+16.41% | $10,000 | $11,641 | 145 | 43% | - | +$1,641 | -13.9% | 4.4h | ✓ | - |
| 39 |
VTI
|
+16.28% | $10,000 | $11,628 | 90 | 58% | - | +$1,628 | -9.9% | 5.6h | ✓ | - |
| 40 |
KO
|
+16.10% | $10,000 | $11,610 | 95 | 53% | - | +$1,610 | -9.9% | 5.7h | ✓ | - |
| 41 |
UNH
|
+15.19% | $10,000 | $11,519 | 132 | 45% | - | +$1,519 | -22.6% | 4.4h | ✓ | - |
| 42 |
WMT
|
+14.16% | $10,000 | $11,416 | 133 | 47% | - | +$1,416 | -8.0% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 43 |
META
|
+12.96% | $10,000 | $11,296 | 149 | 44% | - | +$1,296 | -12.8% | 4.3h | ✓ | - |
| 44 |
XLK
|
+12.90% | $10,000 | $11,290 | 132 | 53% | - | +$1,290 | -10.6% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 45 |
LLY
|
+12.18% | $10,000 | $11,218 | 138 | 50% | - | +$1,218 | -11.6% | 4.4h | ✓ | - |
| 46 |
GS
|
+11.39% | $10,000 | $11,139 | 155 | 47% | - | +$1,139 | -17.6% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 47 |
BAC
|
+11.18% | $10,000 | $11,118 | 120 | 53% | - | +$1,118 | -19.0% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 48 |
CMCSA
|
+11.16% | $10,000 | $11,116 | 120 | 50% | - | +$1,116 | -8.3% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 49 |
SPY
|
+10.76% | $10,000 | $11,076 | 86 | 56% | - | +$1,076 | -8.3% | 5.7h | ✓ | - |
| 50 |
MSFT
|
+10.29% | $10,000 | $11,029 | 114 | 43% | - | +$1,029 | -15.6% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 51 |
DIA
|
+9.61% | $10,000 | $10,961 | 83 | 59% | - | +$961 | -6.0% | 5.8h | ✓ | - |
| 52 |
VOO
|
+9.47% | $10,000 | $10,947 | 86 | 55% | - | +$947 | -8.6% | 5.7h | ✓ | - |
| 53 |
BRK-B
|
+8.86% | $10,000 | $10,886 | 91 | 48% | - | +$886 | -8.6% | 5.4h | ✓ | - |
| 54 |
JPM
|
+8.22% | $10,000 | $10,822 | 126 | 49% | - | +$822 | -13.9% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 55 |
DKNG
|
+8.14% | $10,000 | $10,814 | 182 | 38% | - | +$814 | -21.5% | 2.9h | ✓ | - |
| 56 |
GLD
|
+7.51% | $10,000 | $10,751 | 91 | 57% | - | +$751 | -13.3% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 57 |
JNJ
|
+5.52% | $10,000 | $10,552 | 97 | 53% | - | +$552 | -17.3% | 5.6h | ✓ | - |
| 58 |
LCID
|
+5.26% | $10,000 | $10,526 | 177 | 34% | - | +$526 | -16.8% | 1.4h | ✓ | - |
| 59 |
ACN
|
+4.00% | $10,000 | $10,401 | 119 | 45% | - | +$401 | -9.3% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 60 |
QQQ
|
+3.28% | $10,000 | $10,328 | 124 | 52% | - | +$328 | -12.6% | 5.5h | ✓ | - |
| 61 |
BLK
|
+1.86% | $10,000 | $10,186 | 130 | 53% | - | +$186 | -15.5% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 62 |
DOTUSD ₿
|
+1.79% | $10,000 | $10,179 | 235 | 35% | - | +$179 | -29.2% | 2.3h | ✓ | - |
| 63 |
CRM
|
+1.47% | $10,000 | $10,147 | 139 | 48% | - | +$147 | -24.2% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 64 |
NIO
|
+0.35% | $10,000 | $10,036 | 157 | 38% | - | +$36 | -31.2% | 1.8h | ✓ | - |
| 65 |
BTCUSD ₿
|
+0.00% | $10,000 | $10,000 | NO ENTRY | - | - | - | -0.0% | 0.0h | ✓ | - |
| 66 |
MA
|
-0.36% | $10,000 | $9,964 | 105 | 47% | - | -$36 | -10.5% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 67 |
SCHW
|
-1.05% | $10,000 | $9,895 | 129 | 50% | - | -$105 | -13.8% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 68 |
TMO
|
-1.59% | $10,000 | $9,841 | 112 | 43% | - | -$159 | -12.0% | 4.6h | ✓ | - |
| 69 |
VRTX
|
-1.90% | $10,000 | $9,810 | 153 | 48% | - | -$190 | -19.1% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 70 |
CVX
|
-2.76% | $10,000 | $9,724 | 113 | 47% | - | -$276 | -9.3% | 5.1h | ✓ | - |
| 71 |
PEP
|
-2.81% | $10,000 | $9,719 | 106 | 42% | - | -$281 | -14.7% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 72 |
PFE
|
-2.94% | $10,000 | $9,706 | 119 | 46% | - | -$294 | -10.8% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 73 |
AXP
|
-3.15% | $10,000 | $9,685 | 140 | 48% | - | -$315 | -15.6% | 4.8h | ✓ | - |
| 74 |
SHIBUSD ₿
|
-4.05% | $10,000 | $9,595 | 236 | 36% | - | -$405 | -33.4% | 2.2h | ✓ | - |
| 75 |
GILD
|
-4.13% | $10,000 | $9,587 | 142 | 44% | - | -$413 | -25.0% | 4.6h | ✓ | - |
| 76 |
XLF
|
-4.26% | $10,000 | $9,574 | 82 | 50% | - | -$426 | -7.7% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 77 |
HOOD
|
-4.46% | $10,000 | $9,554 | 207 | 36% | - | -$446 | -26.2% | 2.3h | ✓ | - |
| 78 |
TSLA
|
-4.77% | $10,000 | $9,523 | 180 | 37% | - | -$477 | -21.5% | 2.9h | ✓ | - |
| 79 |
HD
|
-5.61% | $10,000 | $9,439 | 126 | 43% | - | -$561 | -23.2% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 80 |
IBM
|
-5.78% | $10,000 | $9,422 | 143 | 48% | - | -$578 | -18.5% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 81 |
BIIB
|
-5.94% | $10,000 | $9,406 | 152 | 39% | - | -$594 | -16.8% | 3.8h | ✓ | - |
| 82 |
WFC
|
-6.51% | $10,000 | $9,349 | 157 | 48% | - | -$651 | -25.4% | 4.8h | ✓ | - |
| 83 |
CSCO
|
-7.24% | $10,000 | $9,276 | 121 | 45% | - | -$724 | -21.1% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 84 |
AAPL
|
-7.29% | $10,000 | $9,271 | 118 | 49% | - | -$729 | -27.0% | 4.6h | ✓ | - |
| 85 |
TLT
|
-7.40% | $10,000 | $9,260 | 78 | 50% | - | -$740 | -7.9% | 5.9h | ✓ | - |
| 86 |
PG
|
-7.55% | $10,000 | $9,245 | 94 | 48% | - | -$755 | -17.0% | 5.5h | ✓ | - |
| 87 |
MDT
|
-7.66% | $10,000 | $9,234 | 99 | 40% | - | -$766 | -17.8% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 88 |
XOM
|
-8.35% | $10,000 | $9,165 | 129 | 48% | - | -$835 | -16.9% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 89 |
V
|
-8.43% | $10,000 | $9,157 | 90 | 43% | - | -$843 | -13.0% | 5.4h | ✓ | - |
| 90 |
LTCUSD ₿
|
-8.52% | $10,000 | $9,148 | 234 | 40% | - | -$852 | -32.7% | 2.9h | ✓ | - |
| 91 |
MCD
|
-8.88% | $10,000 | $9,112 | 108 | 51% | - | -$888 | -14.4% | 5.1h | ✓ | - |
| 92 |
ETHUSD ₿
|
-9.58% | $10,000 | $9,042 | 223 | 34% | - | -$958 | -23.5% | 2.8h | ✓ | - |
| 93 |
MRNA
|
-10.63% | $10,000 | $8,937 | 195 | 35% | - | -$1,063 | -44.7% | 1.7h | ✓ | - |
| 94 |
SLB
|
-13.14% | $10,000 | $8,686 | 138 | 44% | - | -$1,314 | -27.5% | 4.1h | ✓ | - |
| 95 |
GME
|
-16.23% | $10,000 | $8,377 | 204 | 33% | - | -$1,624 | -25.4% | 2.1h | ✓ | - |
| 96 |
AMC
|
-17.01% | $10,000 | $8,299 | 180 | 29% | - | -$1,701 | -33.0% | 1.6h | ✓ | - |
| 97 |
NFLX
|
-17.24% | $10,000 | $8,276 | 157 | 43% | - | -$1,724 | -23.3% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 98 |
ADBE
|
-18.23% | $10,000 | $8,177 | 142 | 40% | - | -$1,823 | -31.1% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 99 |
OXY
|
-18.66% | $10,000 | $8,134 | 135 | 41% | - | -$1,866 | -23.5% | 4.3h | ✓ | - |
| 100 |
SOLUSD ₿
|
-21.24% | $10,000 | $7,876 | 238 | 33% | - | -$2,124 | -47.4% | 1.9h | ✓ | - |
| 101 |
XLE
|
-21.71% | $10,000 | $7,829 | 128 | 46% | - | -$2,171 | -24.9% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 102 |
PANW
|
-21.96% | $10,000 | $7,804 | 159 | 41% | - | -$2,196 | -31.4% | 4.1h | ✓ | - |
| 103 |
AVAXUSD ₿
|
-22.42% | $10,000 | $7,758 | 242 | 30% | - | -$2,242 | -39.7% | 2.1h | ✓ | - |
| 104 |
RIVN
|
-25.15% | $10,000 | $7,485 | 205 | 35% | - | -$2,515 | -36.7% | 1.6h | ✓ | - |
| 105 |
DIS
|
-25.43% | $10,000 | $7,457 | 119 | 35% | - | -$2,543 | -32.6% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 106 |
USO
|
-25.71% | $10,000 | $7,429 | 190 | 41% | - | -$2,571 | -31.7% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 107 |
ARM
|
-26.00% | $10,000 | $7,400 | 177 | 36% | - | -$2,600 | -44.2% | 2.4h | ✓ | - |
| 108 |
MRK
|
-26.76% | $10,000 | $7,324 | 108 | 39% | - | -$2,676 | -38.3% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 109 |
SQQQ
|
-28.58% | $10,000 | $7,142 | 207 | 33% | - | -$2,858 | -48.5% | 2.3h | ✓ | - |
| 110 |
COP
|
-31.58% | $10,000 | $6,842 | 141 | 42% | - | -$3,158 | -36.1% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 111 |
REGN
|
-31.71% | $10,000 | $6,829 | 159 | 42% | - | -$3,171 | -39.8% | 4.1h | ✓ | - |
| 112 |
AVGO
|
-33.70% | $10,000 | $6,630 | 174 | 38% | - | -$3,370 | -45.0% | 3.3h | ✓ | - |
| 113 |
SNOW
|
-49.45% | $10,000 | $5,055 | 165 | 35% | - | -$4,945 | -58.7% | 3.4h | ✓ | - |
| 114 |
PEPEUSD ₿
|
-54.39% | $10,000 | $4,561 | 243 | 33% | - | -$5,439 | -64.0% | 1.4h | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Intense morning energy that crashes by 11 AM. Believes the first 30 minutes contain all the information you need for the day.