⚠️ Important Note: This simulation tests each symbol with its own $10K account (not pooled). Crypto symbols can show 40-75%+ fee drag due to high trade frequency.

Stocks are FREE on Alpaca, so the ~100 stock symbols have zero fee impact.

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Trade alt multiplier effect on BTC moves

When Bitcoin drops 5%, alts typically drop 7-10%. Barry watches for BTC capitulation, then buys alts knowing they'll bounce harder.

🎯 Best Suited For

High-beta altcoins during BTC volatility

"As Bitcoin goes, so go the alts. But the alts go harder."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Studies show 70-90% of altcoin moves correlate with Bitcoin. Bitcoin is the reserve asset of crypto.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal (Alt Beta Play)

📈 Entry Signal (Alt Beta Play)

                        BTC 24h Change ≤ -5% (BTC capitulation)                    

→ BUY XRP or SOL - expecting outsized bounce due to strong mean reversion

📉 Exit Conditions

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.10 (+10% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.93 (-7% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: 7 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        BTC_DROP_THRESHOLD:
                        -5
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        10%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        7%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        7
                    

                        SYMBOLS:
                        XRPUSD, SOLUSD
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: First altcoins and Bitcoin correlation

The first altcoin (Namecoin) launched in 2011. By 2012, the correlation pattern was clear: when BTC moves, alts move harder.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 2 Years: Feb 14, 2024 → Feb 14, 2026 (731 days)

Rank	Symbol	Return	Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	XRPUSD ₿	+59.88%	$10,000	$15,988	69	54%	$4,492	+$5,988	-37.0%	2.5d	✓	-
2	SOLUSD ₿	+19.46%	$10,000	$11,946	71	51%	$5,083	+$1,946	-55.5%	2.0d	✓	-
3	UNIUSD ₿	-11.22%	$10,000	$8,878	67	51%	$2,985	-$1,122	-48.6%	1.8d	✓	-
4	LTCUSD ₿	-11.90%	$10,000	$8,810	60	53%	$3,335	-$1,190	-51.2%	2.9d	✓	-
5	LINKUSD ₿	-15.70%	$10,000	$8,430	66	48%	$2,877	-$1,570	-41.1%	2.2d	✓	-
6	AVAXUSD ₿	-22.35%	$10,000	$7,765	67	49%	$2,908	-$2,235	-47.3%	2.1d	✓	-
7	PEPEUSD ₿	-26.51%	$10,000	$7,349	75	49%	$3,256	-$2,651	-51.6%	1.4d	✓	-
8	DOGEUSD ₿	-28.81%	$10,000	$7,119	67	46%	$2,738	-$2,881	-42.4%	2.0d	✓	-
9	DOTUSD ₿	-34.85%	$10,000	$6,515	65	46%	$2,714	-$3,485	-46.0%	2.4d	✓	-
10	ETHUSD ₿	-35.02%	$10,000	$6,498	58	47%	$2,538	-$3,502	-44.6%	3.6d	✓	-
11	SHIBUSD ₿	-44.11%	$10,000	$5,589	63	48%	$2,574	-$4,411	-50.7%	2.5d	✓	-

👤 Personality

Never trades alts in isolation. Sees everything through Bitcoin's lens. "What's BTC doing?" is his first question every morning.