Danny Dip

The Optimist

🛒 Swing Trader 📅 226 years old (Born 1800)

"A 3% pullback in a bull market is just the universe giving you a second chance to buy what you missed."

Spry man of perhaps 70, but his eyes contain centuries. Wears a peculiar mix of Regency-era waistcoat over a modern hoodie, as if he can't decide which century he belongs to.

📊 View Performance: 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months YTD 1 Year 2 Years

Feb 14, 2024 → Feb 14, 2026 (731 days)

🎯 Asset Class: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All Assets 114 ⚠️ Crypto has 0.25% trading fees - results reflect fee impact

📊 2 Years Performance: We gave Danny Dip $10,000 and let him trade 12 crypto symbols from Jan 1, 2024 to today. 🟢 LIVE

$2,734

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $10,000 ($-7,266)

-72.66%

2-Year ROI

43.5%

Win Rate

5,598

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (2 Years)

Combined P&L across all 12 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (2 Years)

Stock Volume

0 trades

Stock Fees

✓ Commission FREE

Crypto Volume

$117,811,562

5,598 trades

Crypto Fees

$294,529

0.25% of volume

⚠️ Important Note: This simulation tests each symbol with its own $10K account (not pooled). Crypto symbols can show 40-75%+ fee drag due to high trade frequency.

Stocks are FREE on Alpaca, so the ~100 stock symbols have zero fee impact.

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy 3% dips, target 5% profit

Waits for quality assets to pull back 3% from recent highs, then enters with a 5% profit target. Uses trailing stops to protect gains during extended runs.

🎯 Best Suited For

Bull markets and quality stocks

"Dips are just discounts with a deadline."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

In uptrending markets (which is most of market history), pullbacks are temporary. Institutions use them to accumulate. Danny's 3% threshold filters out normal volatility.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-danny-simulation.php

📊 Recent High (Lookback)

                        Recent High = MAX(Closet-n ... Closet)                    

                        Finds the highest closing price over the lookback period to measure the dip from.                    

                            Lookback Period = 20 bars                        

                            Recent High = max(array_slice(closes, -20))                        

                            Uses closing prices only (not highs)

                    📁 getRecentHigh() 
                    @ lines 166-171                

📊 Dip Percentage Calculation

                        Dip % = ((Current Price - Recent High) ÷ Recent High) × 100                    

                        Measures how far the current price has fallen from the recent high. Negative values indicate a dip.                    

                            Current Price = latest closing price                        

                            Recent High = MAX of last 20 closes                        

                            Example: Price=$97, High=$100 → Dip = -3%

📊 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

                        Signal = Dip % ≤ -3%                    

                        When price drops 3% or more from the 20-bar high, Danny sees a buying opportunity.                    

                            DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT = 3.0%                        

                            Entry triggers when: dipPct <= -DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT                        

                            Position size: 100% capital (fractional for crypto, whole shares for stocks)

📈 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

→

📉 Exit Conditions

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 14 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        DIP_LOOKBACK:
                        20
                    

                        DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT:
                        3%
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        5%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        3%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        14
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Baron Rothschild during the Napoleonic Wars

The legend says Baron Rothschild made a fortune during the panic following the Battle of Waterloo in 1815. His alleged advice: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (2 Years)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 2 Years: Feb 14, 2024 → Feb 14, 2026 (731 days)

Rank	Symbol	Return	Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	DOTUSD 🚫 PROBATION ₿	+6.12%	🔄 $10,095	$10,713	3	67%	$161	+$618	-99.1%	14.0h	1	Feb 6, 2026 22d left
2	BTCUSD ₿	-31.47%	$10,000	$6,853	95	45%	$4,270	-$3,147	-38.9%	1.5d	✓	-
3	LTCUSD ₿	-66.37%	$10,000	$3,363	384	42%	$18,112	-$6,637	-84.0%	16.6h	✓	-
4	XRPUSD ₿	-69.36%	$10,000	$3,064	426	43%	$18,575	-$6,936	-82.9%	14.1h	✓	-
5	SHIBUSD ₿	-71.75%	$10,000	$2,825	603	43%	$36,392	-$7,175	-94.1%	12.4h	✓	-
6	ETHUSD ₿	-73.02%	$10,000	$2,698	236	41%	$8,890	-$7,302	-77.9%	1.0d	✓	-
7	SOLUSD ₿	-88.96%	$10,000	$1,104	419	40%	$12,139	-$8,896	-92.3%	14.0h	✓	-
8	DOGEUSD ₿	-91.93%	$10,000	$807	629	42%	$19,146	-$9,193	-94.5%	12.8h	✓	-
9	PEPEUSD ₿	-93.45%	$10,000	$655	1248	42%	$455,805	-$9,345	-99.8%	7.8h	✓	-
10	LINKUSD ₿	-96.25%	$10,000	$375	465	39%	$7,269	-$9,625	-96.9%	14.5h	✓	-
11	AVAXUSD ₿	-97.52%	$10,000	$248	490	39%	$6,569	-$9,752	-97.8%	14.0h	✓	-
12	UNIUSD ₿	-98.01%	$10,000	$199	600	39%	$13,108	-$9,801	-98.8%	12.2h	✓	-

👤 Personality

Eternally bullish, impossibly optimistic. Has seen Napoleon's wars, the Long Depression, the Great Depression, 1987, 2000, 2008, and 2020—and made money in each recovery.