Felix FirstRed

The Counter-Puncher

🥊 Day Trader 📅 312 years old (Born 1714)

"Let them punch themselves out. Then I strike."

Ancient beyond imagining—a Japanese samurai master who somehow survived three centuries. Boxing gloves hang next to a katana on his wall.

📊 View Performance: 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months YTD 1 Year 2 Years

Aug 14, 2025 → Feb 14, 2026 (184 days)

🎯 Asset Class: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All Assets 114 ⚠️ Crypto has 0.25% trading fees - results reflect fee impact

📊 Last 6 Months Performance: Showing Felix FirstRed's performance over the last 6 months across 12 crypto symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$9,002

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $9,177 ($-175)

-1.91%

Last 6 Months ROI

37.1%

Win Rate

812

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Last 6 Months)

Combined P&L across all 12 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last 6 Months)

Stock Volume

0 trades

Stock Fees

✓ Commission FREE

Crypto Volume

$7,213,828

812 trades

Crypto Fees

$18,035

0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Short first red after 3 greens, 0.5% target

After three green candles, buyers are extended. The first red candle signals exhaustion—profit-taking has begun. Felix shorts for 0.5%.

🎯 Best Suited For

Overextended momentum, end of runs

"Wait for weakness, then strike. The tired always fall."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

He's not predicting tops—he's fading exhaustion. Works in any market, in any century.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

                        3 consecutive green candles, THEN first red candle appears                    

→ SHORT at close of first red candle (fade the exhaustion)

📉 Exit Conditions

                        • TARGET: Price ≤ entry × 0.995 (+0.5% gain on short)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≥ entry × 1.003 (-0.3% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: 15 bars (quick fade)                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        GREEN_STREAK:
                        3
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        0.5%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        0.3%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_BARS:
                        15
                    

                        COOLDOWN_BARS:
                        78
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Munehisa Homma's candlestick patterns in Dojima

Munehisa Homma was a rice trader in 18th century Japan who developed candlestick charting. His insight: after a strong move, there is always exhaustion.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last 6 Months: Aug 14, 2025 → Feb 14, 2026 (184 days)

Rank	Symbol	Return	6M Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	SOLUSD ₿	+5.17%	$9,142	$9,615	75	51%	-	+$473	-13.0%	0.3h	✓	-
2	XRPUSD ₿	+4.83%	$9,756	$10,228	74	45%	-	+$471	-7.9%	0.4h	✓	-
3	DOGEUSD ₿	+2.36%	$9,125	$9,341	75	44%	-	+$215	-16.2%	0.3h	✓	-
4	LTCUSD ₿	+2.19%	$9,140	$9,340	74	46%	-	+$200	-13.7%	0.4h	✓	-
5	LINKUSD ₿	+0.99%	$8,660	$8,745	75	41%	-	+$86	-15.6%	0.4h	✓	-
6	BTCUSD ₿	+0.00%	$10,000	$10,000	NO ENTRY	-	-	-	-0.0%	0.0h	✓	-
7	SHIBUSD ₿	-0.50%	$8,583	$8,541	72	38%	-	-$43	-20.5%	0.3h	✓	-
8	UNIUSD ₿	-0.72%	$10,471	$10,396	74	42%	-	-$75	-10.5%	0.3h	✓	-
9	ETHUSD ₿	-3.36%	$9,957	$9,623	74	38%	-	-$335	-9.4%	0.5h	✓	-
10	DOTUSD ₿	-10.61%	$8,594	$7,682	74	34%	-	-$912	-24.6%	0.4h	✓	-
11	AVAXUSD ₿	-10.88%	$10,228	$9,115	74	32%	-	-$1,113	-13.7%	0.3h	✓	-
12	PEPEUSD ₿	-12.33%	$6,464	$5,667	71	35%	-	-$797	-43.3%	0.2h	✓	-

👤 Personality

Defensive by nature. Never leads, always counters. Believes the best trades are reactions, not predictions.