Orion Breakout

The Early Bird

🌅 Day Trader 📅 36 years old (Born 1990)

"The opening range is a coiled spring. When it breaks, ride the explosion."

Intense man in his mid-30s, already on his third coffee by 9:35 AM. Multiple monitors, standing desk. Dark circles under eyes, but alert.

📊 View Performance: 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months YTD 1 Year 2 Years

Jan 1, 2026 → Feb 14, 2026 (44 days)

🎯 Asset Class: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All Assets 114 ⚠️ Crypto has 0.25% trading fees - results reflect fee impact

📊 Year to Date Performance: Showing Orion Breakout's performance over the year to date across 12 crypto symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$12,025

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $12,727 ($-702)

-5.51%

Year to Date ROI

26.9%

Win Rate

150

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Year to Date)

Combined P&L across all 12 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Year to Date)

Stock Volume

0 trades

Stock Fees

✓ Commission FREE

Crypto Volume

$1,914,297

150 trades

Crypto Fees

$4,786

0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Opening range breakout with 0.5% confirmation

Marks the high and low of the first 30 minutes. When price breaks above (or below) with 0.5% confirmation, enters the trade.

🎯 Best Suited For

High-volume stocks with gap openings

"The first thirty minutes tell you everything. Everything else is noise."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Institutions show their hand early. The first 30 minutes establishes what big players think the day's range should be.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

                        Close > OR_HIGH × 1.005 (0.5% confirmation above opening range high)                    

→ BUY at current close price

📉 Exit Conditions

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.99 (-1% loss)                    

                        • END_OF_DAY: Force exit at last bar of day (day trade style as swing)                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        OR_BARS:
                        6
                    

                        BREAKOUT_CONFIRM_PCT:
                        0.5%
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        2%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        1%
                    

                        COOLDOWN_BARS:
                        78
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Toby Crabel's "Day Trading with Short Term Price Patterns"

Toby Crabel's 1990 book became so valuable it was pulled from publication. Original copies sell for thousands.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Year to Date: Jan 1, 2026 → Feb 14, 2026 (44 days)

Rank	Symbol	Return	YTD Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	PEPEUSD ₿	+13.65%	$4,014	$4,561	13	38%	-	+$548	-64.0%	1.4h	✓	-
2	DOGEUSD ₿	+6.67%	$17,136	$18,279	15	40%	-	+$1,143	-22.8%	2.1h	✓	-
3	BTCUSD ₿	+0.00%	$10,000	$10,000	NO ENTRY	-	-	-	-0.0%	0.0h	✓	-
4	AVAXUSD ₿	-1.38%	$7,866	$7,758	14	43%	-	-$109	-39.7%	2.1h	✓	-
5	ETHUSD ₿	-2.99%	$9,321	$9,042	13	23%	-	-$279	-23.5%	2.8h	✓	-
6	LINKUSD ₿	-3.41%	$19,689	$19,017	15	33%	-	-$671	-22.6%	2.1h	✓	-
7	SHIBUSD ₿	-6.36%	$10,247	$9,595	14	36%	-	-$652	-33.4%	2.2h	✓	-
8	DOTUSD ₿	-6.43%	$10,878	$10,179	12	33%	-	-$699	-29.2%	2.3h	✓	-
9	XRPUSD ₿	-8.82%	$23,273	$21,220	13	31%	-	-$2,053	-23.0%	2.5h	✓	-
10	SOLUSD ₿	-10.80%	$8,829	$7,876	13	31%	-	-$954	-47.4%	1.9h	✓	-
11	UNIUSD ₿	-20.16%	$19,090	$15,242	14	7%	-	-$3,849	-29.3%	1.9h	✓	-
12	LTCUSD ₿	-26.13%	$12,384	$9,148	14	7%	-	-$3,236	-32.7%	2.9h	✓	-

👤 Personality

Intense morning energy that crashes by 11 AM. Believes the first 30 minutes contain all the information you need for the day.