20
Felix FirstRed
The Counter-Puncher
🥊 Day Trader 📅 312 years old (Born 1714)"Let them punch themselves out. Then I strike."
Ancient beyond imagining—a Japanese samurai master who somehow survived three centuries. Boxing gloves hang next to a katana on his wall.
Feb 14, 2025
→
Feb 14, 2026
(365 days)
📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Felix FirstRed's performance over the last year across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$9,997
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$10,032
($-35)
-0.35%
Last Year ROI
44.6%
Win Rate
15,195
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last Year)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Short first red after 3 greens, 0.5% target
After three green candles, buyers are extended. The first red candle signals exhaustion—profit-taking has begun. Felix shorts for 0.5%.
🎯 Best Suited For
Overextended momentum, end of runs
"Wait for weakness, then strike. The tired always fall."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
He's not predicting tops—he's fading exhaustion. Works in any market, in any century.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive green candles, THEN first red candle appears
→ SHORT at close of first red candle (fade the exhaustion)
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≤ entry × 0.995 (+0.5% gain on short)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≥ entry × 1.003 (-0.3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: 15 bars (quick fade)
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
GREEN_STREAK:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
0.5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
0.3%
MAX_HOLD_BARS:
15
COOLDOWN_BARS:
78
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Munehisa Homma's candlestick patterns in Dojima
Munehisa Homma was a rice trader in 18th century Japan who developed candlestick charting. His insight: after a strong move, there is always exhaustion.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last Year:
Feb 14, 2025
→
Feb 14, 2026
(365 days)
| Rank | Symbol | Return | 1Y Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
RIVN
|
+31.36% | $9,599 | $12,609 | 148 | 50% | - | +$3,010 | -15.7% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 2 |
SLB
|
+16.57% | $11,386 | $13,273 | 148 | 55% | - | +$1,887 | -3.7% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 3 |
META
|
+15.67% | $11,084 | $12,821 | 150 | 52% | - | +$1,737 | -3.9% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 4 |
UVXY
|
+15.38% | $9,790 | $11,296 | 147 | 50% | - | +$1,506 | -19.1% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 5 |
RIOT
|
+14.67% | $12,788 | $14,664 | 147 | 48% | - | +$1,876 | -9.1% | 0.2h | ✓ | - |
| 6 |
VXX
|
+12.56% | $9,875 | $11,116 | 148 | 44% | - | +$1,240 | -8.6% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 7 |
OXY
|
+10.96% | $10,212 | $11,331 | 149 | 50% | - | +$1,119 | -6.5% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 8 |
USO
|
+10.93% | $10,471 | $11,615 | 150 | 53% | - | +$1,144 | -9.9% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 9 |
XOM
|
+10.71% | $10,373 | $11,484 | 150 | 55% | - | +$1,111 | -5.5% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 10 |
ARM
|
+10.14% | $9,502 | $10,465 | 149 | 48% | - | +$963 | -13.0% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 11 |
JNJ
|
+9.84% | $10,384 | $11,405 | 149 | 53% | - | +$1,022 | -3.1% | 1.0h | ✓ | - |
| 12 |
LLY
|
+9.73% | $9,684 | $10,626 | 151 | 51% | - | +$942 | -9.2% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 13 |
CRWD
|
+8.50% | $9,604 | $10,420 | 150 | 47% | - | +$816 | -6.7% | 0.5h | ✓ | - |
| 14 |
RBLX
|
+7.87% | $10,547 | $11,377 | 149 | 49% | - | +$830 | -6.0% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 15 |
GOOGL
|
+7.26% | $9,654 | $10,355 | 149 | 48% | - | +$701 | -8.9% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 16 |
MARA
|
+7.18% | $9,657 | $10,350 | 148 | 44% | - | +$693 | -16.2% | 0.2h | ✓ | - |
| 17 |
GME
|
+7.12% | $9,201 | $9,856 | 148 | 46% | - | +$655 | -15.4% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 18 |
AXP
|
+6.50% | $10,660 | $11,353 | 148 | 47% | - | +$693 | -2.9% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 19 |
REGN
|
+6.49% | $10,553 | $11,238 | 149 | 44% | - | +$685 | -5.2% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 20 |
COST
|
+6.06% | $10,214 | $10,833 | 150 | 49% | - | +$619 | -6.5% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 21 |
NIO
|
+5.37% | $8,605 | $9,067 | 149 | 44% | - | +$462 | -22.0% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 22 |
SOXL
|
+4.95% | $8,950 | $9,393 | 151 | 45% | - | +$443 | -17.9% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 23 |
CSCO
|
+4.64% | $10,105 | $10,573 | 149 | 48% | - | +$469 | -3.8% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 24 |
SCHW
|
+4.34% | $9,693 | $10,114 | 152 | 47% | - | +$421 | -7.6% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 25 |
WMT
|
+4.30% | $9,869 | $10,294 | 150 | 49% | - | +$424 | -8.3% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 26 |
GILD
|
+3.85% | $9,523 | $9,889 | 149 | 42% | - | +$367 | -14.9% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 27 |
MCD
|
+3.09% | $9,832 | $10,136 | 149 | 51% | - | +$304 | -7.2% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 28 |
AVGO
|
+3.05% | $10,127 | $10,436 | 151 | 46% | - | +$309 | -7.5% | 0.5h | ✓ | - |
| 29 |
INTC
|
+3.00% | $9,715 | $10,006 | 148 | 46% | - | +$291 | -10.8% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 30 |
UNH
|
+2.72% | $10,702 | $10,993 | 150 | 44% | - | +$291 | -7.8% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 31 |
MU
|
+2.59% | $11,206 | $11,496 | 146 | 45% | - | +$290 | -4.9% | 0.5h | ✓ | - |
| 32 |
IBM
|
+2.46% | $10,002 | $10,248 | 148 | 45% | - | +$246 | -6.8% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 33 |
MDT
|
+2.07% | $10,234 | $10,446 | 149 | 46% | - | +$212 | -4.0% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 34 |
XLF
|
+2.01% | $9,761 | $9,957 | 151 | 50% | - | +$196 | -5.7% | 1.0h | ✓ | - |
| 35 |
TLT
|
+1.91% | $10,246 | $10,442 | 151 | 54% | - | +$196 | -2.6% | 1.1h | ✓ | - |
| 36 |
XLE
|
+1.78% | $10,432 | $10,618 | 152 | 49% | - | +$186 | -5.7% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 37 |
AMD
|
+1.72% | $9,457 | $9,619 | 150 | 47% | - | +$163 | -11.2% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 38 |
MRNA
|
+1.40% | $10,711 | $10,861 | 148 | 43% | - | +$150 | -8.7% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 39 |
VZ
|
+1.29% | $10,430 | $10,565 | 149 | 45% | - | +$135 | -6.3% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 40 |
VRTX
|
+0.85% | $10,051 | $10,136 | 151 | 45% | - | +$85 | -7.2% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 41 |
PLTR
|
-0.06% | $10,584 | $10,577 | 148 | 43% | - | -$6 | -6.1% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 42 |
MSFT
|
-0.07% | $9,867 | $9,860 | 150 | 46% | - | -$7 | -7.6% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 43 |
SLV
|
-0.15% | $8,992 | $8,979 | 149 | 50% | - | -$13 | -13.8% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 44 |
HD
|
-0.25% | $10,343 | $10,317 | 149 | 47% | - | -$26 | -5.1% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 45 |
COP
|
-0.90% | $10,637 | $10,542 | 148 | 43% | - | -$96 | -7.0% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 46 |
BLK
|
-0.95% | $9,734 | $9,641 | 150 | 45% | - | -$92 | -9.5% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 47 |
PG
|
-1.01% | $10,474 | $10,369 | 150 | 45% | - | -$106 | -6.0% | 1.0h | ✓ | - |
| 48 |
CVX
|
-1.07% | $9,932 | $9,825 | 150 | 47% | - | -$106 | -8.1% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 49 |
TMO
|
-1.08% | $9,528 | $9,425 | 149 | 44% | - | -$103 | -10.1% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 50 |
PANW
|
-1.25% | $9,729 | $9,607 | 150 | 45% | - | -$122 | -9.2% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 51 |
TQQQ
|
-1.50% | $10,406 | $10,250 | 149 | 44% | - | -$156 | -10.2% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 52 |
GLD
|
-1.58% | $9,681 | $9,528 | 151 | 47% | - | -$153 | -6.0% | 1.1h | ✓ | - |
| 53 |
BAC
|
-1.62% | $9,017 | $8,871 | 149 | 43% | - | -$146 | -11.3% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 54 |
PM
|
-1.69% | $10,097 | $9,926 | 149 | 48% | - | -$171 | -5.9% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 55 |
PYPL
|
-1.79% | $11,607 | $11,399 | 147 | 45% | - | -$208 | -5.5% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 56 |
ORCL
|
-2.10% | $10,045 | $9,834 | 148 | 45% | - | -$211 | -8.2% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 57 |
AMGN
|
-2.23% | $11,018 | $10,772 | 149 | 42% | - | -$246 | -6.9% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 58 |
CRM
|
-2.29% | $10,062 | $9,832 | 150 | 41% | - | -$230 | -10.1% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 59 |
C
|
-2.47% | $9,998 | $9,751 | 149 | 46% | - | -$247 | -7.3% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 60 |
ABBV
|
-2.54% | $9,373 | $9,135 | 148 | 41% | - | -$238 | -11.7% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 61 |
MS
|
-2.61% | $10,522 | $10,247 | 151 | 45% | - | -$275 | -6.1% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 62 |
ADBE
|
-2.62% | $10,195 | $9,928 | 148 | 41% | - | -$267 | -6.2% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 63 |
PEP
|
-2.73% | $10,406 | $10,122 | 151 | 48% | - | -$284 | -7.8% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 64 |
BIIB
|
-2.99% | $9,718 | $9,427 | 150 | 43% | - | -$291 | -14.5% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 65 |
KO
|
-3.13% | $10,459 | $10,131 | 141 | 42% | - | -$327 | -4.5% | 1.0h | ✓ | - |
| 66 |
IWM
|
-3.24% | $10,162 | $9,833 | 148 | 48% | - | -$329 | -6.8% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 67 |
TSLA
|
-3.36% | $10,872 | $10,507 | 148 | 42% | - | -$365 | -11.2% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 68 |
MA
|
-3.72% | $10,916 | $10,510 | 150 | 45% | - | -$406 | -4.9% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 69 |
JPM
|
-3.92% | $9,940 | $9,550 | 148 | 44% | - | -$390 | -8.7% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 70 |
ACN
|
-3.93% | $9,188 | $8,827 | 150 | 41% | - | -$361 | -15.5% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 71 |
GS
|
-4.06% | $9,971 | $9,566 | 148 | 43% | - | -$405 | -7.7% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 72 |
BRK-B
|
-4.11% | $10,286 | $9,863 | 148 | 45% | - | -$423 | -6.9% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 73 |
XLK
|
-4.45% | $10,980 | $10,491 | 150 | 45% | - | -$489 | -9.0% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 74 |
NFLX
|
-4.50% | $9,715 | $9,278 | 150 | 39% | - | -$437 | -9.2% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 75 |
LCID
|
-4.89% | $7,604 | $7,232 | 149 | 37% | - | -$372 | -31.3% | 0.2h | ✓ | - |
| 76 |
SPY
|
-4.91% | $10,169 | $9,669 | 151 | 47% | - | -$499 | -5.7% | 1.1h | ✓ | - |
| 77 |
CMCSA
|
-4.93% | $10,264 | $9,758 | 150 | 43% | - | -$506 | -12.3% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 78 |
VTI
|
-5.03% | $10,224 | $9,710 | 148 | 46% | - | -$514 | -7.8% | 1.1h | ✓ | - |
| 79 |
ISRG
|
-5.79% | $10,689 | $10,070 | 151 | 42% | - | -$619 | -11.2% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 80 |
DIA
|
-6.00% | $9,930 | $9,335 | 150 | 48% | - | -$596 | -7.3% | 1.1h | ✓ | - |
| 81 |
NET
|
-6.58% | $9,195 | $8,590 | 149 | 40% | - | -$605 | -16.1% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 82 |
AAPL
|
-6.68% | $9,814 | $9,158 | 149 | 40% | - | -$656 | -9.9% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 83 |
COIN
|
-7.06% | $8,722 | $8,107 | 149 | 40% | - | -$616 | -24.0% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 84 |
AMZN
|
-7.14% | $10,301 | $9,565 | 148 | 41% | - | -$735 | -14.5% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 85 |
VOO
|
-7.24% | $9,864 | $9,150 | 151 | 45% | - | -$714 | -8.8% | 1.1h | ✓ | - |
| 86 |
PFE
|
-7.27% | $9,790 | $9,079 | 152 | 41% | - | -$712 | -11.3% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 87 |
WFC
|
-7.34% | $10,141 | $9,397 | 149 | 44% | - | -$744 | -9.2% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 88 |
HOOD
|
-7.45% | $10,498 | $9,716 | 148 | 40% | - | -$782 | -11.4% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 89 |
QQQ
|
-8.03% | $10,669 | $9,812 | 150 | 43% | - | -$857 | -9.9% | 1.0h | ✓ | - |
| 90 |
SNOW
|
-8.47% | $8,749 | $8,008 | 150 | 43% | - | -$741 | -24.1% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 91 |
V
|
-8.59% | $10,003 | $9,143 | 149 | 39% | - | -$859 | -11.1% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 92 |
BMY
|
-9.50% | $10,144 | $9,181 | 149 | 37% | - | -$964 | -12.2% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 93 |
DIS
|
-9.84% | $9,859 | $8,888 | 149 | 37% | - | -$970 | -12.2% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 94 |
SOFI
|
-10.02% | $10,247 | $9,220 | 151 | 39% | - | -$1,027 | -13.7% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 95 |
ARKK
|
-10.37% | $10,438 | $9,355 | 148 | 39% | - | -$1,082 | -11.8% | 0.5h | ✓ | - |
| 96 |
SMCI
|
-10.61% | $10,095 | $9,024 | 148 | 40% | - | -$1,071 | -18.7% | 0.2h | ✓ | - |
| 97 |
MRK
|
-11.37% | $9,205 | $8,159 | 150 | 38% | - | -$1,047 | -22.4% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 98 |
AMC
|
-11.89% | $9,956 | $8,772 | 144 | 40% | - | -$1,184 | -23.0% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 99 |
NVDA
|
-12.86% | $9,881 | $8,610 | 150 | 40% | - | -$1,271 | -22.3% | 0.5h | ✓ | - |
| 100 |
SPXU
|
-13.36% | $9,369 | $8,117 | 133 | 40% | - | -$1,252 | -23.6% | 0.5h | ✓ | - |
| 101 |
SQQQ
|
-14.26% | $8,374 | $7,180 | 148 | 34% | - | -$1,194 | -29.1% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 102 |
DKNG
|
-15.09% | $9,715 | $8,249 | 149 | 36% | - | -$1,466 | -22.9% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Defensive by nature. Never leads, always counters. Believes the best trades are reactions, not predictions.