20
Felix FirstRed
The Counter-Puncher
🥊 Day Trader 📅 312 years old (Born 1714)"Let them punch themselves out. Then I strike."
Ancient beyond imagining—a Japanese samurai master who somehow survived three centuries. Boxing gloves hang next to a katana on his wall.
Feb 14, 2024
→
Feb 14, 2026
(731 days)
📊 2 Years Performance: We gave Felix FirstRed $10,000 and let her trade 102 stock symbols from Jan 2, 2024 to today. 🟢 LIVE
$10,007
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$10,000
(+$7)
+0.07%
2-Year ROI
45.2%
Win Rate
30,773
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (2 Years)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Short first red after 3 greens, 0.5% target
After three green candles, buyers are extended. The first red candle signals exhaustion—profit-taking has begun. Felix shorts for 0.5%.
🎯 Best Suited For
Overextended momentum, end of runs
"Wait for weakness, then strike. The tired always fall."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
He's not predicting tops—he's fading exhaustion. Works in any market, in any century.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive green candles, THEN first red candle appears
→ SHORT at close of first red candle (fade the exhaustion)
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≤ entry × 0.995 (+0.5% gain on short)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≥ entry × 1.003 (-0.3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: 15 bars (quick fade)
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
GREEN_STREAK:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
0.5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
0.3%
MAX_HOLD_BARS:
15
COOLDOWN_BARS:
78
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Munehisa Homma's candlestick patterns in Dojima
Munehisa Homma was a rice trader in 18th century Japan who developed candlestick charting. His insight: after a strong move, there is always exhaustion.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (2 Years)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (2 Years)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 2 Years:
Feb 14, 2024
→
Feb 14, 2026
(731 days)
| Rank | Symbol | Return | Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
RIOT
|
+46.64% | $10,000 | $14,664 | 301 | 49% | - | +$4,664 | -9.1% | 0.2h | ✓ | - |
| 2 |
SLB
|
+32.73% | $10,000 | $13,273 | 302 | 51% | - | +$3,273 | -3.7% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 3 |
META
|
+28.21% | $10,000 | $12,821 | 303 | 50% | - | +$2,821 | -3.9% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 4 |
RIVN
|
+26.09% | $10,000 | $12,609 | 301 | 46% | - | +$2,609 | -15.7% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 5 |
USO
|
+16.15% | $10,000 | $11,615 | 304 | 49% | - | +$1,615 | -9.9% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 6 |
MU
|
+14.96% | $10,000 | $11,496 | 299 | 47% | - | +$1,496 | -4.9% | 0.5h | ✓ | - |
| 7 |
XOM
|
+14.84% | $10,000 | $11,484 | 303 | 53% | - | +$1,484 | -5.5% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 8 |
JNJ
|
+14.05% | $10,000 | $11,405 | 301 | 52% | - | +$1,405 | -3.1% | 1.0h | ✓ | - |
| 9 |
PYPL
|
+13.99% | $10,000 | $11,399 | 297 | 49% | - | +$1,399 | -5.5% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 10 |
RBLX
|
+13.77% | $10,000 | $11,377 | 302 | 47% | - | +$1,377 | -6.0% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 11 |
AXP
|
+13.53% | $10,000 | $11,353 | 301 | 49% | - | +$1,353 | -2.9% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 12 |
OXY
|
+13.31% | $10,000 | $11,331 | 302 | 49% | - | +$1,331 | -6.5% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 13 |
UVXY
|
+12.96% | $10,000 | $11,296 | 301 | 47% | - | +$1,296 | -19.1% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 14 |
REGN
|
+12.38% | $10,000 | $11,238 | 300 | 46% | - | +$1,238 | -5.2% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 15 |
VXX
|
+11.16% | $10,000 | $11,116 | 301 | 42% | - | +$1,116 | -8.6% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 16 |
UNH
|
+9.93% | $10,000 | $10,993 | 303 | 46% | - | +$993 | -7.8% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 17 |
MRNA
|
+8.61% | $10,000 | $10,861 | 300 | 43% | - | +$861 | -8.7% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 18 |
COST
|
+8.33% | $10,000 | $10,833 | 303 | 49% | - | +$833 | -6.5% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 19 |
AMGN
|
+7.72% | $10,000 | $10,772 | 303 | 49% | - | +$772 | -6.9% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 20 |
LLY
|
+6.26% | $10,000 | $10,626 | 304 | 47% | - | +$626 | -9.2% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 21 |
XLE
|
+6.18% | $10,000 | $10,618 | 305 | 49% | - | +$618 | -5.7% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 22 |
PLTR
|
+5.77% | $10,000 | $10,577 | 301 | 46% | - | +$577 | -6.1% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 23 |
CSCO
|
+5.73% | $10,000 | $10,573 | 302 | 47% | - | +$573 | -3.8% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 24 |
VZ
|
+5.65% | $10,000 | $10,565 | 304 | 48% | - | +$565 | -6.3% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 25 |
COP
|
+5.42% | $10,000 | $10,542 | 300 | 45% | - | +$542 | -7.0% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 26 |
MA
|
+5.10% | $10,000 | $10,510 | 305 | 48% | - | +$510 | -4.9% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 27 |
TSLA
|
+5.07% | $10,000 | $10,507 | 302 | 45% | - | +$507 | -11.2% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 28 |
XLK
|
+4.91% | $10,000 | $10,491 | 303 | 53% | - | +$491 | -9.0% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 29 |
ARM
|
+4.65% | $10,000 | $10,465 | 302 | 46% | - | +$465 | -13.0% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 30 |
MDT
|
+4.46% | $10,000 | $10,446 | 305 | 49% | - | +$446 | -4.0% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 31 |
TLT
|
+4.42% | $10,000 | $10,442 | 303 | 52% | - | +$442 | -2.6% | 1.1h | ✓ | - |
| 32 |
AVGO
|
+4.36% | $10,000 | $10,436 | 302 | 46% | - | +$436 | -7.5% | 0.5h | ✓ | - |
| 33 |
CRWD
|
+4.20% | $10,000 | $10,420 | 302 | 43% | - | +$420 | -6.7% | 0.5h | ✓ | - |
| 34 |
PG
|
+3.69% | $10,000 | $10,369 | 303 | 46% | - | +$369 | -6.0% | 1.0h | ✓ | - |
| 35 |
GOOGL
|
+3.55% | $10,000 | $10,355 | 302 | 45% | - | +$355 | -8.9% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 36 |
MARA
|
+3.50% | $10,000 | $10,350 | 301 | 45% | - | +$350 | -16.2% | 0.2h | ✓ | - |
| 37 |
HD
|
+3.17% | $10,000 | $10,317 | 303 | 46% | - | +$317 | -5.1% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 38 |
WMT
|
+2.94% | $10,000 | $10,294 | 303 | 47% | - | +$294 | -8.3% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 39 |
TQQQ
|
+2.50% | $10,000 | $10,250 | 302 | 46% | - | +$250 | -10.2% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 40 |
IBM
|
+2.48% | $10,000 | $10,248 | 301 | 47% | - | +$248 | -6.8% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 41 |
MS
|
+2.47% | $10,000 | $10,247 | 306 | 45% | - | +$247 | -6.1% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 42 |
VRTX
|
+1.36% | $10,000 | $10,136 | 303 | 44% | - | +$136 | -7.2% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 43 |
MCD
|
+1.36% | $10,000 | $10,136 | 300 | 49% | - | +$136 | -7.2% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 44 |
KO
|
+1.31% | $10,000 | $10,131 | 291 | 46% | - | +$131 | -4.5% | 1.0h | ✓ | - |
| 45 |
PEP
|
+1.22% | $10,000 | $10,122 | 304 | 49% | - | +$122 | -7.8% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 46 |
SCHW
|
+1.14% | $10,000 | $10,114 | 306 | 45% | - | +$114 | -7.6% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 47 |
ISRG
|
+0.70% | $10,000 | $10,070 | 303 | 45% | - | +$70 | -11.2% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 48 |
INTC
|
+0.06% | $10,000 | $10,006 | 301 | 42% | - | +$6 | -10.8% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 49 |
XLF
|
-0.43% | $10,000 | $9,957 | 306 | 48% | - | -$43 | -5.7% | 1.0h | ✓ | - |
| 50 |
ADBE
|
-0.72% | $10,000 | $9,928 | 301 | 43% | - | -$72 | -6.2% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 51 |
PM
|
-0.74% | $10,000 | $9,926 | 301 | 50% | - | -$74 | -5.9% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 52 |
GILD
|
-1.11% | $10,000 | $9,889 | 302 | 42% | - | -$111 | -14.9% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 53 |
BRK-B
|
-1.37% | $10,000 | $9,863 | 300 | 47% | - | -$137 | -6.9% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 54 |
MSFT
|
-1.40% | $10,000 | $9,860 | 304 | 47% | - | -$140 | -7.6% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 55 |
GME
|
-1.44% | $10,000 | $9,856 | 300 | 44% | - | -$144 | -15.4% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 56 |
ORCL
|
-1.66% | $10,000 | $9,834 | 302 | 43% | - | -$166 | -8.2% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 57 |
IWM
|
-1.67% | $10,000 | $9,833 | 301 | 49% | - | -$167 | -6.8% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 58 |
CRM
|
-1.68% | $10,000 | $9,832 | 302 | 43% | - | -$168 | -10.1% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 59 |
CVX
|
-1.75% | $10,000 | $9,825 | 305 | 47% | - | -$175 | -8.1% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 60 |
QQQ
|
-1.88% | $10,000 | $9,812 | 309 | 48% | - | -$188 | -9.9% | 1.0h | ✓ | - |
| 61 |
CMCSA
|
-2.42% | $10,000 | $9,758 | 305 | 45% | - | -$242 | -12.3% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 62 |
C
|
-2.49% | $10,000 | $9,751 | 302 | 45% | - | -$249 | -7.3% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 63 |
HOOD
|
-2.84% | $10,000 | $9,716 | 301 | 42% | - | -$284 | -11.4% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 64 |
VTI
|
-2.90% | $10,000 | $9,710 | 301 | 51% | - | -$290 | -7.8% | 1.1h | ✓ | - |
| 65 |
SPY
|
-3.31% | $10,000 | $9,669 | 305 | 49% | - | -$331 | -5.7% | 1.1h | ✓ | - |
| 66 |
BLK
|
-3.59% | $10,000 | $9,641 | 307 | 43% | - | -$359 | -9.5% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 67 |
AMD
|
-3.81% | $10,000 | $9,619 | 301 | 45% | - | -$381 | -11.2% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 68 |
PANW
|
-3.93% | $10,000 | $9,607 | 304 | 43% | - | -$393 | -9.2% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 69 |
GS
|
-4.34% | $10,000 | $9,566 | 303 | 46% | - | -$434 | -7.7% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 70 |
AMZN
|
-4.35% | $10,000 | $9,565 | 300 | 43% | - | -$435 | -14.5% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 71 |
JPM
|
-4.50% | $10,000 | $9,550 | 302 | 44% | - | -$450 | -8.7% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 72 |
GLD
|
-4.72% | $10,000 | $9,528 | 306 | 50% | - | -$472 | -6.0% | 1.1h | ✓ | - |
| 73 |
BIIB
|
-5.73% | $10,000 | $9,427 | 301 | 43% | - | -$573 | -14.5% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 74 |
TMO
|
-5.75% | $10,000 | $9,425 | 301 | 44% | - | -$575 | -10.1% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 75 |
WFC
|
-6.04% | $10,000 | $9,397 | 302 | 43% | - | -$604 | -9.2% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 76 |
SOXL
|
-6.07% | $10,000 | $9,393 | 303 | 46% | - | -$607 | -17.9% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 77 |
ARKK
|
-6.45% | $10,000 | $9,355 | 303 | 45% | - | -$645 | -11.8% | 0.5h | ✓ | - |
| 78 |
DIA
|
-6.65% | $10,000 | $9,335 | 304 | 50% | - | -$665 | -7.3% | 1.1h | ✓ | - |
| 79 |
NFLX
|
-7.22% | $10,000 | $9,278 | 302 | 43% | - | -$722 | -9.2% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 80 |
SOFI
|
-7.80% | $10,000 | $9,220 | 302 | 41% | - | -$780 | -13.7% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 81 |
BMY
|
-8.19% | $10,000 | $9,181 | 302 | 41% | - | -$819 | -12.2% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 82 |
AAPL
|
-8.42% | $10,000 | $9,158 | 305 | 42% | - | -$842 | -9.9% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 83 |
VOO
|
-8.50% | $10,000 | $9,150 | 304 | 49% | - | -$850 | -8.8% | 1.1h | ✓ | - |
| 84 |
V
|
-8.57% | $10,000 | $9,143 | 302 | 45% | - | -$857 | -11.1% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 85 |
ABBV
|
-8.65% | $10,000 | $9,135 | 301 | 41% | - | -$865 | -11.7% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 86 |
PFE
|
-9.21% | $10,000 | $9,079 | 304 | 43% | - | -$921 | -11.3% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 87 |
NIO
|
-9.33% | $10,000 | $9,067 | 301 | 39% | - | -$933 | -22.0% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 88 |
SMCI
|
-9.76% | $10,000 | $9,024 | 301 | 42% | - | -$976 | -18.7% | 0.2h | ✓ | - |
| 89 |
SLV
|
-10.21% | $10,000 | $8,979 | 303 | 47% | - | -$1,021 | -13.8% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 90 |
DIS
|
-11.12% | $10,000 | $8,888 | 303 | 42% | - | -$1,112 | -12.2% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 91 |
BAC
|
-11.29% | $10,000 | $8,871 | 302 | 41% | - | -$1,129 | -11.3% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 92 |
ACN
|
-11.73% | $10,000 | $8,827 | 302 | 41% | - | -$1,173 | -15.5% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 93 |
AMC
|
-12.28% | $10,000 | $8,772 | 295 | 40% | - | -$1,228 | -23.0% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 94 |
NVDA
|
-13.90% | $10,000 | $8,610 | 302 | 43% | - | -$1,390 | -22.3% | 0.5h | ✓ | - |
| 95 |
NET
|
-14.10% | $10,000 | $8,590 | 300 | 40% | - | -$1,410 | -16.1% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 96 |
DKNG
|
-17.51% | $10,000 | $8,249 | 299 | 37% | - | -$1,751 | -22.9% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 97 |
MRK
|
-18.41% | $10,000 | $8,159 | 303 | 41% | - | -$1,841 | -22.4% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 98 |
SPXU
|
-18.83% | $10,000 | $8,117 | 258 | 39% | - | -$1,883 | -23.6% | 0.5h | ✓ | - |
| 99 |
COIN
|
-18.93% | $10,000 | $8,107 | 301 | 40% | - | -$1,894 | -24.0% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 100 |
SNOW
|
-19.92% | $10,000 | $8,008 | 302 | 38% | - | -$1,992 | -24.1% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 101 |
LCID
|
-27.68% | $10,000 | $7,232 | 298 | 36% | - | -$2,768 | -31.3% | 0.2h | ✓ | - |
| 102 |
SQQQ
|
-28.20% | $10,000 | $7,180 | 301 | 31% | - | -$2,820 | -29.1% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Defensive by nature. Never leads, always counters. Believes the best trades are reactions, not predictions.