20
Felix FirstRed
The Counter-Puncher
🥊 Day Trader 📅 312 years old (Born 1714)"Let them punch themselves out. Then I strike."
Ancient beyond imagining—a Japanese samurai master who somehow survived three centuries. Boxing gloves hang next to a katana on his wall.
Jan 1, 2026
→
Feb 14, 2026
(44 days)
📊 Year to Date Performance: Showing Felix FirstRed's performance over the year to date across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$10,001
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$9,993
(+$8)
+0.08%
Year to Date ROI
44.8%
Win Rate
1,665
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Year to Date)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Short first red after 3 greens, 0.5% target
After three green candles, buyers are extended. The first red candle signals exhaustion—profit-taking has begun. Felix shorts for 0.5%.
🎯 Best Suited For
Overextended momentum, end of runs
"Wait for weakness, then strike. The tired always fall."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
He's not predicting tops—he's fading exhaustion. Works in any market, in any century.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive green candles, THEN first red candle appears
→ SHORT at close of first red candle (fade the exhaustion)
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≤ entry × 0.995 (+0.5% gain on short)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≥ entry × 1.003 (-0.3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: 15 bars (quick fade)
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
GREEN_STREAK:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
0.5%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
0.3%
MAX_HOLD_BARS:
15
COOLDOWN_BARS:
78
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Munehisa Homma's candlestick patterns in Dojima
Munehisa Homma was a rice trader in 18th century Japan who developed candlestick charting. His insight: after a strong move, there is always exhaustion.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Year to Date:
Jan 1, 2026
→
Feb 14, 2026
(44 days)
| Rank | Symbol | Return | YTD Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
RIOT
|
+6.98% | $13,707 | $14,664 | 16 | 63% | - | +$957 | -9.1% | 0.2h | ✓ | - |
| 2 |
OXY
|
+6.09% | $10,681 | $11,331 | 17 | 65% | - | +$650 | -6.5% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 3 |
GILD
|
+4.84% | $9,433 | $9,889 | 17 | 59% | - | +$457 | -14.9% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 4 |
GME
|
+4.73% | $9,411 | $9,856 | 16 | 69% | - | +$445 | -15.4% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 5 |
MU
|
+3.89% | $11,065 | $11,496 | 16 | 63% | - | +$430 | -4.9% | 0.5h | ✓ | - |
| 6 |
COIN
|
+3.33% | $7,845 | $8,107 | 17 | 59% | - | +$261 | -24.0% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 7 |
SPXU
|
+3.24% | $7,862 | $8,117 | 17 | 53% | - | +$255 | -23.6% | 0.5h | ✓ | - |
| 8 |
XOM
|
+3.22% | $11,125 | $11,484 | 17 | 76% | - | +$358 | -5.5% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 9 |
ARM
|
+2.96% | $10,165 | $10,465 | 17 | 53% | - | +$301 | -13.0% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 10 |
UNH
|
+2.95% | $10,678 | $10,993 | 17 | 59% | - | +$315 | -7.8% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 11 |
VXX
|
+2.84% | $10,809 | $11,116 | 16 | 50% | - | +$307 | -8.6% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 12 |
UVXY
|
+2.81% | $10,987 | $11,296 | 15 | 47% | - | +$309 | -19.1% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 13 |
NIO
|
+2.56% | $8,841 | $9,067 | 16 | 50% | - | +$226 | -22.0% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 14 |
MSFT
|
+2.51% | $9,619 | $9,860 | 17 | 53% | - | +$241 | -7.6% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 15 |
MRNA
|
+2.38% | $10,608 | $10,861 | 16 | 56% | - | +$252 | -8.7% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 16 |
JNJ
|
+2.33% | $11,146 | $11,405 | 16 | 69% | - | +$260 | -3.1% | 1.0h | ✓ | - |
| 17 |
CVX
|
+2.33% | $9,602 | $9,825 | 16 | 69% | - | +$224 | -8.1% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 18 |
XLE
|
+2.28% | $10,381 | $10,618 | 17 | 65% | - | +$237 | -5.7% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 19 |
CSCO
|
+2.20% | $10,346 | $10,573 | 17 | 59% | - | +$228 | -3.8% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 20 |
INTC
|
+2.03% | $9,807 | $10,006 | 16 | 50% | - | +$199 | -10.8% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 21 |
COST
|
+2.00% | $10,621 | $10,833 | 16 | 56% | - | +$212 | -6.5% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 22 |
USO
|
+1.97% | $11,391 | $11,615 | 18 | 56% | - | +$224 | -9.9% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 23 |
AMC
|
+1.91% | $8,608 | $8,772 | 16 | 56% | - | +$164 | -23.0% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 24 |
AXP
|
+1.82% | $11,150 | $11,353 | 15 | 53% | - | +$203 | -2.9% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 25 |
MRK
|
+1.78% | $8,016 | $8,159 | 17 | 53% | - | +$143 | -22.4% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 26 |
VZ
|
+1.66% | $10,392 | $10,565 | 17 | 47% | - | +$173 | -6.3% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 27 |
TSLA
|
+1.55% | $10,346 | $10,507 | 16 | 56% | - | +$160 | -11.2% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 28 |
COP
|
+1.54% | $10,382 | $10,542 | 16 | 50% | - | +$160 | -7.0% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 29 |
RIVN
|
+1.51% | $12,421 | $12,609 | 16 | 44% | - | +$188 | -15.7% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 30 |
META
|
+1.38% | $12,646 | $12,821 | 16 | 50% | - | +$175 | -3.9% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 31 |
PEP
|
+1.27% | $9,995 | $10,122 | 17 | 59% | - | +$127 | -7.8% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 32 |
HD
|
+1.18% | $10,197 | $10,317 | 17 | 47% | - | +$120 | -5.1% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 33 |
TQQQ
|
+1.17% | $10,131 | $10,250 | 17 | 53% | - | +$119 | -10.2% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 34 |
PM
|
+1.12% | $9,816 | $9,926 | 16 | 56% | - | +$110 | -5.9% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 35 |
CMCSA
|
+1.09% | $9,653 | $9,758 | 15 | 60% | - | +$105 | -12.3% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 36 |
BRK-B
|
+0.99% | $9,767 | $9,863 | 16 | 56% | - | +$97 | -6.9% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 37 |
CRM
|
+0.91% | $9,743 | $9,832 | 17 | 47% | - | +$89 | -10.1% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 38 |
BLK
|
+0.81% | $9,564 | $9,641 | 17 | 53% | - | +$77 | -9.5% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 39 |
TLT
|
+0.81% | $10,358 | $10,442 | 16 | 56% | - | +$84 | -2.6% | 1.1h | ✓ | - |
| 40 |
ABBV
|
+0.76% | $9,066 | $9,135 | 15 | 47% | - | +$69 | -11.7% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 41 |
CRWD
|
+0.75% | $10,343 | $10,420 | 17 | 47% | - | +$78 | -6.7% | 0.5h | ✓ | - |
| 42 |
C
|
+0.70% | $9,683 | $9,751 | 16 | 50% | - | +$68 | -7.3% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 43 |
WMT
|
+0.70% | $10,222 | $10,294 | 17 | 47% | - | +$72 | -8.3% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 44 |
SLB
|
+0.63% | $13,190 | $13,273 | 16 | 50% | - | +$83 | -3.7% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 45 |
MCD
|
+0.57% | $10,078 | $10,136 | 16 | 56% | - | +$57 | -7.2% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 46 |
PLTR
|
+0.28% | $10,548 | $10,577 | 16 | 44% | - | +$30 | -6.1% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 47 |
MA
|
+0.21% | $10,488 | $10,510 | 17 | 53% | - | +$22 | -4.9% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 48 |
V
|
+0.17% | $9,128 | $9,143 | 16 | 44% | - | +$16 | -11.1% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 49 |
SOXL
|
+0.11% | $9,382 | $9,393 | 16 | 38% | - | +$10 | -17.9% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 50 |
RBLX
|
+0.08% | $11,367 | $11,377 | 16 | 44% | - | +$9 | -6.0% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 51 |
LCID
|
-0.01% | $7,233 | $7,232 | 16 | 31% | - | -$1 | -31.3% | 0.2h | ✓ | - |
| 52 |
BIIB
|
-0.08% | $9,435 | $9,427 | 17 | 47% | - | -$8 | -14.5% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 53 |
PG
|
-0.18% | $10,387 | $10,369 | 17 | 53% | - | -$19 | -6.0% | 1.0h | ✓ | - |
| 54 |
PFE
|
-0.26% | $9,102 | $9,079 | 16 | 44% | - | -$24 | -11.3% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 55 |
WFC
|
-0.26% | $9,421 | $9,397 | 16 | 50% | - | -$24 | -9.2% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 56 |
KO
|
-0.34% | $10,166 | $10,131 | 15 | 40% | - | -$35 | -4.5% | 1.0h | ✓ | - |
| 57 |
ARKK
|
-0.40% | $9,393 | $9,355 | 15 | 47% | - | -$38 | -11.8% | 0.5h | ✓ | - |
| 58 |
ACN
|
-0.42% | $8,864 | $8,827 | 16 | 50% | - | -$37 | -15.5% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 59 |
MDT
|
-0.43% | $10,491 | $10,446 | 17 | 41% | - | -$45 | -4.0% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 60 |
PYPL
|
-0.48% | $11,454 | $11,399 | 15 | 40% | - | -$55 | -5.5% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 61 |
NFLX
|
-0.48% | $9,322 | $9,278 | 17 | 35% | - | -$45 | -9.2% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 62 |
AMD
|
-0.64% | $9,681 | $9,619 | 16 | 44% | - | -$62 | -11.2% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 63 |
JPM
|
-0.74% | $9,621 | $9,550 | 16 | 38% | - | -$71 | -8.7% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 64 |
AVGO
|
-0.76% | $10,516 | $10,436 | 17 | 41% | - | -$80 | -7.5% | 0.5h | ✓ | - |
| 65 |
BMY
|
-0.77% | $9,252 | $9,181 | 16 | 38% | - | -$71 | -12.2% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 66 |
VRTX
|
-0.80% | $10,218 | $10,136 | 17 | 41% | - | -$82 | -7.2% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 67 |
GS
|
-1.01% | $9,664 | $9,566 | 16 | 44% | - | -$98 | -7.7% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 68 |
IBM
|
-1.03% | $10,355 | $10,248 | 16 | 38% | - | -$107 | -6.8% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 69 |
GOOGL
|
-1.11% | $10,471 | $10,355 | 16 | 38% | - | -$116 | -8.9% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 70 |
VOO
|
-1.12% | $9,254 | $9,150 | 17 | 41% | - | -$104 | -8.8% | 1.1h | ✓ | - |
| 71 |
XLK
|
-1.16% | $10,614 | $10,491 | 16 | 44% | - | -$123 | -9.0% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 72 |
SPY
|
-1.17% | $9,784 | $9,669 | 17 | 41% | - | -$114 | -5.7% | 1.1h | ✓ | - |
| 73 |
DIA
|
-1.25% | $9,453 | $9,335 | 16 | 44% | - | -$118 | -7.3% | 1.1h | ✓ | - |
| 74 |
SCHW
|
-1.32% | $10,249 | $10,114 | 16 | 31% | - | -$135 | -7.6% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 75 |
NVDA
|
-1.34% | $8,727 | $8,610 | 16 | 38% | - | -$117 | -22.3% | 0.5h | ✓ | - |
| 76 |
IWM
|
-1.60% | $9,993 | $9,833 | 16 | 50% | - | -$160 | -6.8% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 77 |
VTI
|
-1.61% | $9,869 | $9,710 | 16 | 38% | - | -$159 | -7.8% | 1.1h | ✓ | - |
| 78 |
LLY
|
-1.66% | $10,806 | $10,626 | 17 | 41% | - | -$179 | -9.2% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 79 |
DKNG
|
-1.70% | $8,391 | $8,249 | 17 | 35% | - | -$143 | -22.9% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 80 |
SOFI
|
-1.71% | $9,381 | $9,220 | 17 | 29% | - | -$160 | -13.7% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 81 |
AMZN
|
-1.71% | $9,732 | $9,565 | 16 | 38% | - | -$166 | -14.5% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 82 |
TMO
|
-1.82% | $9,600 | $9,425 | 16 | 31% | - | -$175 | -10.1% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 83 |
SNOW
|
-1.87% | $8,160 | $8,008 | 16 | 44% | - | -$153 | -24.1% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 84 |
MARA
|
-1.88% | $10,549 | $10,350 | 16 | 25% | - | -$198 | -16.2% | 0.2h | ✓ | - |
| 85 |
ADBE
|
-1.92% | $10,122 | $9,928 | 17 | 29% | - | -$194 | -6.2% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 86 |
REGN
|
-2.02% | $11,470 | $11,238 | 18 | 28% | - | -$232 | -5.2% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 87 |
QQQ
|
-2.24% | $10,037 | $9,812 | 16 | 25% | - | -$225 | -9.9% | 1.0h | ✓ | - |
| 88 |
MS
|
-2.41% | $10,500 | $10,247 | 16 | 31% | - | -$253 | -6.1% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 89 |
NET
|
-2.52% | $8,812 | $8,590 | 16 | 31% | - | -$222 | -16.1% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 90 |
XLF
|
-2.57% | $10,220 | $9,957 | 17 | 35% | - | -$263 | -5.7% | 1.0h | ✓ | - |
| 91 |
BAC
|
-2.57% | $9,105 | $8,871 | 17 | 29% | - | -$234 | -11.3% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 92 |
AAPL
|
-2.96% | $9,437 | $9,158 | 16 | 25% | - | -$279 | -9.9% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 93 |
GLD
|
-3.01% | $9,823 | $9,528 | 16 | 31% | - | -$296 | -6.0% | 1.1h | ✓ | - |
| 94 |
SLV
|
-3.08% | $9,264 | $8,979 | 16 | 38% | - | -$285 | -13.8% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 95 |
ISRG
|
-3.09% | $10,391 | $10,070 | 17 | 24% | - | -$321 | -11.2% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 96 |
HOOD
|
-3.19% | $10,036 | $9,716 | 16 | 25% | - | -$320 | -11.4% | 0.3h | ✓ | - |
| 97 |
AMGN
|
-3.26% | $11,135 | $10,772 | 16 | 19% | - | -$363 | -6.9% | 0.7h | ✓ | - |
| 98 |
ORCL
|
-3.52% | $10,193 | $9,834 | 16 | 38% | - | -$359 | -8.2% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 99 |
DIS
|
-3.70% | $9,230 | $8,888 | 17 | 24% | - | -$342 | -12.2% | 0.8h | ✓ | - |
| 100 |
SQQQ
|
-4.35% | $7,506 | $7,180 | 16 | 19% | - | -$327 | -29.1% | 0.4h | ✓ | - |
| 101 |
PANW
|
-4.40% | $10,049 | $9,607 | 16 | 19% | - | -$442 | -9.2% | 0.6h | ✓ | - |
| 102 |
SMCI
|
-5.73% | $9,573 | $9,024 | 16 | 25% | - | -$549 | -18.7% | 0.2h | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Defensive by nature. Never leads, always counters. Believes the best trades are reactions, not predictions.