13
Orion Breakout
The Early Bird
🌅 Day Trader 📅 36 years old (Born 1990)"The opening range is a coiled spring. When it breaks, ride the explosion."
Intense man in his mid-30s, already on his third coffee by 9:35 AM. Multiple monitors, standing desk. Dark circles under eyes, but alert.
Jan 14, 2026
→
Feb 14, 2026
(31 days)
📊 Last Month Performance: Showing Orion Breakout's performance over the last month across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$10,738
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$10,651
(+$87)
+0.82%
Last Month ROI
43.6%
Win Rate
609
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last Month)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Opening range breakout with 0.5% confirmation
Marks the high and low of the first 30 minutes. When price breaks above (or below) with 0.5% confirmation, enters the trade.
🎯 Best Suited For
High-volume stocks with gap openings
"The first thirty minutes tell you everything. Everything else is noise."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Institutions show their hand early. The first 30 minutes establishes what big players think the day's range should be.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
Close > OR_HIGH × 1.005 (0.5% confirmation above opening range high)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.99 (-1% loss)
• END_OF_DAY: Force exit at last bar of day (day trade style as swing)
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
OR_BARS:
6
BREAKOUT_CONFIRM_PCT:
0.5%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
1%
COOLDOWN_BARS:
78
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Toby Crabel's "Day Trading with Short Term Price Patterns"
Toby Crabel's 1990 book became so valuable it was pulled from publication. Original copies sell for thousands.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Month)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Month)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last Month:
Jan 14, 2026
→
Feb 14, 2026
(31 days)
| Rank | Symbol | Return | 1M Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
SOXL
|
+29.13% | $14,411 | $18,608 | 8 | 75% | - | +$4,198 | -30.1% | 1.9h | ✓ | - |
| 2 |
SQQQ
|
+12.01% | $6,377 | $7,142 | 10 | 60% | - | +$766 | -48.5% | 2.3h | ✓ | - |
| 3 |
GILD
|
+11.89% | $8,569 | $9,587 | 10 | 60% | - | +$1,019 | -25.0% | 4.6h | ✓ | - |
| 4 |
CSCO
|
+10.94% | $8,361 | $9,276 | 7 | 86% | - | +$915 | -21.1% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 5 |
SNOW
|
+10.01% | $4,595 | $5,055 | 4 | 75% | - | +$460 | -58.7% | 3.4h | ✓ | - |
| 6 |
SMCI
|
+9.73% | $11,054 | $12,129 | 9 | 44% | - | +$1,076 | -38.0% | 1.5h | ✓ | - |
| 7 |
AMD
|
+9.29% | $12,182 | $13,314 | 8 | 50% | - | +$1,132 | -18.5% | 3.0h | ✓ | - |
| 8 |
BLK
|
+8.46% | $9,392 | $10,186 | 6 | 67% | - | +$795 | -15.5% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 9 |
VZ
|
+8.37% | $11,709 | $12,689 | 9 | 44% | - | +$980 | -12.4% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 10 |
SLV
|
+7.52% | $12,240 | $13,161 | 9 | 44% | - | +$920 | -17.4% | 4.6h | ✓ | - |
| 11 |
GLD
|
+6.81% | $10,066 | $10,751 | 7 | 57% | - | +$685 | -13.3% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 12 |
CRM
|
+6.70% | $9,510 | $10,147 | 3 | 100% | - | +$637 | -24.2% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 13 |
RIOT
|
+5.47% | $14,282 | $15,064 | 9 | 44% | - | +$781 | -34.5% | 1.2h | ✓ | - |
| 14 |
PEP
|
+5.20% | $9,239 | $9,719 | 7 | 71% | - | +$480 | -14.7% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 15 |
BIIB
|
+5.10% | $8,950 | $9,406 | 7 | 71% | - | +$456 | -16.8% | 3.8h | ✓ | - |
| 16 |
ABBV
|
+4.94% | $12,346 | $12,956 | 8 | 63% | - | +$610 | -8.1% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 17 |
META
|
+4.13% | $10,848 | $11,296 | 7 | 43% | - | +$448 | -12.8% | 4.3h | ✓ | - |
| 18 |
INTC
|
+4.00% | $11,462 | $11,921 | 5 | 60% | - | +$458 | -21.7% | 2.8h | ✓ | - |
| 19 |
AMGN
|
+3.85% | $11,531 | $11,975 | 6 | 50% | - | +$444 | -10.0% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 20 |
AAPL
|
+3.73% | $8,938 | $9,271 | 5 | 60% | - | +$333 | -27.0% | 4.6h | ✓ | - |
| 21 |
SLB
|
+3.66% | $8,379 | $8,686 | 6 | 67% | - | +$307 | -27.5% | 4.1h | ✓ | - |
| 22 |
MRNA
|
+3.65% | $8,622 | $8,937 | 9 | 44% | - | +$315 | -44.7% | 1.7h | ✓ | - |
| 23 |
WMT
|
+3.35% | $11,046 | $11,416 | 7 | 43% | - | +$370 | -8.0% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 24 |
UNH
|
+3.31% | $11,150 | $11,519 | 6 | 50% | - | +$369 | -22.6% | 4.4h | ✓ | - |
| 25 |
SPXU
|
+3.30% | $11,615 | $11,998 | 9 | 56% | - | +$383 | -19.5% | 2.1h | ✓ | - |
| 26 |
AMZN
|
+3.27% | $11,273 | $11,641 | 5 | 60% | - | +$369 | -13.9% | 4.4h | ✓ | - |
| 27 |
KO
|
+3.12% | $11,259 | $11,610 | 7 | 71% | - | +$351 | -9.9% | 5.7h | ✓ | - |
| 28 |
TQQQ
|
+3.01% | $12,391 | $12,763 | 8 | 63% | - | +$373 | -24.3% | 3.4h | ✓ | - |
| 29 |
VRTX
|
+2.98% | $9,526 | $9,810 | 7 | 57% | - | +$284 | -19.1% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 30 |
REGN
|
+2.89% | $6,637 | $6,829 | 4 | 75% | - | +$192 | -39.8% | 4.1h | ✓ | - |
| 31 |
IWM
|
+2.63% | $11,480 | $11,782 | 6 | 83% | - | +$302 | -13.9% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 32 |
CRWD
|
+2.42% | $11,400 | $11,676 | 6 | 50% | - | +$276 | -36.4% | 3.5h | ✓ | - |
| 33 |
MRK
|
+2.27% | $7,161 | $7,324 | 6 | 50% | - | +$163 | -38.3% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 34 |
BRK-B
|
+2.14% | $10,658 | $10,886 | 4 | 50% | - | +$228 | -8.6% | 5.4h | ✓ | - |
| 35 |
ADBE
|
+1.98% | $8,018 | $8,177 | 1 | 100% | - | +$159 | -31.1% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 36 |
MSFT
|
+1.78% | $10,836 | $11,029 | 6 | 50% | - | +$193 | -15.6% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 37 |
HD
|
+1.76% | $9,276 | $9,439 | 5 | 40% | - | +$163 | -23.2% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 38 |
PYPL
|
+1.54% | $12,090 | $12,276 | 2 | 50% | - | +$186 | -18.0% | 4.3h | ✓ | - |
| 39 |
NFLX
|
+1.17% | $8,181 | $8,276 | 3 | 67% | - | +$96 | -23.3% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 40 |
VTI
|
+1.13% | $11,498 | $11,628 | 2 | 100% | - | +$130 | -9.9% | 5.6h | ✓ | - |
| 41 |
PG
|
+1.08% | $9,147 | $9,245 | 6 | 50% | - | +$99 | -17.0% | 5.5h | ✓ | - |
| 42 |
BAC
|
+1.05% | $11,002 | $11,118 | 4 | 50% | - | +$116 | -19.0% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 43 |
VOO
|
+0.98% | $10,840 | $10,947 | 2 | 100% | - | +$106 | -8.6% | 5.7h | ✓ | - |
| 44 |
SPY
|
+0.93% | $10,974 | $11,076 | 2 | 100% | - | +$102 | -8.3% | 5.7h | ✓ | - |
| 45 |
CMCSA
|
+0.77% | $11,031 | $11,116 | 8 | 63% | - | +$85 | -8.3% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 46 |
ARKK
|
+0.64% | $11,605 | $11,680 | 7 | 29% | - | +$74 | -14.6% | 3.8h | ✓ | - |
| 47 |
BMY
|
+0.50% | $13,618 | $13,686 | 4 | 25% | - | +$68 | -7.1% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 48 |
TMO
|
+0.27% | $9,814 | $9,841 | 5 | 40% | - | +$26 | -12.0% | 4.6h | ✓ | - |
| 49 |
TSLA
|
+0.22% | $9,502 | $9,523 | 6 | 50% | - | +$21 | -21.5% | 2.9h | ✓ | - |
| 50 |
TLT
|
+0.07% | $9,254 | $9,260 | 2 | 50% | - | +$6 | -7.9% | 5.9h | ✓ | - |
| 51 |
MDT
|
+0.06% | $9,229 | $9,234 | 6 | 33% | - | +$6 | -17.8% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 52 |
MCD
|
+0.03% | $9,109 | $9,112 | 4 | 50% | - | +$3 | -14.4% | 5.1h | ✓ | - |
| 53 |
AVGO
|
-0.02% | $6,632 | $6,630 | 4 | 25% | - | -$1 | -45.0% | 3.3h | ✓ | - |
| 54 |
DIA
|
-0.14% | $10,976 | $10,961 | 3 | 67% | - | -$15 | -6.0% | 5.8h | ✓ | - |
| 55 |
NVDA
|
-0.18% | $15,029 | $15,002 | 6 | 33% | - | -$27 | -18.7% | 3.5h | ✓ | - |
| 56 |
XOM
|
-0.28% | $9,191 | $9,165 | 6 | 50% | - | -$26 | -16.9% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 57 |
PFE
|
-0.62% | $9,766 | $9,706 | 11 | 55% | - | -$61 | -10.8% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 58 |
COST
|
-0.68% | $12,261 | $12,178 | 5 | 20% | - | -$83 | -7.8% | 5.4h | ✓ | - |
| 59 |
ISRG
|
-0.69% | $11,784 | $11,703 | 2 | 50% | - | -$81 | -16.4% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 60 |
GS
|
-0.74% | $11,222 | $11,139 | 6 | 33% | - | -$83 | -17.6% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 61 |
PANW
|
-0.81% | $7,867 | $7,804 | 6 | 33% | - | -$64 | -31.4% | 4.1h | ✓ | - |
| 62 |
PM
|
-0.89% | $12,694 | $12,581 | 11 | 64% | - | -$113 | -11.5% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 63 |
OXY
|
-1.02% | $8,218 | $8,134 | 6 | 33% | - | -$84 | -23.5% | 4.3h | ✓ | - |
| 64 |
XLF
|
-1.13% | $9,684 | $9,574 | 1 | 0% | - | -$109 | -7.7% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 65 |
JPM
|
-1.13% | $10,946 | $10,822 | 4 | 25% | - | -$124 | -13.9% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 66 |
XLK
|
-1.14% | $11,421 | $11,290 | 5 | 40% | - | -$130 | -10.6% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 67 |
QQQ
|
-1.28% | $10,462 | $10,328 | 5 | 40% | - | -$134 | -12.6% | 5.5h | ✓ | - |
| 68 |
C
|
-1.43% | $13,706 | $13,510 | 6 | 33% | - | -$196 | -12.2% | 4.8h | ✓ | - |
| 69 |
CVX
|
-1.46% | $9,868 | $9,724 | 7 | 29% | - | -$144 | -9.3% | 5.1h | ✓ | - |
| 70 |
MA
|
-1.47% | $10,112 | $9,964 | 3 | 0% | - | -$149 | -10.5% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 71 |
PLTR
|
-1.53% | $15,881 | $15,638 | 5 | 20% | - | -$243 | -16.0% | 2.9h | ✓ | - |
| 72 |
JNJ
|
-1.54% | $10,717 | $10,552 | 4 | 50% | - | -$165 | -17.3% | 5.6h | ✓ | - |
| 73 |
SCHW
|
-1.57% | $10,053 | $9,895 | 7 | 29% | - | -$158 | -13.8% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 74 |
COIN
|
-1.86% | $16,851 | $16,537 | 4 | 25% | - | -$313 | -13.9% | 1.8h | ✓ | - |
| 75 |
XLE
|
-1.87% | $7,978 | $7,829 | 6 | 33% | - | -$149 | -24.9% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 76 |
AXP
|
-1.90% | $9,872 | $9,685 | 4 | 25% | - | -$188 | -15.6% | 4.8h | ✓ | - |
| 77 |
MS
|
-2.05% | $13,608 | $13,329 | 5 | 40% | - | -$279 | -14.4% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 78 |
DIS
|
-2.09% | $7,616 | $7,457 | 6 | 17% | - | -$159 | -32.6% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 79 |
ACN
|
-2.39% | $10,655 | $10,401 | 7 | 29% | - | -$255 | -9.3% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 80 |
GOOGL
|
-2.49% | $13,365 | $13,032 | 6 | 50% | - | -$333 | -13.9% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 81 |
NIO
|
-2.57% | $10,300 | $10,036 | 5 | 20% | - | -$265 | -31.2% | 1.8h | ✓ | - |
| 82 |
USO
|
-2.60% | $7,627 | $7,429 | 6 | 17% | - | -$198 | -31.7% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 83 |
VXX
|
-2.62% | $12,399 | $12,074 | 8 | 25% | - | -$325 | -16.1% | 2.0h | ✓ | - |
| 84 |
LCID
|
-3.02% | $10,854 | $10,526 | 7 | 29% | - | -$328 | -16.8% | 1.4h | ✓ | - |
| 85 |
COP
|
-3.03% | $7,056 | $6,842 | 7 | 29% | - | -$214 | -36.1% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 86 |
MU
|
-3.13% | $19,190 | $18,589 | 6 | 33% | - | -$601 | -19.9% | 3.4h | ✓ | - |
| 87 |
ARM
|
-3.13% | $7,639 | $7,400 | 5 | 20% | - | -$239 | -44.2% | 2.4h | ✓ | - |
| 88 |
V
|
-3.57% | $9,496 | $9,157 | 4 | 0% | - | -$339 | -13.0% | 5.4h | ✓ | - |
| 89 |
WFC
|
-3.77% | $9,715 | $9,349 | 7 | 29% | - | -$366 | -25.4% | 4.8h | ✓ | - |
| 90 |
RIVN
|
-4.16% | $7,810 | $7,485 | 6 | 17% | - | -$325 | -36.7% | 1.6h | ✓ | - |
| 91 |
UVXY
|
-4.42% | $13,289 | $12,702 | 10 | 20% | - | -$587 | -23.6% | 1.2h | ✓ | - |
| 92 |
ORCL
|
-4.57% | $12,213 | $11,655 | 4 | 25% | - | -$558 | -24.5% | 4.0h | ✓ | - |
| 93 |
LLY
|
-4.60% | $11,759 | $11,218 | 6 | 33% | - | -$541 | -11.6% | 4.4h | ✓ | - |
| 94 |
NET
|
-5.18% | $14,164 | $13,431 | 6 | 17% | - | -$734 | -15.2% | 3.5h | ✓ | - |
| 95 |
GME
|
-5.49% | $8,863 | $8,377 | 9 | 33% | - | -$487 | -25.4% | 2.1h | ✓ | - |
| 96 |
HOOD
|
-5.66% | $10,128 | $9,554 | 6 | 0% | - | -$573 | -26.2% | 2.3h | ✓ | - |
| 97 |
DKNG
|
-5.67% | $11,464 | $10,814 | 6 | 0% | - | -$650 | -21.5% | 2.9h | ✓ | - |
| 98 |
MARA
|
-6.18% | $12,454 | $11,684 | 10 | 20% | - | -$770 | -14.8% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 99 |
AMC
|
-7.33% | $8,956 | $8,299 | 9 | 11% | - | -$656 | -33.0% | 1.6h | ✓ | - |
| 100 |
SOFI
|
-8.12% | $14,417 | $13,246 | 8 | 0% | - | -$1,171 | -17.7% | 2.4h | ✓ | - |
| 101 |
RBLX
|
-8.37% | $14,017 | $12,844 | 8 | 13% | - | -$1,173 | -23.7% | 3.2h | ✓ | - |
| 102 |
IBM
|
-10.21% | $10,494 | $9,422 | 6 | 17% | - | -$1,071 | -18.5% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Intense morning energy that crashes by 11 AM. Believes the first 30 minutes contain all the information you need for the day.