13
Orion Breakout
The Early Bird
🌅 Day Trader 📅 36 years old (Born 1990)"The opening range is a coiled spring. When it breaks, ride the explosion."
Intense man in his mid-30s, already on his third coffee by 9:35 AM. Multiple monitors, standing desk. Dark circles under eyes, but alert.
Nov 14, 2025
→
Feb 14, 2026
(92 days)
📊 Last 3 Months Performance: Showing Orion Breakout's performance over the last 3 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$10,781
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$10,672
(+$109)
+1.02%
Last 3 Months ROI
45.5%
Win Rate
1,757
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last 3 Months)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Opening range breakout with 0.5% confirmation
Marks the high and low of the first 30 minutes. When price breaks above (or below) with 0.5% confirmation, enters the trade.
🎯 Best Suited For
High-volume stocks with gap openings
"The first thirty minutes tell you everything. Everything else is noise."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Institutions show their hand early. The first 30 minutes establishes what big players think the day's range should be.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
Close > OR_HIGH × 1.005 (0.5% confirmation above opening range high)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.99 (-1% loss)
• END_OF_DAY: Force exit at last bar of day (day trade style as swing)
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
OR_BARS:
6
BREAKOUT_CONFIRM_PCT:
0.5%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
1%
COOLDOWN_BARS:
78
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Toby Crabel's "Day Trading with Short Term Price Patterns"
Toby Crabel's 1990 book became so valuable it was pulled from publication. Original copies sell for thousands.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last 3 Months:
Nov 14, 2025
→
Feb 14, 2026
(92 days)
| Rank | Symbol | Return | 3M Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
SOXL
|
+29.02% | $14,423 | $18,608 | 26 | 46% | - | +$4,186 | -30.1% | 1.9h | ✓ | - |
| 2 |
SQQQ
|
+18.37% | $6,034 | $7,142 | 21 | 52% | - | +$1,108 | -48.5% | 2.3h | ✓ | - |
| 3 |
BLK
|
+15.95% | $8,785 | $10,186 | 16 | 63% | - | +$1,401 | -15.5% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 4 |
UNH
|
+15.06% | $10,012 | $11,519 | 13 | 69% | - | +$1,508 | -22.6% | 4.4h | ✓ | - |
| 5 |
SLV
|
+14.71% | $11,473 | $13,161 | 31 | 48% | - | +$1,688 | -17.4% | 4.6h | ✓ | - |
| 6 |
INTC
|
+14.64% | $10,398 | $11,921 | 21 | 48% | - | +$1,522 | -21.7% | 2.8h | ✓ | - |
| 7 |
MRNA
|
+14.38% | $7,813 | $8,937 | 31 | 52% | - | +$1,124 | -44.7% | 1.7h | ✓ | - |
| 8 |
GILD
|
+13.54% | $8,444 | $9,587 | 19 | 58% | - | +$1,143 | -25.0% | 4.6h | ✓ | - |
| 9 |
C
|
+12.67% | $11,991 | $13,510 | 21 | 62% | - | +$1,519 | -12.2% | 4.8h | ✓ | - |
| 10 |
WMT
|
+10.62% | $10,320 | $11,416 | 23 | 57% | - | +$1,096 | -8.0% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 11 |
SLB
|
+9.92% | $7,902 | $8,686 | 21 | 52% | - | +$784 | -27.5% | 4.1h | ✓ | - |
| 12 |
BAC
|
+9.34% | $10,168 | $11,118 | 15 | 67% | - | +$950 | -19.0% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 13 |
GLD
|
+9.05% | $9,859 | $10,751 | 15 | 60% | - | +$892 | -13.3% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 14 |
HD
|
+8.78% | $8,678 | $9,439 | 15 | 53% | - | +$762 | -23.2% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 15 |
CSCO
|
+8.76% | $8,528 | $9,276 | 17 | 65% | - | +$747 | -21.1% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 16 |
IWM
|
+8.47% | $10,862 | $11,782 | 21 | 67% | - | +$920 | -13.9% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 17 |
MDT
|
+7.83% | $8,564 | $9,234 | 9 | 56% | - | +$671 | -17.8% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 18 |
LCID
|
+7.72% | $9,772 | $10,526 | 24 | 46% | - | +$754 | -16.8% | 1.4h | ✓ | - |
| 19 |
MRK
|
+7.68% | $6,802 | $7,324 | 17 | 65% | - | +$522 | -38.3% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 20 |
AMZN
|
+7.61% | $10,818 | $11,641 | 16 | 50% | - | +$823 | -13.9% | 4.4h | ✓ | - |
| 21 |
MS
|
+7.42% | $12,409 | $13,329 | 19 | 63% | - | +$921 | -14.4% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 22 |
JNJ
|
+7.32% | $9,832 | $10,552 | 15 | 67% | - | +$720 | -17.3% | 5.6h | ✓ | - |
| 23 |
PEP
|
+6.99% | $9,084 | $9,719 | 14 | 64% | - | +$635 | -14.7% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 24 |
KO
|
+6.86% | $10,865 | $11,610 | 11 | 82% | - | +$745 | -9.9% | 5.7h | ✓ | - |
| 25 |
CRM
|
+6.79% | $9,502 | $10,147 | 16 | 56% | - | +$645 | -24.2% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 26 |
JPM
|
+5.77% | $10,232 | $10,822 | 16 | 63% | - | +$590 | -13.9% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 27 |
AAPL
|
+5.71% | $8,771 | $9,271 | 10 | 60% | - | +$501 | -27.0% | 4.6h | ✓ | - |
| 28 |
VRTX
|
+5.12% | $9,332 | $9,810 | 16 | 50% | - | +$478 | -19.1% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 29 |
AMD
|
+4.98% | $12,683 | $13,314 | 17 | 47% | - | +$632 | -18.5% | 3.0h | ✓ | - |
| 30 |
SCHW
|
+4.89% | $9,434 | $9,895 | 17 | 41% | - | +$461 | -13.8% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 31 |
ACN
|
+4.30% | $9,972 | $10,401 | 18 | 44% | - | +$429 | -9.3% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 32 |
CMCSA
|
+4.17% | $10,671 | $11,116 | 23 | 52% | - | +$445 | -8.3% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 33 |
BMY
|
+4.14% | $13,142 | $13,686 | 15 | 40% | - | +$544 | -7.1% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 34 |
AXP
|
+3.88% | $9,323 | $9,685 | 18 | 50% | - | +$362 | -15.6% | 4.8h | ✓ | - |
| 35 |
VTI
|
+3.75% | $11,208 | $11,628 | 8 | 75% | - | +$420 | -9.9% | 5.6h | ✓ | - |
| 36 |
MU
|
+3.70% | $17,926 | $18,589 | 18 | 50% | - | +$663 | -19.9% | 3.4h | ✓ | - |
| 37 |
VOO
|
+3.50% | $10,576 | $10,947 | 7 | 86% | - | +$370 | -8.6% | 5.7h | ✓ | - |
| 38 |
SPY
|
+3.47% | $10,705 | $11,076 | 7 | 86% | - | +$371 | -8.3% | 5.7h | ✓ | - |
| 39 |
REGN
|
+3.31% | $6,610 | $6,829 | 14 | 57% | - | +$219 | -39.8% | 4.1h | ✓ | - |
| 40 |
ISRG
|
+3.19% | $11,341 | $11,703 | 11 | 55% | - | +$362 | -16.4% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 41 |
VZ
|
+2.79% | $12,345 | $12,689 | 14 | 36% | - | +$344 | -12.4% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 42 |
PM
|
+2.64% | $12,258 | $12,581 | 24 | 54% | - | +$324 | -11.5% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 43 |
PG
|
+2.59% | $9,012 | $9,245 | 11 | 64% | - | +$233 | -17.0% | 5.5h | ✓ | - |
| 44 |
AMGN
|
+2.34% | $11,701 | $11,975 | 14 | 36% | - | +$274 | -10.0% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 45 |
TMO
|
+2.32% | $9,618 | $9,841 | 15 | 47% | - | +$223 | -12.0% | 4.6h | ✓ | - |
| 46 |
GS
|
+2.13% | $10,906 | $11,139 | 22 | 45% | - | +$232 | -17.6% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 47 |
WFC
|
+1.83% | $9,181 | $9,349 | 21 | 43% | - | +$168 | -25.4% | 4.8h | ✓ | - |
| 48 |
SMCI
|
+1.81% | $11,914 | $12,129 | 22 | 36% | - | +$216 | -38.0% | 1.5h | ✓ | - |
| 49 |
SNOW
|
+1.67% | $4,972 | $5,055 | 17 | 53% | - | +$83 | -58.7% | 3.4h | ✓ | - |
| 50 |
CVX
|
+1.62% | $9,569 | $9,724 | 16 | 44% | - | +$155 | -9.3% | 5.1h | ✓ | - |
| 51 |
PANW
|
+1.27% | $7,706 | $7,804 | 15 | 47% | - | +$98 | -31.4% | 4.1h | ✓ | - |
| 52 |
BRK-B
|
+1.17% | $10,760 | $10,886 | 8 | 38% | - | +$126 | -8.6% | 5.4h | ✓ | - |
| 53 |
ARKK
|
+0.70% | $11,599 | $11,680 | 19 | 42% | - | +$81 | -14.6% | 3.8h | ✓ | - |
| 54 |
DIA
|
+0.51% | $10,905 | $10,961 | 13 | 62% | - | +$56 | -6.0% | 5.8h | ✓ | - |
| 55 |
NIO
|
+0.09% | $10,026 | $10,036 | 17 | 29% | - | +$9 | -31.2% | 1.8h | ✓ | - |
| 56 |
QQQ
|
-0.28% | $10,357 | $10,328 | 12 | 50% | - | -$29 | -12.6% | 5.5h | ✓ | - |
| 57 |
OXY
|
-0.39% | $8,166 | $8,134 | 19 | 37% | - | -$32 | -23.5% | 4.3h | ✓ | - |
| 58 |
MCD
|
-0.48% | $9,156 | $9,112 | 9 | 56% | - | -$44 | -14.4% | 5.1h | ✓ | - |
| 59 |
XLE
|
-0.76% | $7,889 | $7,829 | 16 | 38% | - | -$60 | -24.9% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 60 |
ABBV
|
-1.42% | $13,143 | $12,956 | 15 | 47% | - | -$187 | -8.1% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 61 |
XLF
|
-1.50% | $9,720 | $9,574 | 9 | 33% | - | -$146 | -7.7% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 62 |
TLT
|
-1.53% | $9,404 | $9,260 | 5 | 40% | - | -$144 | -7.9% | 5.9h | ✓ | - |
| 63 |
COP
|
-1.62% | $6,955 | $6,842 | 22 | 41% | - | -$113 | -36.1% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 64 |
MSFT
|
-1.77% | $11,227 | $11,029 | 15 | 33% | - | -$199 | -15.6% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 65 |
COST
|
-1.87% | $12,410 | $12,178 | 16 | 31% | - | -$232 | -7.8% | 5.4h | ✓ | - |
| 66 |
XOM
|
-1.93% | $9,345 | $9,165 | 18 | 39% | - | -$180 | -16.9% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 67 |
PLTR
|
-2.09% | $15,972 | $15,638 | 22 | 41% | - | -$334 | -16.0% | 2.9h | ✓ | - |
| 68 |
DIS
|
-2.09% | $7,616 | $7,457 | 17 | 35% | - | -$159 | -32.6% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 69 |
META
|
-2.44% | $11,578 | $11,296 | 19 | 26% | - | -$283 | -12.8% | 4.3h | ✓ | - |
| 70 |
MA
|
-2.58% | $10,227 | $9,964 | 10 | 40% | - | -$264 | -10.5% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 71 |
RIOT
|
-2.84% | $15,504 | $15,064 | 26 | 35% | - | -$440 | -34.5% | 1.2h | ✓ | - |
| 72 |
PFE
|
-2.99% | $10,005 | $9,706 | 20 | 50% | - | -$299 | -10.8% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 73 |
USO
|
-3.28% | $7,681 | $7,429 | 20 | 35% | - | -$252 | -31.7% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 74 |
SPXU
|
-3.63% | $12,450 | $11,998 | 19 | 53% | - | -$452 | -19.5% | 2.1h | ✓ | - |
| 75 |
GOOGL
|
-3.80% | $13,547 | $13,032 | 14 | 43% | - | -$515 | -13.9% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 76 |
V
|
-3.96% | $9,535 | $9,157 | 10 | 30% | - | -$378 | -13.0% | 5.4h | ✓ | - |
| 77 |
COIN
|
-3.97% | $17,221 | $16,537 | 18 | 33% | - | -$684 | -13.9% | 1.8h | ✓ | - |
| 78 |
TQQQ
|
-4.18% | $13,320 | $12,763 | 26 | 46% | - | -$557 | -24.3% | 3.4h | ✓ | - |
| 79 |
TSLA
|
-4.21% | $9,941 | $9,523 | 20 | 40% | - | -$419 | -21.5% | 2.9h | ✓ | - |
| 80 |
RIVN
|
-4.32% | $7,823 | $7,485 | 24 | 29% | - | -$338 | -36.7% | 1.6h | ✓ | - |
| 81 |
ADBE
|
-4.51% | $8,563 | $8,177 | 14 | 29% | - | -$386 | -31.1% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 82 |
XLK
|
-4.81% | $11,861 | $11,290 | 16 | 44% | - | -$571 | -10.6% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 83 |
LLY
|
-4.90% | $11,796 | $11,218 | 15 | 40% | - | -$578 | -11.6% | 4.4h | ✓ | - |
| 84 |
NFLX
|
-5.06% | $8,718 | $8,276 | 10 | 30% | - | -$441 | -23.3% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 85 |
PYPL
|
-5.33% | $12,967 | $12,276 | 8 | 13% | - | -$691 | -18.0% | 4.3h | ✓ | - |
| 86 |
CRWD
|
-6.22% | $12,451 | $11,676 | 17 | 29% | - | -$774 | -36.4% | 3.5h | ✓ | - |
| 87 |
BIIB
|
-6.85% | $10,098 | $9,406 | 22 | 36% | - | -$692 | -16.8% | 3.8h | ✓ | - |
| 88 |
VXX
|
-7.41% | $13,040 | $12,074 | 20 | 25% | - | -$966 | -16.1% | 2.0h | ✓ | - |
| 89 |
ARM
|
-7.81% | $8,026 | $7,400 | 11 | 27% | - | -$627 | -44.2% | 2.4h | ✓ | - |
| 90 |
AMC
|
-8.42% | $9,062 | $8,299 | 20 | 25% | - | -$763 | -33.0% | 1.6h | ✓ | - |
| 91 |
UVXY
|
-9.15% | $13,981 | $12,702 | 23 | 26% | - | -$1,279 | -23.6% | 1.2h | ✓ | - |
| 92 |
SOFI
|
-9.35% | $14,612 | $13,246 | 27 | 30% | - | -$1,366 | -17.7% | 2.4h | ✓ | - |
| 93 |
NET
|
-9.57% | $14,852 | $13,431 | 19 | 42% | - | -$1,421 | -15.2% | 3.5h | ✓ | - |
| 94 |
AVGO
|
-9.76% | $7,348 | $6,630 | 15 | 47% | - | -$717 | -45.0% | 3.3h | ✓ | - |
| 95 |
DKNG
|
-9.81% | $11,990 | $10,814 | 22 | 23% | - | -$1,176 | -21.5% | 2.9h | ✓ | - |
| 96 |
GME
|
-10.53% | $9,362 | $8,377 | 25 | 28% | - | -$986 | -25.4% | 2.1h | ✓ | - |
| 97 |
IBM
|
-11.18% | $10,608 | $9,422 | 18 | 33% | - | -$1,186 | -18.5% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 98 |
RBLX
|
-12.65% | $14,704 | $12,844 | 23 | 22% | - | -$1,860 | -23.7% | 3.2h | ✓ | - |
| 99 |
NVDA
|
-13.01% | $17,246 | $15,002 | 16 | 25% | - | -$2,244 | -18.7% | 3.5h | ✓ | - |
| 100 |
MARA
|
-13.91% | $13,572 | $11,684 | 27 | 26% | - | -$1,888 | -14.8% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 101 |
HOOD
|
-14.02% | $11,112 | $9,554 | 19 | 32% | - | -$1,558 | -26.2% | 2.3h | ✓ | - |
| 102 |
ORCL
|
-20.63% | $14,685 | $11,655 | 19 | 37% | - | -$3,029 | -24.5% | 4.0h | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Intense morning energy that crashes by 11 AM. Believes the first 30 minutes contain all the information you need for the day.