13
Orion Breakout
The Early Bird
🌅 Day Trader 📅 36 years old (Born 1990)"The opening range is a coiled spring. When it breaks, ride the explosion."
Intense man in his mid-30s, already on his third coffee by 9:35 AM. Multiple monitors, standing desk. Dark circles under eyes, but alert.
Aug 14, 2025
→
Feb 14, 2026
(184 days)
📊 Last 6 Months Performance: Showing Orion Breakout's performance over the last 6 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$10,757
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$10,349
(+$408)
+3.95%
Last 6 Months ROI
45.7%
Win Rate
3,557
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last 6 Months)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Opening range breakout with 0.5% confirmation
Marks the high and low of the first 30 minutes. When price breaks above (or below) with 0.5% confirmation, enters the trade.
🎯 Best Suited For
High-volume stocks with gap openings
"The first thirty minutes tell you everything. Everything else is noise."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Institutions show their hand early. The first 30 minutes establishes what big players think the day's range should be.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
Close > OR_HIGH × 1.005 (0.5% confirmation above opening range high)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.99 (-1% loss)
• END_OF_DAY: Force exit at last bar of day (day trade style as swing)
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
OR_BARS:
6
BREAKOUT_CONFIRM_PCT:
0.5%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
1%
COOLDOWN_BARS:
78
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Toby Crabel's "Day Trading with Short Term Price Patterns"
Toby Crabel's 1990 book became so valuable it was pulled from publication. Original copies sell for thousands.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last 6 Months:
Aug 14, 2025
→
Feb 14, 2026
(184 days)
| Rank | Symbol | Return | 6M Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
SOXL
|
+83.08% | $10,164 | $18,608 | 58 | 55% | - | +$8,444 | -30.1% | 1.9h | ✓ | - |
| 2 |
MU
|
+40.52% | $13,229 | $18,589 | 49 | 55% | - | +$5,360 | -19.9% | 3.4h | ✓ | - |
| 3 |
SLV
|
+34.66% | $9,773 | $13,161 | 55 | 58% | - | +$3,387 | -17.4% | 4.6h | ✓ | - |
| 4 |
RIOT
|
+32.84% | $11,340 | $15,064 | 52 | 48% | - | +$3,724 | -34.5% | 1.2h | ✓ | - |
| 5 |
UNH
|
+32.19% | $8,714 | $11,519 | 33 | 67% | - | +$2,805 | -22.6% | 4.4h | ✓ | - |
| 6 |
ISRG
|
+24.91% | $9,369 | $11,703 | 34 | 53% | - | +$2,334 | -16.4% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 7 |
MRNA
|
+24.55% | $7,175 | $8,937 | 54 | 50% | - | +$1,762 | -44.7% | 1.7h | ✓ | - |
| 8 |
CRM
|
+21.43% | $8,357 | $10,147 | 35 | 57% | - | +$1,791 | -24.2% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 9 |
AAPL
|
+18.64% | $7,815 | $9,271 | 25 | 72% | - | +$1,457 | -27.0% | 4.6h | ✓ | - |
| 10 |
SQQQ
|
+17.99% | $6,053 | $7,142 | 51 | 41% | - | +$1,089 | -48.5% | 2.3h | ✓ | - |
| 11 |
INTC
|
+16.60% | $10,223 | $11,921 | 44 | 48% | - | +$1,697 | -21.7% | 2.8h | ✓ | - |
| 12 |
C
|
+16.21% | $11,626 | $13,510 | 43 | 56% | - | +$1,885 | -12.2% | 4.8h | ✓ | - |
| 13 |
COIN
|
+15.26% | $14,348 | $16,537 | 43 | 44% | - | +$2,189 | -13.9% | 1.8h | ✓ | - |
| 14 |
GLD
|
+15.18% | $9,334 | $10,751 | 33 | 70% | - | +$1,417 | -13.3% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 15 |
BLK
|
+14.17% | $8,922 | $10,186 | 25 | 56% | - | +$1,264 | -15.5% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 16 |
MS
|
+13.68% | $11,725 | $13,329 | 34 | 59% | - | +$1,604 | -14.4% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 17 |
ABBV
|
+13.51% | $11,414 | $12,956 | 28 | 57% | - | +$1,542 | -8.1% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 18 |
CSCO
|
+12.94% | $8,213 | $9,276 | 33 | 58% | - | +$1,063 | -21.1% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 19 |
JNJ
|
+12.31% | $9,395 | $10,552 | 30 | 67% | - | +$1,157 | -17.3% | 5.6h | ✓ | - |
| 20 |
GOOGL
|
+12.20% | $11,615 | $13,032 | 36 | 53% | - | +$1,417 | -13.9% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 21 |
IWM
|
+11.90% | $10,529 | $11,782 | 36 | 61% | - | +$1,253 | -13.9% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 22 |
SLB
|
+9.10% | $7,961 | $8,686 | 41 | 49% | - | +$724 | -27.5% | 4.1h | ✓ | - |
| 23 |
AXP
|
+8.60% | $8,918 | $9,685 | 37 | 54% | - | +$767 | -15.6% | 4.8h | ✓ | - |
| 24 |
PYPL
|
+8.53% | $11,311 | $12,276 | 24 | 42% | - | +$965 | -18.0% | 4.3h | ✓ | - |
| 25 |
MRK
|
+8.20% | $6,769 | $7,324 | 31 | 55% | - | +$555 | -38.3% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 26 |
ADBE
|
+7.99% | $7,572 | $8,177 | 29 | 52% | - | +$605 | -31.1% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 27 |
NIO
|
+7.64% | $9,323 | $10,036 | 39 | 41% | - | +$712 | -31.2% | 1.8h | ✓ | - |
| 28 |
KO
|
+7.34% | $10,816 | $11,610 | 23 | 61% | - | +$794 | -9.9% | 5.7h | ✓ | - |
| 29 |
HD
|
+7.21% | $8,805 | $9,439 | 30 | 43% | - | +$635 | -23.2% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 30 |
PM
|
+6.91% | $11,768 | $12,581 | 44 | 59% | - | +$813 | -11.5% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 31 |
LLY
|
+6.72% | $10,511 | $11,218 | 39 | 49% | - | +$706 | -11.6% | 4.4h | ✓ | - |
| 32 |
CMCSA
|
+6.34% | $10,454 | $11,116 | 39 | 54% | - | +$663 | -8.3% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 33 |
SOFI
|
+6.29% | $12,462 | $13,246 | 51 | 39% | - | +$784 | -17.7% | 2.4h | ✓ | - |
| 34 |
BAC
|
+6.24% | $10,465 | $11,118 | 30 | 53% | - | +$653 | -19.0% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 35 |
ACN
|
+6.17% | $9,796 | $10,401 | 36 | 44% | - | +$604 | -9.3% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 36 |
ARKK
|
+6.04% | $11,014 | $11,680 | 39 | 44% | - | +$665 | -14.6% | 3.8h | ✓ | - |
| 37 |
WMT
|
+5.96% | $10,774 | $11,416 | 38 | 50% | - | +$642 | -8.0% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 38 |
PLTR
|
+5.75% | $14,788 | $15,638 | 45 | 42% | - | +$850 | -16.0% | 2.9h | ✓ | - |
| 39 |
WFC
|
+5.21% | $8,886 | $9,349 | 40 | 50% | - | +$463 | -25.4% | 4.8h | ✓ | - |
| 40 |
SMCI
|
+5.04% | $11,547 | $12,129 | 38 | 37% | - | +$582 | -38.0% | 1.5h | ✓ | - |
| 41 |
ORCL
|
+5.03% | $11,097 | $11,655 | 38 | 37% | - | +$558 | -24.5% | 4.0h | ✓ | - |
| 42 |
PEP
|
+4.96% | $9,260 | $9,719 | 24 | 46% | - | +$459 | -14.7% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 43 |
VRTX
|
+4.60% | $9,379 | $9,810 | 35 | 43% | - | +$431 | -19.1% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 44 |
BMY
|
+4.48% | $13,099 | $13,686 | 31 | 39% | - | +$587 | -7.1% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 45 |
TQQQ
|
+3.87% | $12,288 | $12,763 | 53 | 49% | - | +$476 | -24.3% | 3.4h | ✓ | - |
| 46 |
VOO
|
+3.50% | $10,576 | $10,947 | 12 | 67% | - | +$370 | -8.6% | 5.7h | ✓ | - |
| 47 |
SPY
|
+3.49% | $10,703 | $11,076 | 12 | 67% | - | +$374 | -8.3% | 5.7h | ✓ | - |
| 48 |
REGN
|
+3.41% | $6,604 | $6,829 | 39 | 49% | - | +$225 | -39.8% | 4.1h | ✓ | - |
| 49 |
VTI
|
+3.28% | $11,259 | $11,628 | 15 | 67% | - | +$369 | -9.9% | 5.6h | ✓ | - |
| 50 |
MDT
|
+3.20% | $8,948 | $9,234 | 18 | 44% | - | +$286 | -17.8% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 51 |
DIA
|
+2.85% | $10,657 | $10,961 | 19 | 63% | - | +$304 | -6.0% | 5.8h | ✓ | - |
| 52 |
LCID
|
+2.67% | $10,252 | $10,526 | 48 | 38% | - | +$274 | -16.8% | 1.4h | ✓ | - |
| 53 |
BRK-B
|
+2.11% | $10,661 | $10,886 | 17 | 41% | - | +$225 | -8.6% | 5.4h | ✓ | - |
| 54 |
CVX
|
+2.02% | $9,532 | $9,724 | 24 | 50% | - | +$193 | -9.3% | 5.1h | ✓ | - |
| 55 |
XLE
|
+1.62% | $7,704 | $7,829 | 30 | 47% | - | +$125 | -24.9% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 56 |
GILD
|
+1.61% | $9,436 | $9,587 | 38 | 42% | - | +$152 | -25.0% | 4.6h | ✓ | - |
| 57 |
JPM
|
+1.43% | $10,669 | $10,822 | 30 | 53% | - | +$153 | -13.9% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 58 |
GS
|
+1.32% | $10,993 | $11,139 | 39 | 41% | - | +$145 | -17.6% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 59 |
AMGN
|
+1.25% | $11,827 | $11,975 | 36 | 44% | - | +$148 | -10.0% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 60 |
QQQ
|
+1.15% | $10,211 | $10,328 | 22 | 59% | - | +$117 | -12.6% | 5.5h | ✓ | - |
| 61 |
PANW
|
+1.03% | $7,724 | $7,804 | 28 | 50% | - | +$80 | -31.4% | 4.1h | ✓ | - |
| 62 |
RIVN
|
+0.80% | $7,425 | $7,485 | 51 | 35% | - | +$59 | -36.7% | 1.6h | ✓ | - |
| 63 |
SPXU
|
+0.41% | $11,949 | $11,998 | 29 | 52% | - | +$49 | -19.5% | 2.1h | ✓ | - |
| 64 |
SCHW
|
-0.19% | $9,914 | $9,895 | 32 | 47% | - | -$19 | -13.8% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 65 |
MARA
|
-0.61% | $11,756 | $11,684 | 49 | 39% | - | -$72 | -14.8% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 66 |
OXY
|
-0.81% | $8,200 | $8,134 | 37 | 38% | - | -$66 | -23.5% | 4.3h | ✓ | - |
| 67 |
TLT
|
-1.31% | $9,383 | $9,260 | 9 | 44% | - | -$123 | -7.9% | 5.9h | ✓ | - |
| 68 |
VZ
|
-1.50% | $12,883 | $12,689 | 27 | 37% | - | -$193 | -12.4% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 69 |
XLF
|
-1.62% | $9,732 | $9,574 | 17 | 41% | - | -$158 | -7.7% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 70 |
AMZN
|
-1.66% | $11,838 | $11,641 | 35 | 37% | - | -$197 | -13.9% | 4.4h | ✓ | - |
| 71 |
MCD
|
-1.78% | $9,277 | $9,112 | 21 | 52% | - | -$165 | -14.4% | 5.1h | ✓ | - |
| 72 |
COST
|
-2.23% | $12,456 | $12,178 | 25 | 32% | - | -$278 | -7.8% | 5.4h | ✓ | - |
| 73 |
PFE
|
-2.69% | $9,974 | $9,706 | 30 | 47% | - | -$268 | -10.8% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 74 |
XLK
|
-2.79% | $11,614 | $11,290 | 29 | 55% | - | -$324 | -10.6% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 75 |
XOM
|
-3.02% | $9,450 | $9,165 | 33 | 48% | - | -$285 | -16.9% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 76 |
VXX
|
-3.49% | $12,510 | $12,074 | 51 | 31% | - | -$437 | -16.1% | 2.0h | ✓ | - |
| 77 |
NVDA
|
-3.74% | $15,585 | $15,002 | 36 | 39% | - | -$583 | -18.7% | 3.5h | ✓ | - |
| 78 |
AMD
|
-3.96% | $13,863 | $13,314 | 39 | 38% | - | -$549 | -18.5% | 3.0h | ✓ | - |
| 79 |
TMO
|
-4.30% | $10,283 | $9,841 | 35 | 34% | - | -$442 | -12.0% | 4.6h | ✓ | - |
| 80 |
USO
|
-4.52% | $7,781 | $7,429 | 42 | 38% | - | -$352 | -31.7% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 81 |
NET
|
-4.57% | $14,074 | $13,431 | 42 | 48% | - | -$643 | -15.2% | 3.5h | ✓ | - |
| 82 |
MA
|
-4.85% | $10,471 | $9,964 | 23 | 39% | - | -$508 | -10.5% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 83 |
SNOW
|
-4.98% | $5,320 | $5,055 | 36 | 39% | - | -$265 | -58.7% | 3.4h | ✓ | - |
| 84 |
META
|
-5.34% | $11,933 | $11,296 | 30 | 33% | - | -$637 | -12.8% | 4.3h | ✓ | - |
| 85 |
PG
|
-5.53% | $9,787 | $9,245 | 22 | 41% | - | -$541 | -17.0% | 5.5h | ✓ | - |
| 86 |
TSLA
|
-5.61% | $10,089 | $9,523 | 45 | 38% | - | -$566 | -21.5% | 2.9h | ✓ | - |
| 87 |
NFLX
|
-5.95% | $8,800 | $8,276 | 26 | 42% | - | -$524 | -23.3% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 88 |
MSFT
|
-6.47% | $11,792 | $11,029 | 26 | 31% | - | -$763 | -15.6% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 89 |
BIIB
|
-6.52% | $10,062 | $9,406 | 44 | 36% | - | -$656 | -16.8% | 3.8h | ✓ | - |
| 90 |
V
|
-6.72% | $9,817 | $9,157 | 20 | 35% | - | -$660 | -13.0% | 5.4h | ✓ | - |
| 91 |
COP
|
-9.79% | $7,585 | $6,842 | 41 | 37% | - | -$743 | -36.1% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 92 |
RBLX
|
-10.67% | $14,378 | $12,844 | 38 | 24% | - | -$1,534 | -23.7% | 3.2h | ✓ | - |
| 93 |
AVGO
|
-11.55% | $7,496 | $6,630 | 31 | 42% | - | -$866 | -45.0% | 3.3h | ✓ | - |
| 94 |
CRWD
|
-11.62% | $13,211 | $11,676 | 36 | 31% | - | -$1,535 | -36.4% | 3.5h | ✓ | - |
| 95 |
UVXY
|
-12.53% | $14,521 | $12,702 | 55 | 29% | - | -$1,820 | -23.6% | 1.2h | ✓ | - |
| 96 |
GME
|
-13.01% | $9,629 | $8,377 | 48 | 29% | - | -$1,253 | -25.4% | 2.1h | ✓ | - |
| 97 |
IBM
|
-13.27% | $10,864 | $9,422 | 40 | 35% | - | -$1,442 | -18.5% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 98 |
DIS
|
-14.38% | $8,710 | $7,457 | 33 | 30% | - | -$1,252 | -32.6% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 99 |
DKNG
|
-14.89% | $12,706 | $10,814 | 41 | 29% | - | -$1,892 | -21.5% | 2.9h | ✓ | - |
| 100 |
HOOD
|
-20.50% | $12,018 | $9,554 | 47 | 30% | - | -$2,464 | -26.2% | 2.3h | ✓ | - |
| 101 |
ARM
|
-20.86% | $9,350 | $7,400 | 33 | 21% | - | -$1,950 | -44.2% | 2.4h | ✓ | - |
| 102 |
AMC
|
-23.91% | $10,907 | $8,299 | 41 | 17% | - | -$2,608 | -33.0% | 1.6h | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Intense morning energy that crashes by 11 AM. Believes the first 30 minutes contain all the information you need for the day.