13
Orion Breakout
The Early Bird
🌅 Day Trader 📅 36 years old (Born 1990)"The opening range is a coiled spring. When it breaks, ride the explosion."
Intense man in his mid-30s, already on his third coffee by 9:35 AM. Multiple monitors, standing desk. Dark circles under eyes, but alert.
Jan 1, 2026
→
Feb 14, 2026
(44 days)
📊 Year to Date Performance: Showing Orion Breakout's performance over the year to date across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$10,752
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$10,623
(+$128)
+1.21%
Year to Date ROI
45.4%
Win Rate
881
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Year to Date)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Opening range breakout with 0.5% confirmation
Marks the high and low of the first 30 minutes. When price breaks above (or below) with 0.5% confirmation, enters the trade.
🎯 Best Suited For
High-volume stocks with gap openings
"The first thirty minutes tell you everything. Everything else is noise."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Institutions show their hand early. The first 30 minutes establishes what big players think the day's range should be.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
Close > OR_HIGH × 1.005 (0.5% confirmation above opening range high)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% gain)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.99 (-1% loss)
• END_OF_DAY: Force exit at last bar of day (day trade style as swing)
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
OR_BARS:
6
BREAKOUT_CONFIRM_PCT:
0.5%
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
1%
COOLDOWN_BARS:
78
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Toby Crabel's "Day Trading with Short Term Price Patterns"
Toby Crabel's 1990 book became so valuable it was pulled from publication. Original copies sell for thousands.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Year to Date:
Jan 1, 2026
→
Feb 14, 2026
(44 days)
| Rank | Symbol | Return | YTD Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
SOXL
|
+41.79% | $13,124 | $18,608 | 13 | 62% | - | +$5,484 | -30.1% | 1.9h | ✓ | - |
| 2 |
AMD
|
+15.28% | $11,549 | $13,314 | 9 | 56% | - | +$1,765 | -18.5% | 3.0h | ✓ | - |
| 3 |
GILD
|
+12.24% | $8,542 | $9,587 | 13 | 62% | - | +$1,046 | -25.0% | 4.6h | ✓ | - |
| 4 |
INTC
|
+11.13% | $10,727 | $11,921 | 9 | 56% | - | +$1,194 | -21.7% | 2.8h | ✓ | - |
| 5 |
SNOW
|
+11.04% | $4,552 | $5,055 | 7 | 71% | - | +$503 | -58.7% | 3.4h | ✓ | - |
| 6 |
BLK
|
+10.76% | $9,197 | $10,186 | 9 | 56% | - | +$990 | -15.5% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 7 |
CSCO
|
+9.77% | $8,450 | $9,276 | 7 | 86% | - | +$826 | -21.1% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 8 |
SQQQ
|
+9.40% | $6,529 | $7,142 | 13 | 54% | - | +$614 | -48.5% | 2.3h | ✓ | - |
| 9 |
AMGN
|
+8.51% | $11,036 | $11,975 | 7 | 57% | - | +$939 | -10.0% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 10 |
VZ
|
+8.37% | $11,709 | $12,689 | 9 | 44% | - | +$980 | -12.4% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 11 |
WMT
|
+8.35% | $10,536 | $11,416 | 12 | 58% | - | +$880 | -8.0% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 12 |
GLD
|
+7.89% | $9,965 | $10,751 | 8 | 63% | - | +$786 | -13.3% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 13 |
PEP
|
+7.88% | $9,009 | $9,719 | 8 | 75% | - | +$710 | -14.7% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 14 |
HD
|
+7.75% | $8,760 | $9,439 | 9 | 56% | - | +$679 | -23.2% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 15 |
UNH
|
+7.15% | $10,751 | $11,519 | 8 | 63% | - | +$769 | -22.6% | 4.4h | ✓ | - |
| 16 |
MRNA
|
+6.92% | $8,358 | $8,937 | 14 | 50% | - | +$578 | -44.7% | 1.7h | ✓ | - |
| 17 |
CRM
|
+6.82% | $9,499 | $10,147 | 6 | 83% | - | +$648 | -24.2% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 18 |
AMZN
|
+5.84% | $10,999 | $11,641 | 10 | 60% | - | +$642 | -13.9% | 4.4h | ✓ | - |
| 19 |
SMCI
|
+5.84% | $11,460 | $12,129 | 12 | 33% | - | +$669 | -38.0% | 1.5h | ✓ | - |
| 20 |
KO
|
+5.13% | $11,044 | $11,610 | 9 | 78% | - | +$567 | -9.9% | 5.7h | ✓ | - |
| 21 |
SLB
|
+4.59% | $8,305 | $8,686 | 10 | 60% | - | +$381 | -27.5% | 4.1h | ✓ | - |
| 22 |
CVX
|
+4.44% | $9,311 | $9,724 | 11 | 45% | - | +$413 | -9.3% | 5.1h | ✓ | - |
| 23 |
IWM
|
+4.23% | $11,304 | $11,782 | 10 | 90% | - | +$478 | -13.9% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 24 |
AAPL
|
+4.23% | $8,895 | $9,271 | 6 | 67% | - | +$376 | -27.0% | 4.6h | ✓ | - |
| 25 |
BAC
|
+3.83% | $10,708 | $11,118 | 6 | 50% | - | +$410 | -19.0% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 26 |
PANW
|
+3.69% | $7,526 | $7,804 | 8 | 50% | - | +$278 | -31.4% | 4.1h | ✓ | - |
| 27 |
MDT
|
+3.64% | $8,910 | $9,234 | 7 | 43% | - | +$324 | -17.8% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 28 |
TQQQ
|
+3.11% | $12,379 | $12,763 | 12 | 58% | - | +$385 | -24.3% | 3.4h | ✓ | - |
| 29 |
XOM
|
+2.97% | $8,901 | $9,165 | 9 | 56% | - | +$264 | -16.9% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 30 |
JNJ
|
+2.72% | $10,272 | $10,552 | 5 | 60% | - | +$279 | -17.3% | 5.6h | ✓ | - |
| 31 |
C
|
+2.54% | $13,176 | $13,510 | 8 | 38% | - | +$335 | -12.2% | 4.8h | ✓ | - |
| 32 |
MRK
|
+2.42% | $7,151 | $7,324 | 7 | 57% | - | +$173 | -38.3% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 33 |
MS
|
+2.12% | $13,053 | $13,329 | 7 | 43% | - | +$277 | -14.4% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 34 |
MU
|
+2.00% | $18,225 | $18,589 | 9 | 56% | - | +$364 | -19.9% | 3.4h | ✓ | - |
| 35 |
XLE
|
+1.88% | $7,684 | $7,829 | 8 | 50% | - | +$144 | -24.9% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 36 |
OXY
|
+1.87% | $7,985 | $8,134 | 8 | 50% | - | +$149 | -23.5% | 4.3h | ✓ | - |
| 37 |
META
|
+1.84% | $11,092 | $11,296 | 9 | 33% | - | +$204 | -12.8% | 4.3h | ✓ | - |
| 38 |
PG
|
+1.76% | $9,085 | $9,245 | 7 | 57% | - | +$160 | -17.0% | 5.5h | ✓ | - |
| 39 |
VRTX
|
+1.74% | $9,642 | $9,810 | 8 | 50% | - | +$168 | -19.1% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 40 |
REGN
|
+1.70% | $6,715 | $6,829 | 5 | 60% | - | +$114 | -39.8% | 4.1h | ✓ | - |
| 41 |
MSFT
|
+1.65% | $10,850 | $11,029 | 9 | 44% | - | +$179 | -15.6% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 42 |
USO
|
+1.55% | $7,316 | $7,429 | 10 | 40% | - | +$113 | -31.7% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 43 |
BIIB
|
+1.50% | $9,267 | $9,406 | 10 | 50% | - | +$139 | -16.8% | 3.8h | ✓ | - |
| 44 |
TMO
|
+1.48% | $9,697 | $9,841 | 7 | 43% | - | +$144 | -12.0% | 4.6h | ✓ | - |
| 45 |
BMY
|
+1.29% | $13,512 | $13,686 | 7 | 29% | - | +$174 | -7.1% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 46 |
COP
|
+1.26% | $6,757 | $6,842 | 10 | 50% | - | +$85 | -36.1% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 47 |
TSLA
|
+1.17% | $9,413 | $9,523 | 10 | 50% | - | +$110 | -21.5% | 2.9h | ✓ | - |
| 48 |
VTI
|
+1.13% | $11,498 | $11,628 | 2 | 100% | - | +$130 | -9.9% | 5.6h | ✓ | - |
| 49 |
BRK-B
|
+1.06% | $10,772 | $10,886 | 5 | 40% | - | +$114 | -8.6% | 5.4h | ✓ | - |
| 50 |
SLV
|
+1.04% | $13,025 | $13,161 | 14 | 36% | - | +$135 | -17.4% | 4.6h | ✓ | - |
| 51 |
VOO
|
+0.98% | $10,840 | $10,947 | 2 | 100% | - | +$106 | -8.6% | 5.7h | ✓ | - |
| 52 |
RIOT
|
+0.93% | $14,925 | $15,064 | 14 | 36% | - | +$139 | -34.5% | 1.2h | ✓ | - |
| 53 |
SPY
|
+0.93% | $10,974 | $11,076 | 2 | 100% | - | +$102 | -8.3% | 5.7h | ✓ | - |
| 54 |
SCHW
|
+0.66% | $9,831 | $9,895 | 9 | 33% | - | +$65 | -13.8% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 55 |
PM
|
+0.59% | $12,507 | $12,581 | 15 | 60% | - | +$74 | -11.5% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 56 |
ISRG
|
+0.37% | $11,660 | $11,703 | 4 | 50% | - | +$43 | -16.4% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 57 |
COIN
|
+0.29% | $16,489 | $16,537 | 8 | 38% | - | +$48 | -13.9% | 1.8h | ✓ | - |
| 58 |
ACN
|
+0.03% | $10,397 | $10,401 | 10 | 40% | - | +$3 | -9.3% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 59 |
SPXU
|
-0.04% | $12,003 | $11,998 | 13 | 54% | - | -$5 | -19.5% | 2.1h | ✓ | - |
| 60 |
CMCSA
|
-0.09% | $11,126 | $11,116 | 13 | 54% | - | -$10 | -8.3% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 61 |
TLT
|
-0.18% | $9,277 | $9,260 | 3 | 33% | - | -$17 | -7.9% | 5.9h | ✓ | - |
| 62 |
ABBV
|
-0.50% | $13,021 | $12,956 | 10 | 50% | - | -$65 | -8.1% | 4.9h | ✓ | - |
| 63 |
ARKK
|
-0.53% | $11,742 | $11,680 | 8 | 38% | - | -$62 | -14.6% | 3.8h | ✓ | - |
| 64 |
MCD
|
-0.62% | $9,169 | $9,112 | 6 | 50% | - | -$57 | -14.4% | 5.1h | ✓ | - |
| 65 |
LCID
|
-0.75% | $10,605 | $10,526 | 11 | 36% | - | -$80 | -16.8% | 1.4h | ✓ | - |
| 66 |
PLTR
|
-0.78% | $15,761 | $15,638 | 9 | 33% | - | -$123 | -16.0% | 2.9h | ✓ | - |
| 67 |
PFE
|
-0.80% | $9,784 | $9,706 | 12 | 50% | - | -$78 | -10.8% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 68 |
DIA
|
-0.93% | $11,063 | $10,961 | 7 | 57% | - | -$103 | -6.0% | 5.8h | ✓ | - |
| 69 |
CRWD
|
-0.96% | $11,789 | $11,676 | 8 | 38% | - | -$113 | -36.4% | 3.5h | ✓ | - |
| 70 |
ORCL
|
-1.01% | $11,774 | $11,655 | 7 | 43% | - | -$119 | -24.5% | 4.0h | ✓ | - |
| 71 |
QQQ
|
-1.15% | $10,448 | $10,328 | 6 | 50% | - | -$120 | -12.6% | 5.5h | ✓ | - |
| 72 |
PYPL
|
-1.27% | $12,434 | $12,276 | 5 | 20% | - | -$158 | -18.0% | 4.3h | ✓ | - |
| 73 |
NFLX
|
-1.70% | $8,420 | $8,276 | 4 | 50% | - | -$143 | -23.3% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 74 |
JPM
|
-1.78% | $11,018 | $10,822 | 7 | 29% | - | -$196 | -13.9% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 75 |
COST
|
-1.89% | $12,413 | $12,178 | 9 | 22% | - | -$235 | -7.8% | 5.4h | ✓ | - |
| 76 |
ADBE
|
-2.25% | $8,365 | $8,177 | 4 | 50% | - | -$188 | -31.1% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 77 |
DIS
|
-2.32% | $7,634 | $7,457 | 10 | 30% | - | -$177 | -32.6% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 78 |
XLF
|
-2.55% | $9,825 | $9,574 | 3 | 0% | - | -$251 | -7.7% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 79 |
GS
|
-2.70% | $11,448 | $11,139 | 10 | 30% | - | -$309 | -17.6% | 4.7h | ✓ | - |
| 80 |
AVGO
|
-3.09% | $6,842 | $6,630 | 7 | 43% | - | -$211 | -45.0% | 3.3h | ✓ | - |
| 81 |
AXP
|
-3.13% | $9,998 | $9,685 | 8 | 25% | - | -$313 | -15.6% | 4.8h | ✓ | - |
| 82 |
ARM
|
-3.13% | $7,639 | $7,400 | 5 | 20% | - | -$239 | -44.2% | 2.4h | ✓ | - |
| 83 |
WFC
|
-3.28% | $9,666 | $9,349 | 10 | 30% | - | -$317 | -25.4% | 4.8h | ✓ | - |
| 84 |
XLK
|
-3.54% | $11,705 | $11,290 | 8 | 38% | - | -$414 | -10.6% | 5.2h | ✓ | - |
| 85 |
NIO
|
-3.71% | $10,422 | $10,036 | 6 | 17% | - | -$387 | -31.2% | 1.8h | ✓ | - |
| 86 |
V
|
-3.93% | $9,532 | $9,157 | 6 | 17% | - | -$375 | -13.0% | 5.4h | ✓ | - |
| 87 |
NVDA
|
-3.94% | $15,618 | $15,002 | 7 | 29% | - | -$615 | -18.7% | 3.5h | ✓ | - |
| 88 |
MA
|
-4.07% | $10,386 | $9,964 | 6 | 33% | - | -$423 | -10.5% | 5.3h | ✓ | - |
| 89 |
MARA
|
-4.37% | $12,218 | $11,684 | 14 | 29% | - | -$534 | -14.8% | 0.9h | ✓ | - |
| 90 |
AMC
|
-4.59% | $8,699 | $8,299 | 12 | 25% | - | -$399 | -33.0% | 1.6h | ✓ | - |
| 91 |
GOOGL
|
-4.62% | $13,663 | $13,032 | 8 | 38% | - | -$631 | -13.9% | 4.5h | ✓ | - |
| 92 |
RIVN
|
-4.92% | $7,872 | $7,485 | 10 | 20% | - | -$387 | -36.7% | 1.6h | ✓ | - |
| 93 |
LLY
|
-5.39% | $11,857 | $11,218 | 8 | 38% | - | -$639 | -11.6% | 4.4h | ✓ | - |
| 94 |
DKNG
|
-5.71% | $11,469 | $10,814 | 10 | 20% | - | -$655 | -21.5% | 2.9h | ✓ | - |
| 95 |
SOFI
|
-6.18% | $14,118 | $13,246 | 12 | 25% | - | -$873 | -17.7% | 2.4h | ✓ | - |
| 96 |
HOOD
|
-8.06% | $10,392 | $9,554 | 8 | 13% | - | -$838 | -26.2% | 2.3h | ✓ | - |
| 97 |
IBM
|
-8.19% | $10,263 | $9,422 | 9 | 33% | - | -$841 | -18.5% | 5.0h | ✓ | - |
| 98 |
RBLX
|
-8.49% | $14,036 | $12,844 | 11 | 18% | - | -$1,192 | -23.7% | 3.2h | ✓ | - |
| 99 |
VXX
|
-8.85% | $13,246 | $12,074 | 13 | 15% | - | -$1,172 | -16.1% | 2.0h | ✓ | - |
| 100 |
GME
|
-9.74% | $9,280 | $8,377 | 14 | 29% | - | -$904 | -25.4% | 2.1h | ✓ | - |
| 101 |
NET
|
-11.52% | $15,179 | $13,431 | 9 | 22% | - | -$1,749 | -15.2% | 3.5h | ✓ | - |
| 102 |
UVXY
|
-12.46% | $14,510 | $12,702 | 15 | 13% | - | -$1,808 | -23.6% | 1.2h | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Intense morning energy that crashes by 11 AM. Believes the first 30 minutes contain all the information you need for the day.