11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
Jan 14, 2026
→
Feb 14, 2026
(31 days)
📊 Last Month Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last month across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$12,211
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$12,226
($-16)
-0.13%
Last Month ROI
55.6%
Win Rate
826
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last Month)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Month)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Month)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last Month:
Jan 14, 2026
→
Feb 14, 2026
(31 days)
| Rank | Symbol | Return | 1M Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
GME
|
+22.58% | $9,021 | $11,058 | 10 | 100% | - | +$2,037 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 2 |
SNOW
|
+14.74% | $12,882 | $14,781 | 11 | 82% | - | +$1,899 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - |
| 3 |
XLE
|
+13.85% | $14,345 | $16,331 | 7 | 100% | - | +$1,987 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - |
| 4 |
VXX
|
+13.02% | $5,284 | $5,972 | 11 | 73% | - | +$688 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 5 |
XOM
|
+12.85% | $13,993 | $15,791 | 6 | 100% | - | +$1,798 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 6 |
GILD
|
+12.33% | $14,453 | $16,235 | 7 | 86% | - | +$1,782 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 7 |
INTC
|
+9.91% | $11,092 | $12,192 | 12 | 67% | - | +$1,099 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - |
| 8 |
CSCO
|
+9.70% | $16,637 | $18,250 | 6 | 67% | - | +$1,614 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - |
| 9 |
NFLX
|
+8.05% | $14,434 | $15,596 | 7 | 71% | - | +$1,162 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 10 |
USO
|
+8.04% | $8,744 | $9,447 | 8 | 75% | - | +$703 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - |
| 11 |
AMGN
|
+7.96% | $10,981 | $11,855 | 7 | 71% | - | +$874 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 12 |
CVX
|
+7.71% | $17,226 | $18,554 | 6 | 83% | - | +$1,328 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - |
| 13 |
JNJ
|
+7.44% | $12,886 | $13,844 | 7 | 71% | - | +$959 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - |
| 14 |
WMT
|
+7.17% | $16,756 | $17,957 | 7 | 71% | - | +$1,201 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - |
| 15 |
GLD
|
+6.87% | $17,984 | $19,220 | 10 | 70% | - | +$1,236 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - |
| 16 |
IBM
|
+6.75% | $14,100 | $15,051 | 8 | 63% | - | +$952 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - |
| 17 |
MCD
|
+6.69% | $10,746 | $11,465 | 5 | 80% | - | +$719 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - |
| 18 |
PG
|
+6.52% | $9,866 | $10,509 | 7 | 71% | - | +$643 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - |
| 19 |
VZ
|
+6.49% | $10,274 | $10,941 | 7 | 86% | - | +$667 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - |
| 20 |
META
|
+6.29% | $14,152 | $15,042 | 7 | 57% | - | +$890 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - |
| 21 |
BAC
|
+6.18% | $12,644 | $13,425 | 7 | 57% | - | +$781 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - |
| 22 |
OXY
|
+6.16% | $11,529 | $12,239 | 8 | 63% | - | +$710 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 23 |
BMY
|
+5.50% | $9,095 | $9,596 | 7 | 71% | - | +$500 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 24 |
AXP
|
+5.42% | $16,330 | $17,215 | 6 | 67% | - | +$885 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - |
| 25 |
AMD
|
+5.39% | $9,205 | $9,701 | 9 | 78% | - | +$496 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 26 |
UVXY
|
+4.97% | $8,335 | $8,750 | 13 | 69% | - | +$414 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - |
| 27 |
ARM
|
+4.84% | $12,064 | $12,648 | 10 | 60% | - | +$584 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 28 |
MRNA
|
+4.76% | $19,329 | $20,250 | 13 | 54% | - | +$920 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - |
| 29 |
PEP
|
+4.69% | $10,176 | $10,653 | 7 | 71% | - | +$477 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - |
| 30 |
KO
|
+4.57% | $11,758 | $12,295 | 6 | 83% | - | +$537 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - |
| 31 |
SPXU
|
+4.43% | $8,825 | $9,216 | 10 | 60% | - | +$391 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - |
| 32 |
MU
|
+3.77% | $21,069 | $21,864 | 14 | 57% | - | +$794 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 33 |
CMCSA
|
+3.30% | $6,310 | $6,518 | 6 | 67% | - | +$208 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 34 |
SCHW
|
+3.24% | $12,137 | $12,531 | 7 | 86% | - | +$393 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - |
| 35 |
VRTX
|
+3.09% | $10,909 | $11,246 | 7 | 43% | - | +$337 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - |
| 36 |
REGN
|
+2.86% | $8,917 | $9,172 | 6 | 50% | - | +$255 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 37 |
PFE
|
+2.82% | $8,228 | $8,460 | 6 | 83% | - | +$232 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - |
| 38 |
BIIB
|
+2.59% | $9,389 | $9,632 | 7 | 57% | - | +$243 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 39 |
C
|
+2.55% | $12,206 | $12,518 | 8 | 63% | - | +$311 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 40 |
PM
|
+2.43% | $13,592 | $13,922 | 8 | 75% | - | +$330 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - |
| 41 |
AAPL
|
+2.39% | $12,771 | $13,076 | 5 | 60% | - | +$305 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 42 |
SOXL
|
+2.33% | $22,421 | $22,943 | 12 | 58% | - | +$522 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - |
| 43 |
COP
|
+2.03% | $9,518 | $9,711 | 8 | 63% | - | +$193 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - |
| 44 |
WFC
|
+1.97% | $13,231 | $13,492 | 8 | 50% | - | +$261 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - |
| 45 |
GS
|
+1.39% | $21,908 | $22,213 | 7 | 57% | - | +$305 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - |
| 46 |
COST
|
+1.13% | $12,809 | $12,953 | 5 | 80% | - | +$145 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - |
| 47 |
PANW
|
+0.80% | $15,126 | $15,247 | 9 | 67% | - | +$121 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - |
| 48 |
TLT
|
+0.49% | $9,164 | $9,209 | 5 | 60% | - | +$45 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - |
| 49 |
V
|
+0.46% | $12,449 | $12,506 | 6 | 50% | - | +$57 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - |
| 50 |
DIA
|
+0.22% | $13,381 | $13,410 | 5 | 40% | - | +$29 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - |
| 51 |
JPM
|
+0.06% | $13,128 | $13,136 | 7 | 57% | - | +$8 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 52 |
MDT
|
-0.39% | $10,397 | $10,356 | 6 | 50% | - | -$41 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - |
| 53 |
DIS
|
-0.42% | $9,961 | $9,919 | 7 | 57% | - | -$42 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 54 |
BRK-B
|
-0.51% | $14,383 | $14,310 | 5 | 40% | - | -$73 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - |
| 55 |
SMCI
|
-0.54% | $6,895 | $6,857 | 11 | 36% | - | -$37 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - |
| 56 |
AMZN
|
-0.86% | $10,739 | $10,646 | 8 | 50% | - | -$92 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - |
| 57 |
XLF
|
-0.96% | $13,358 | $13,230 | 5 | 40% | - | -$128 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - |
| 58 |
VOO
|
-1.32% | $14,940 | $14,743 | 5 | 40% | - | -$197 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - |
| 59 |
NVDA
|
-1.35% | $20,365 | $20,091 | 9 | 44% | - | -$275 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 60 |
SPY
|
-1.35% | $14,515 | $14,319 | 5 | 40% | - | -$196 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - |
| 61 |
GOOGL
|
-1.44% | $23,943 | $23,598 | 6 | 50% | - | -$345 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 62 |
HD
|
-1.47% | $12,970 | $12,780 | 6 | 33% | - | -$191 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - |
| 63 |
ORCL
|
-1.51% | $15,512 | $15,278 | 11 | 45% | - | -$234 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - |
| 64 |
VTI
|
-1.57% | $14,416 | $14,190 | 5 | 40% | - | -$226 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - |
| 65 |
SOFI
|
-1.66% | $11,139 | $10,954 | 10 | 60% | - | -$185 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 66 |
LLY
|
-1.68% | $12,675 | $12,462 | 9 | 44% | - | -$213 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - |
| 67 |
ISRG
|
-1.86% | $11,654 | $11,437 | 7 | 43% | - | -$217 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 68 |
SQQQ
|
-2.12% | $6,390 | $6,254 | 10 | 60% | - | -$135 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - |
| 69 |
NET
|
-2.12% | $13,540 | $13,253 | 11 | 45% | - | -$287 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - |
| 70 |
MA
|
-2.16% | $14,211 | $13,904 | 6 | 33% | - | -$307 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - |
| 71 |
BLK
|
-2.48% | $12,570 | $12,258 | 6 | 33% | - | -$312 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 72 |
PLTR
|
-2.96% | $20,098 | $19,503 | 12 | 50% | - | -$595 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - |
| 73 |
QQQ
|
-3.23% | $10,188 | $9,859 | 6 | 33% | - | -$329 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - |
| 74 |
MRK
|
-3.33% | $10,450 | $10,102 | 8 | 63% | - | -$348 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - |
| 75 |
AVGO
|
-3.76% | $18,419 | $17,727 | 10 | 40% | - | -$693 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - |
| 76 |
AMC
|
-3.90% | $4,922 | $4,730 | 10 | 50% | - | -$192 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 77 |
ADBE
|
-3.94% | $7,451 | $7,157 | 8 | 50% | - | -$294 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 78 |
SLB
|
-4.10% | $8,899 | $8,534 | 9 | 44% | - | -$365 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - |
| 79 |
ACN
|
-4.53% | $7,623 | $7,278 | 8 | 50% | - | -$345 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - |
| 80 |
XLK
|
-4.69% | $10,438 | $9,949 | 6 | 33% | - | -$490 | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 81 |
RIOT
|
-6.67% | $5,753 | $5,369 | 13 | 54% | - | -$384 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - |
| 82 |
NIO
|
-6.74% | $7,364 | $6,868 | 9 | 44% | - | -$496 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 83 |
RBLX
|
-6.85% | $23,456 | $21,850 | 11 | 45% | - | -$1,607 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - |
| 84 |
IWM
|
-6.93% | $13,955 | $12,988 | 6 | 33% | - | -$967 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - |
| 85 |
CRM
|
-7.22% | $6,594 | $6,118 | 8 | 50% | - | -$476 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 86 |
TMO
|
-7.30% | $10,017 | $9,286 | 7 | 43% | - | -$731 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 87 |
ABBV
|
-8.21% | $13,243 | $12,156 | 8 | 63% | - | -$1,087 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 88 |
MS
|
-9.67% | $16,733 | $15,115 | 7 | 29% | - | -$1,618 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - |
| 89 |
MARA
|
-10.34% | $11,212 | $10,052 | 12 | 42% | - | -$1,159 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - |
| 90 |
DKNG
|
-10.61% | $9,081 | $8,117 | 9 | 33% | - | -$963 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 91 |
RIVN
|
-11.70% | $4,908 | $4,333 | 11 | 27% | - | -$574 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - |
| 92 |
TSLA
|
-11.72% | $14,157 | $12,498 | 8 | 38% | - | -$1,659 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - |
| 93 |
CRWD
|
-11.85% | $11,910 | $10,499 | 10 | 40% | - | -$1,411 | -37.8% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 94 |
ARKK
|
-11.86% | $11,797 | $10,398 | 7 | 29% | - | -$1,399 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - |
| 95 |
TQQQ
|
-12.21% | $9,519 | $8,357 | 10 | 30% | - | -$1,162 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - |
| 96 |
SLV
|
-12.42% | $18,684 | $16,364 | 12 | 42% | - | -$2,321 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - |
| 97 |
COIN
|
-12.70% | $4,193 | $3,660 | 10 | 40% | - | -$532 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - |
| 98 |
MSFT
|
-12.70% | $13,995 | $12,217 | 8 | 50% | - | -$1,777 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - |
| 99 |
HOOD
|
-13.03% | $13,213 | $11,492 | 10 | 30% | - | -$1,722 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - |
| 100 |
LCID
|
-14.73% | $3,696 | $3,152 | 11 | 36% | - | -$544 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - |
| 101 |
PYPL
|
-15.47% | $8,214 | $6,943 | 9 | 44% | - | -$1,271 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - |
| 102 |
UNH
|
-21.74% | $8,522 | $6,669 | 7 | 29% | - | -$1,853 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.