11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
Feb 14, 2025
→
Feb 14, 2026
(365 days)
📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last year across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$12,293
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$11,929
(+$364)
+3.05%
Last Year ROI
56.8%
Win Rate
9,082
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last Year)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last Year:
Feb 14, 2025
→
Feb 14, 2026
(365 days)
| Rank | Symbol | Return | 1Y Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
MU
|
+145.18% | $8,917 | $21,864 | 116 | 66% | - | +$12,946 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 2 |
INTC
|
+96.93% | $6,191 | $12,192 | 120 | 63% | - | +$6,001 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - |
| 3 |
XOM
|
+59.84% | $9,879 | $15,791 | 76 | 70% | - | +$5,912 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 4 |
GOOGL
|
+58.40% | $14,898 | $23,598 | 84 | 64% | - | +$8,700 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 5 |
MRNA
|
+56.89% | $12,907 | $20,250 | 132 | 63% | - | +$7,343 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - |
| 6 |
SOXL
|
+53.81% | $14,917 | $22,943 | 136 | 63% | - | +$8,027 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - |
| 7 |
CVX
|
+50.76% | $12,307 | $18,554 | 70 | 66% | - | +$6,247 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - |
| 8 |
XLE
|
+48.40% | $11,005 | $16,331 | 71 | 63% | - | +$5,326 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - |
| 9 |
GLD
|
+46.08% | $13,157 | $19,220 | 68 | 66% | - | +$6,063 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - |
| 10 |
SNOW
|
+43.02% | $10,335 | $14,781 | 107 | 61% | - | +$4,446 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - |
| 11 |
SLV
|
+38.69% | $11,799 | $16,364 | 90 | 61% | - | +$4,565 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - |
| 12 |
CSCO
|
+33.46% | $13,675 | $18,250 | 72 | 57% | - | +$4,576 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - |
| 13 |
GS
|
+33.36% | $16,656 | $22,213 | 83 | 63% | - | +$5,557 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - |
| 14 |
ORCL
|
+33.12% | $11,477 | $15,278 | 104 | 58% | - | +$3,801 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - |
| 15 |
RBLX
|
+32.71% | $16,464 | $21,850 | 112 | 63% | - | +$5,385 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - |
| 16 |
JNJ
|
+31.06% | $10,563 | $13,844 | 65 | 68% | - | +$3,281 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - |
| 17 |
NVDA
|
+27.94% | $15,703 | $20,091 | 102 | 61% | - | +$4,387 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 18 |
GILD
|
+26.05% | $12,880 | $16,235 | 77 | 61% | - | +$3,355 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 19 |
IBM
|
+25.26% | $12,016 | $15,051 | 81 | 62% | - | +$3,035 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - |
| 20 |
AMD
|
+22.86% | $7,896 | $9,701 | 112 | 55% | - | +$1,805 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 21 |
AVGO
|
+22.28% | $14,497 | $17,727 | 104 | 57% | - | +$3,230 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - |
| 22 |
BIIB
|
+20.75% | $7,977 | $9,632 | 87 | 57% | - | +$1,655 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 23 |
ABBV
|
+20.16% | $10,116 | $12,156 | 76 | 61% | - | +$2,039 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 24 |
OXY
|
+18.74% | $10,307 | $12,239 | 85 | 59% | - | +$1,932 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 25 |
VOO
|
+15.72% | $12,740 | $14,743 | 63 | 59% | - | +$2,003 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - |
| 26 |
SPY
|
+15.16% | $12,434 | $14,319 | 63 | 62% | - | +$1,885 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - |
| 27 |
AXP
|
+13.76% | $15,133 | $17,215 | 84 | 62% | - | +$2,082 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - |
| 28 |
VTI
|
+13.45% | $12,508 | $14,190 | 63 | 63% | - | +$1,682 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - |
| 29 |
KO
|
+12.77% | $10,903 | $12,295 | 63 | 57% | - | +$1,392 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - |
| 30 |
SCHW
|
+12.59% | $11,130 | $12,531 | 69 | 62% | - | +$1,401 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - |
| 31 |
MRK
|
+12.13% | $9,009 | $10,102 | 84 | 64% | - | +$1,093 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - |
| 32 |
PEP
|
+12.12% | $9,502 | $10,653 | 69 | 52% | - | +$1,152 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - |
| 33 |
MSFT
|
+11.56% | $10,951 | $12,217 | 70 | 60% | - | +$1,266 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - |
| 34 |
DIA
|
+10.47% | $12,139 | $13,410 | 58 | 60% | - | +$1,271 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - |
| 35 |
AMGN
|
+9.91% | $10,786 | $11,855 | 75 | 53% | - | +$1,069 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 36 |
WMT
|
+7.48% | $16,708 | $17,957 | 72 | 61% | - | +$1,250 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - |
| 37 |
PG
|
+5.89% | $9,924 | $10,509 | 65 | 54% | - | +$585 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - |
| 38 |
WFC
|
+5.50% | $12,788 | $13,492 | 85 | 61% | - | +$703 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - |
| 39 |
VZ
|
+5.24% | $10,396 | $10,941 | 66 | 58% | - | +$545 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - |
| 40 |
MA
|
+3.85% | $13,388 | $13,904 | 72 | 57% | - | +$515 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - |
| 41 |
PFE
|
+3.50% | $8,174 | $8,460 | 77 | 58% | - | +$286 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - |
| 42 |
VXX
|
+2.99% | $5,798 | $5,972 | 114 | 57% | - | +$173 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 43 |
UVXY
|
+2.83% | $8,509 | $8,750 | 133 | 55% | - | +$241 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - |
| 44 |
BRK-B
|
+2.43% | $13,970 | $14,310 | 63 | 49% | - | +$339 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - |
| 45 |
PM
|
+1.82% | $13,674 | $13,922 | 74 | 59% | - | +$249 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - |
| 46 |
AAPL
|
+1.77% | $12,849 | $13,076 | 71 | 59% | - | +$227 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 47 |
MS
|
+1.74% | $14,856 | $15,115 | 76 | 59% | - | +$259 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - |
| 48 |
USO
|
+1.47% | $9,310 | $9,447 | 74 | 61% | - | +$137 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - |
| 49 |
VRTX
|
+0.70% | $11,168 | $11,246 | 76 | 59% | - | +$78 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - |
| 50 |
TSLA
|
+0.38% | $12,450 | $12,498 | 119 | 58% | - | +$47 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - |
| 51 |
IWM
|
+0.26% | $12,954 | $12,988 | 70 | 50% | - | +$34 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - |
| 52 |
TMO
|
+0.10% | $9,276 | $9,286 | 81 | 56% | - | +$9 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 53 |
NFLX
|
+0.08% | $15,584 | $15,596 | 81 | 63% | - | +$12 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 54 |
MCD
|
-0.50% | $11,523 | $11,465 | 63 | 51% | - | -$58 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - |
| 55 |
SPXU
|
-0.64% | $9,275 | $9,216 | 53 | 55% | - | -$59 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - |
| 56 |
ARM
|
-0.98% | $12,773 | $12,648 | 116 | 59% | - | -$125 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 57 |
REGN
|
-1.51% | $9,312 | $9,172 | 89 | 60% | - | -$141 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 58 |
GME
|
-2.74% | $11,369 | $11,058 | 101 | 58% | - | -$312 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 59 |
BAC
|
-2.79% | $13,810 | $13,425 | 77 | 58% | - | -$385 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - |
| 60 |
HD
|
-2.80% | $13,148 | $12,780 | 72 | 50% | - | -$368 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - |
| 61 |
PANW
|
-2.84% | $15,692 | $15,247 | 88 | 59% | - | -$446 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - |
| 62 |
C
|
-3.19% | $12,930 | $12,518 | 85 | 59% | - | -$412 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 63 |
V
|
-3.31% | $12,934 | $12,506 | 70 | 49% | - | -$428 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - |
| 64 |
MDT
|
-4.97% | $10,898 | $10,356 | 66 | 53% | - | -$542 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - |
| 65 |
XLF
|
-5.40% | $13,985 | $13,230 | 60 | 52% | - | -$755 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - |
| 66 |
XLK
|
-5.57% | $10,536 | $9,949 | 72 | 57% | - | -$587 | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 67 |
COP
|
-6.02% | $10,334 | $9,711 | 85 | 54% | - | -$622 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - |
| 68 |
BLK
|
-6.34% | $13,088 | $12,258 | 76 | 50% | - | -$830 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 69 |
SQQQ
|
-6.83% | $6,713 | $6,254 | 122 | 57% | - | -$458 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - |
| 70 |
ARKK
|
-6.97% | $11,177 | $10,398 | 96 | 59% | - | -$779 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - |
| 71 |
JPM
|
-7.04% | $14,131 | $13,136 | 76 | 57% | - | -$995 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 72 |
TLT
|
-7.65% | $9,972 | $9,209 | 56 | 50% | - | -$763 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - |
| 73 |
PLTR
|
-7.69% | $21,128 | $19,503 | 124 | 59% | - | -$1,625 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - |
| 74 |
COST
|
-9.56% | $14,322 | $12,953 | 65 | 49% | - | -$1,369 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - |
| 75 |
LLY
|
-10.39% | $13,907 | $12,462 | 92 | 54% | - | -$1,445 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - |
| 76 |
SLB
|
-12.03% | $9,701 | $8,534 | 89 | 52% | - | -$1,167 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - |
| 77 |
DIS
|
-13.60% | $11,481 | $9,919 | 73 | 51% | - | -$1,561 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 78 |
NET
|
-15.61% | $15,704 | $13,253 | 117 | 58% | - | -$2,451 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - |
| 79 |
QQQ
|
-17.89% | $12,007 | $9,859 | 64 | 53% | - | -$2,148 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - |
| 80 |
HOOD
|
-18.65% | $14,126 | $11,492 | 134 | 57% | - | -$2,635 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - |
| 81 |
MARA
|
-22.57% | $12,982 | $10,052 | 151 | 55% | - | -$2,930 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - |
| 82 |
AMZN
|
-22.71% | $13,775 | $10,646 | 88 | 50% | - | -$3,128 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - |
| 83 |
BMY
|
-23.29% | $12,509 | $9,596 | 84 | 52% | - | -$2,913 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 84 |
NIO
|
-23.90% | $9,025 | $6,868 | 117 | 53% | - | -$2,157 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 85 |
RIVN
|
-26.33% | $5,882 | $4,333 | 132 | 56% | - | -$1,549 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - |
| 86 |
ISRG
|
-26.65% | $15,592 | $11,437 | 82 | 48% | - | -$4,155 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 87 |
AMC
|
-28.33% | $6,600 | $4,730 | 105 | 54% | - | -$1,870 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 88 |
ADBE
|
-28.44% | $10,002 | $7,157 | 80 | 49% | - | -$2,845 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 89 |
META
|
-29.14% | $21,228 | $15,042 | 86 | 51% | - | -$6,186 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - |
| 90 |
CRWD
|
-29.57% | $14,907 | $10,499 | 105 | 56% | - | -$4,408 | -37.8% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 91 |
CMCSA
|
-30.34% | $9,357 | $6,518 | 74 | 47% | - | -$2,839 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 92 |
ACN
|
-33.52% | $10,948 | $7,278 | 78 | 47% | - | -$3,670 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - |
| 93 |
UNH
|
-34.99% | $10,259 | $6,669 | 88 | 55% | - | -$3,590 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 94 |
RIOT
|
-35.99% | $8,387 | $5,369 | 158 | 56% | - | -$3,019 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - |
| 95 |
CRM
|
-36.71% | $9,667 | $6,118 | 84 | 51% | - | -$3,549 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 96 |
SOFI
|
-37.02% | $17,393 | $10,954 | 125 | 52% | - | -$6,439 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 97 |
DKNG
|
-37.53% | $12,994 | $8,117 | 106 | 51% | - | -$4,877 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 98 |
TQQQ
|
-39.32% | $13,771 | $8,357 | 114 | 54% | - | -$5,415 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - |
| 99 |
LCID
|
-42.49% | $5,481 | $3,152 | 133 | 53% | - | -$2,329 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - |
| 100 |
PYPL
|
-46.70% | $13,027 | $6,943 | 83 | 47% | - | -$6,083 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - |
| 101 |
SMCI
|
-48.73% | $13,375 | $6,857 | 135 | 54% | - | -$6,518 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - |
| 102 |
COIN
|
-54.79% | $8,096 | $3,660 | 133 | 50% | - | -$4,436 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.