11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.
📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last year across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$12,479
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$11,236
(+$1,243)
+11.06%
Last Year ROI
57.5%
Win Rate
8,872
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last Year)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last Year:
May 7, 2025
→
May 7, 2026
(365 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite
60+ Good
40+ Fair
<40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot
60+ Active
40+ Moderate
<40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance.
Full methodology →
| Rank | Symbol | Score | Mom | Return | 1Y Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
INTC
|
33 | 88🔥 | +144.61% | $6,450 | $15,776 | 121 | 66% | - | +$9,327 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 2 |
MRNA
|
42 | 16🧊 | +104.90% | $10,223 | $20,946 | 130 | 65% | - | +$10,723 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 3 |
MU
|
40 | 52 | +95.57% | $9,529 | $18,636 | 117 | 63% | - | +$9,107 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 4 |
AMD
|
23 | 95🔥 | +95.37% | $6,034 | $11,789 | 115 | 63% | - | +$5,755 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 5 |
GOOGL
|
58 | 77 | +87.89% | $13,241 | $24,879 | 80 | 68% | - | +$11,638 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 6 |
NVDA
|
45 | 70🔥 | +78.20% | $12,627 | $22,501 | 93 | 66% | - | +$9,874 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 7 |
OXY
|
35 | 19 | +73.85% | $8,653 | $15,043 | 90 | 67% | - | +$6,390 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 8 |
USO
|
33 | 42 | +65.20% | $8,257 | $13,641 | 84 | 68% | - | +$5,384 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 9 |
XLE
|
61 | 13🧊 | +63.12% | $11,632 | $18,974 | 69 | 67% | - | +$7,342 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 10 |
VXX
|
10 | 50🔥 | +53.12% | $5,307 | $8,126 | 114 | 61% | - | +$2,819 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 11 |
ARM
|
37 | 68🔥 | +47.60% | $11,310 | $16,694 | 117 | 63% | - | +$5,384 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 12 |
CVX
|
69 | 13🧊 | +46.21% | $14,170 | $20,718 | 68 | 68% | - | +$6,548 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 13 |
CSCO
|
70 | 51 | +45.46% | $13,254 | $19,280 | 70 | 60% | - | +$6,025 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 14 |
ORCL
|
32 | 31 | +45.30% | $10,374 | $15,074 | 104 | 58% | - | +$4,700 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 15 |
GLD
|
70 | 45🧊 | +43.03% | $14,150 | $20,239 | 70 | 64% | - | +$6,089 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 16 |
SNOW
|
31 | 14 | +42.61% | $10,014 | $14,281 | 108 | 63% | - | +$4,267 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 17 |
JNJ
|
43 | 3🧊 | +39.76% | $9,908 | $13,847 | 64 | 66% | - | +$3,939 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 18 |
XOM
|
48 | 36 | +37.95% | $11,866 | $16,369 | 76 | 66% | - | +$4,503 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 19 |
NET
|
36 | 54 | +36.24% | $11,104 | $15,129 | 116 | 64% | - | +$4,024 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 20 |
XLK
|
26 | 76🔥 | +29.79% | $9,187 | $11,924 | 69 | 65% | - | +$2,737 | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 21 |
BAC
|
39 | 67🔥 | +29.07% | $11,771 | $15,193 | 77 | 64% | - | +$3,422 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 22 |
TSLA
|
28 | 80🔥 | +28.08% | $10,142 | $12,990 | 108 | 61% | - | +$2,848 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 23 |
AXP
|
57 | 60 | +27.89% | $15,020 | $19,209 | 77 | 61% | - | +$4,189 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 24 |
AAPL
|
37 | 53 | +26.91% | $11,160 | $14,163 | 67 | 64% | - | +$3,003 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 25 |
GILD
|
39 | 6🧊 | +25.11% | $11,780 | $14,737 | 73 | 60% | - | +$2,958 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 26 |
AVGO
|
44 | 49 | +24.92% | $14,514 | $18,131 | 100 | 59% | - | +$3,617 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 27 |
IBM
|
50 | 46 | +23.78% | $13,105 | $16,222 | 80 | 61% | - | +$3,116 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 28 |
SPY
|
53 | 51 | +23.55% | $12,062 | $14,903 | 58 | 64% | - | +$2,841 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 29 |
VOO
|
55 | 52 | +23.35% | $12,434 | $15,337 | 58 | 60% | - | +$2,903 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 30 |
JPM
|
36 | 44 | +21.00% | $11,825 | $14,308 | 72 | 64% | - | +$2,483 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 31 |
VTI
|
49 | 50 | +19.53% | $12,182 | $14,561 | 58 | 64% | - | +$2,379 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 32 |
AMZN
|
30 | 76🔥 | +18.33% | $11,004 | $13,021 | 84 | 61% | - | +$2,017 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 33 |
SMCI
|
12 | 67🔥 | +17.48% | $7,909 | $9,292 | 131 | 60% | - | +$1,383 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 34 |
AMGN
|
24 | 25 | +17.44% | $9,638 | $11,319 | 73 | 55% | - | +$1,681 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 35 |
COP
|
27 | 48🔥 | +17.24% | $10,202 | $11,960 | 83 | 59% | - | +$1,759 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 36 |
DIA
|
39 | 45 | +15.17% | $11,571 | $13,326 | 55 | 60% | - | +$1,755 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 37 |
PANW
|
42 | 32 | +14.17% | $14,102 | $16,100 | 93 | 65% | - | +$1,998 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 38 |
C
|
32 | 64🔥 | +13.46% | $11,567 | $13,124 | 83 | 61% | - | +$1,557 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 39 |
SOXL
|
43 | 35 | +13.24% | $17,772 | $20,125 | 137 | 59% | - | +$2,353 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 40 |
PEP
|
20 | 20 | +12.97% | $9,430 | $10,653 | 65 | 55% | - | +$1,223 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 41 |
KO
|
33 | 43 | +12.66% | $11,645 | $13,119 | 58 | 60% | - | +$1,474 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 42 |
PLTR
|
45 | 51 | +11.20% | $17,480 | $19,437 | 117 | 60% | - | +$1,958 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 43 |
GS
|
58 | 13🧊 | +10.73% | $17,589 | $19,477 | 79 | 56% | - | +$1,887 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 44 |
GME
|
26 | 44 | +10.63% | $11,032 | $12,204 | 93 | 61% | - | +$1,173 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 45 |
WMT
|
54 | 14🧊 | +10.15% | $16,204 | $17,848 | 71 | 62% | - | +$1,645 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 46 |
NFLX
|
46 | 13🧊 | +9.98% | $16,126 | $17,736 | 79 | 63% | - | +$1,609 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 47 |
QQQ
|
21 | 66🔥 | +8.77% | $9,814 | $10,675 | 60 | 58% | - | +$861 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 48 |
SQQQ
|
9 | 9 | +8.74% | $5,762 | $6,266 | 118 | 58% | - | +$504 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 49 |
BIIB
|
10 | 40🔥 | +8.52% | $7,773 | $8,436 | 83 | 55% | - | +$662 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 50 |
IWM
|
39 | 53 | +7.75% | $12,989 | $13,995 | 66 | 52% | - | +$1,007 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 51 |
PG
|
20 | 40 | +7.73% | $9,919 | $10,686 | 64 | 52% | - | +$767 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 52 |
SLB
|
15 | 71🔥 | +7.54% | $9,507 | $10,224 | 89 | 56% | - | +$717 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 53 |
XLF
|
35 | 17 | +5.92% | $12,670 | $13,420 | 58 | 53% | - | +$750 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 54 |
SLV
|
32 | 9🧊 | +4.80% | $12,570 | $13,174 | 99 | 57% | - | +$603 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 55 |
MS
|
42 | 71🔥 | +4.19% | $15,740 | $16,400 | 73 | 59% | - | +$660 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 56 |
V
|
36 | 49 | +3.97% | $12,749 | $13,255 | 67 | 51% | - | +$506 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 57 |
MA
|
37 | 10🧊 | +3.53% | $13,132 | $13,596 | 69 | 57% | - | +$464 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 58 |
MSFT
|
29 | 59🔥 | +3.18% | $12,025 | $12,408 | 68 | 60% | - | +$382 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 59 |
SCHW
|
24 | 5 | +3.11% | $11,160 | $11,507 | 68 | 59% | - | +$347 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 60 |
WFC
|
35 | 6🧊 | +2.32% | $13,130 | $13,435 | 78 | 60% | - | +$305 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 61 |
TMO
|
10 | 5 | +1.22% | $8,741 | $8,847 | 81 | 56% | - | +$107 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 62 |
UVXY
|
10 | 47🔥 | +1.01% | $9,208 | $9,301 | 134 | 56% | - | +$93 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 63 |
PFE
|
9 | 2 | +0.32% | $8,508 | $8,535 | 70 | 60% | - | +$27 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 64 |
MRK
|
12 | 5 | +0.08% | $9,064 | $9,072 | 82 | 62% | - | +$7 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 65 |
BLK
|
32 | 27 | -1.81% | $13,342 | $13,100 | 76 | 49% | - | -$241 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 66 |
ABBV
|
13 | 3 | -2.68% | $10,353 | $10,075 | 72 | 54% | - | -$277 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 67 |
VRTX
|
21 | 6 | -3.80% | $11,144 | $10,721 | 74 | 55% | - | -$423 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 68 |
MCD
|
20 | 1 | -4.06% | $11,209 | $10,754 | 59 | 46% | - | -$455 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 69 |
VZ
|
22 | 6 | -4.79% | $11,397 | $10,851 | 64 | 55% | - | -$546 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 70 |
META
|
33 | 26 | -4.79% | $15,857 | $15,098 | 78 | 56% | - | -$760 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 71 |
REGN
|
11 | 10 | -7.47% | $8,748 | $8,095 | 84 | 60% | - | -$654 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 72 |
RIOT
|
11 | 43🔥 | -7.73% | $6,009 | $5,544 | 157 | 60% | - | -$464 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 73 |
BRK-B
|
43 | 5🧊 | -7.94% | $15,276 | $14,063 | 60 | 43% | - | -$1,213 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 74 |
RIVN
|
10 | 16 | -8.40% | $5,294 | $4,849 | 132 | 58% | - | -$445 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 75 |
TLT
|
10 | 3 | -8.57% | $9,651 | $8,824 | 52 | 44% | - | -$827 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 76 |
COST
|
32 | 12 | -8.95% | $14,144 | $12,878 | 63 | 48% | - | -$1,266 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 77 |
ARKK
|
11 | 12 | -8.97% | $8,804 | $8,014 | 90 | 60% | - | -$790 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 78 |
BMY
|
10 | 2 | -10.06% | $10,267 | $9,234 | 78 | 56% | - | -$1,033 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 79 |
SPXU
|
19 | 9 | -10.46% | $11,764 | $10,533 | 67 | 54% | - | -$1,230 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 80 |
PM
|
34 | 56🔥 | -11.85% | $15,526 | $13,686 | 75 | 56% | - | -$1,840 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 81 |
LLY
|
23 | 7 | -12.45% | $13,177 | $11,536 | 89 | 51% | - | -$1,640 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 82 |
HOOD
|
11 | 40🔥 | -12.99% | $11,100 | $9,658 | 127 | 57% | - | -$1,442 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 83 |
UNH
|
10 | 64🔥 | -12.99% | $8,626 | $7,506 | 82 | 52% | - | -$1,121 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 84 |
MDT
|
7 | 5 | -14.82% | $10,471 | $8,919 | 65 | 46% | - | -$1,552 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 85 |
ADBE
|
9 | 52🔥 | -16.55% | $8,012 | $6,686 | 79 | 52% | - | -$1,326 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 86 |
DIS
|
8 | 2 | -16.70% | $10,321 | $8,598 | 67 | 45% | - | -$1,724 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 87 |
HD
|
19 | 6 | -17.89% | $13,021 | $10,691 | 71 | 45% | - | -$2,329 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 88 |
ACN
|
8 | 37🔥 | -17.95% | $8,294 | $6,805 | 80 | 53% | - | -$1,489 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 89 |
AMC
|
9 | 15 | -18.06% | $5,350 | $4,384 | 104 | 55% | - | -$966 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 90 |
NIO
|
9 | 35🔥 | -21.26% | $8,615 | $6,783 | 118 | 54% | - | -$1,832 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 91 |
CRM
|
10 | 15 | -24.63% | $8,434 | $6,356 | 84 | 56% | - | -$2,077 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 92 |
ISRG
|
17 | 5 | -25.37% | $13,793 | $10,294 | 76 | 43% | - | -$3,499 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 93 |
DKNG
|
12 | 59🔥 | -27.77% | $11,653 | $8,417 | 107 | 53% | - | -$3,236 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 94 |
PYPL
|
11 | 67🔥 | -32.30% | $12,581 | $8,517 | 83 | 49% | - | -$4,064 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 95 |
CMCSA
|
6 | 2 | -33.67% | $8,108 | $5,378 | 69 | 41% | - | -$2,730 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 96 |
TQQQ
|
11 | 35🔥 | -34.17% | $8,696 | $5,725 | 106 | 52% | - | -$2,972 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 97 |
RBLX
|
31 | 13 | -34.42% | $20,500 | $13,444 | 115 | 56% | - | -$7,056 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 98 |
CRWD
|
13 | 27 | -36.33% | $14,710 | $9,366 | 99 | 55% | - | -$5,344 | -37.8% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 99 |
SOFI
|
10 | 18 | -36.56% | $12,668 | $8,037 | 123 | 53% | - | -$4,631 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 100 |
COIN
|
9 | 16 | -42.42% | $6,804 | $3,918 | 131 | 52% | - | -$2,886 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 101 |
LCID
|
8 | 15 | -51.14% | $6,150 | $3,005 | 132 | 53% | - | -$3,145 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - | |
| 102 |
MARA
|
11 | 14 | -55.21% | $15,139 | $6,781 | 153 | 51% | - | -$8,358 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.