11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.
📊 Last 3 Months Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last 3 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$12,461
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$12,229
(+$232)
+1.90%
Last 3 Months ROI
56.4%
Win Rate
2,347
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last 3 Months)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last 3 Months:
Feb 7, 2026
→
May 7, 2026
(88 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite
60+ Good
40+ Fair
<40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot
60+ Active
40+ Moderate
<40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance.
Full methodology →
| Rank | Symbol | Score | Mom | Return | 3M Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
USO
|
33 | 42 | +44.41% | $9,446 | $13,641 | 29 | 76% | - | +$4,195 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 2 |
VXX
|
10 | 50🔥 | +35.16% | $6,012 | $8,126 | 36 | 69% | - | +$2,114 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 3 |
SMCI
|
12 | 67🔥 | +30.66% | $7,111 | $9,292 | 34 | 68% | - | +$2,180 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 4 |
ARM
|
37 | 68🔥 | +30.60% | $12,783 | $16,694 | 34 | 68% | - | +$3,912 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 5 |
INTC
|
33 | 88🔥 | +30.01% | $12,135 | $15,776 | 33 | 67% | - | +$3,642 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 6 |
PYPL
|
11 | 67🔥 | +24.74% | $6,828 | $8,517 | 25 | 68% | - | +$1,689 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 7 |
AMD
|
23 | 95🔥 | +23.95% | $9,511 | $11,789 | 31 | 71% | - | +$2,278 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 8 |
OXY
|
35 | 19 | +22.63% | $12,267 | $15,043 | 27 | 74% | - | +$2,776 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 9 |
AMZN
|
30 | 76🔥 | +22.14% | $10,660 | $13,021 | 23 | 74% | - | +$2,360 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 10 |
COP
|
27 | 48🔥 | +22.04% | $9,800 | $11,960 | 23 | 74% | - | +$2,160 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 11 |
XLE
|
61 | 13🧊 | +20.81% | $15,706 | $18,974 | 21 | 81% | - | +$3,268 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 12 |
XLK
|
26 | 76🔥 | +19.83% | $9,951 | $11,924 | 19 | 74% | - | +$1,973 | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 13 |
NET
|
36 | 54 | +19.59% | $12,651 | $15,129 | 32 | 69% | - | +$2,478 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 14 |
SLB
|
15 | 71🔥 | +18.33% | $8,640 | $10,224 | 23 | 70% | - | +$1,584 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 15 |
NFLX
|
46 | 13🧊 | +17.42% | $15,104 | $17,736 | 21 | 67% | - | +$2,631 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 16 |
CVX
|
69 | 13🧊 | +14.40% | $18,110 | $20,718 | 20 | 75% | - | +$2,608 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 17 |
SPXU
|
19 | 9 | +14.18% | $9,225 | $10,533 | 27 | 63% | - | +$1,308 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 18 |
AXP
|
57 | 60 | +13.82% | $16,876 | $19,209 | 20 | 60% | - | +$2,332 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 19 |
UNH
|
10 | 64🔥 | +12.38% | $6,679 | $7,506 | 16 | 50% | - | +$827 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 20 |
BAC
|
39 | 67🔥 | +11.73% | $13,598 | $15,193 | 20 | 65% | - | +$1,595 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 21 |
NVDA
|
45 | 70🔥 | +11.22% | $20,231 | $22,501 | 22 | 64% | - | +$2,270 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 22 |
MS
|
42 | 71🔥 | +10.83% | $14,797 | $16,400 | 22 | 64% | - | +$1,603 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 23 |
GME
|
26 | 44 | +10.72% | $11,023 | $12,204 | 23 | 70% | - | +$1,182 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 24 |
RIVN
|
10 | 16 | +10.70% | $4,380 | $4,849 | 34 | 62% | - | +$469 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 25 |
QQQ
|
21 | 66🔥 | +10.48% | $9,662 | $10,675 | 17 | 59% | - | +$1,013 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 26 |
COIN
|
9 | 16 | +9.39% | $3,582 | $3,918 | 34 | 62% | - | +$336 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 27 |
JPM
|
36 | 44 | +9.14% | $13,110 | $14,308 | 18 | 72% | - | +$1,198 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 28 |
PANW
|
42 | 32 | +8.56% | $14,831 | $16,100 | 31 | 71% | - | +$1,269 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 29 |
CSCO
|
70 | 51 | +8.23% | $17,814 | $19,280 | 17 | 59% | - | +$1,466 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 30 |
IBM
|
50 | 46 | +8.13% | $15,002 | $16,222 | 20 | 65% | - | +$1,220 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 31 |
IWM
|
39 | 53 | +8.09% | $12,948 | $13,995 | 16 | 63% | - | +$1,047 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 32 |
GLD
|
70 | 45🧊 | +8.06% | $18,729 | $20,239 | 20 | 60% | - | +$1,510 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 33 |
AAPL
|
37 | 53 | +7.54% | $13,170 | $14,163 | 16 | 69% | - | +$993 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 34 |
BLK
|
32 | 27 | +6.87% | $12,258 | $13,100 | 21 | 52% | - | +$842 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 35 |
CRM
|
10 | 15 | +6.63% | $5,961 | $6,356 | 24 | 67% | - | +$395 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 36 |
TSLA
|
28 | 80🔥 | +6.19% | $12,233 | $12,990 | 25 | 60% | - | +$757 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 37 |
V
|
36 | 49 | +5.72% | $12,537 | $13,255 | 17 | 47% | - | +$717 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 38 |
XOM
|
48 | 36 | +4.70% | $15,634 | $16,369 | 20 | 65% | - | +$735 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 39 |
MRNA
|
42 | 16🧊 | +4.45% | $20,054 | $20,946 | 33 | 61% | - | +$892 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 40 |
GOOGL
|
58 | 77 | +4.40% | $23,830 | $24,879 | 19 | 53% | - | +$1,049 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 41 |
DKNG
|
12 | 59🔥 | +4.27% | $8,072 | $8,417 | 30 | 63% | - | +$345 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 42 |
AVGO
|
44 | 49 | +4.19% | $17,402 | $18,131 | 25 | 60% | - | +$729 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 43 |
SPY
|
53 | 51 | +3.80% | $14,357 | $14,903 | 15 | 60% | - | +$546 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 44 |
VOO
|
55 | 52 | +3.74% | $14,784 | $15,337 | 15 | 60% | - | +$553 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 45 |
MSFT
|
29 | 59🔥 | +3.74% | $11,960 | $12,408 | 20 | 60% | - | +$447 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 46 |
KO
|
33 | 43 | +3.36% | $12,693 | $13,119 | 14 | 71% | - | +$426 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 47 |
C
|
32 | 64🔥 | +2.75% | $12,773 | $13,124 | 22 | 59% | - | +$351 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 48 |
VTI
|
49 | 50 | +2.51% | $14,204 | $14,561 | 15 | 53% | - | +$357 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 49 |
META
|
33 | 26 | +2.37% | $14,748 | $15,098 | 20 | 65% | - | +$350 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 50 |
PFE
|
9 | 2 | +2.16% | $8,355 | $8,535 | 15 | 60% | - | +$180 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 51 |
RIOT
|
11 | 43🔥 | +1.95% | $5,438 | $5,544 | 37 | 59% | - | +$106 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 52 |
SNOW
|
31 | 14 | +1.95% | $14,007 | $14,281 | 32 | 63% | - | +$273 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 53 |
XLF
|
35 | 17 | +1.83% | $13,179 | $13,420 | 17 | 59% | - | +$241 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 54 |
UVXY
|
10 | 47🔥 | +1.52% | $9,162 | $9,301 | 40 | 58% | - | +$139 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 55 |
PG
|
20 | 40 | +1.41% | $10,537 | $10,686 | 16 | 44% | - | +$149 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 56 |
PLTR
|
45 | 51 | +1.01% | $19,243 | $19,437 | 31 | 58% | - | +$194 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 57 |
ORCL
|
32 | 31 | +0.67% | $14,974 | $15,074 | 28 | 54% | - | +$100 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 58 |
DIA
|
39 | 45 | +0.60% | $13,247 | $13,326 | 15 | 47% | - | +$79 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 59 |
SQQQ
|
9 | 9 | +0.56% | $6,231 | $6,266 | 32 | 59% | - | +$35 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 60 |
VZ
|
22 | 6 | -0.08% | $10,860 | $10,851 | 17 | 59% | - | -$9 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 61 |
JNJ
|
43 | 3🧊 | -0.25% | $13,882 | $13,847 | 16 | 44% | - | -$35 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 62 |
COST
|
32 | 12 | -0.31% | $12,918 | $12,878 | 16 | 56% | - | -$40 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 63 |
PEP
|
20 | 20 | -0.70% | $10,728 | $10,653 | 16 | 63% | - | -$75 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 64 |
WFC
|
35 | 6🧊 | -2.36% | $13,760 | $13,435 | 19 | 58% | - | -$325 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 65 |
WMT
|
54 | 14🧊 | -2.48% | $18,302 | $17,848 | 18 | 56% | - | -$454 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 66 |
LCID
|
8 | 15 | -2.58% | $3,084 | $3,005 | 33 | 61% | - | -$80 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - | |
| 67 |
LLY
|
23 | 7 | -2.72% | $11,859 | $11,536 | 23 | 43% | - | -$323 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 68 |
BRK-B
|
43 | 5🧊 | -2.96% | $14,492 | $14,063 | 15 | 47% | - | -$429 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 69 |
TLT
|
10 | 3 | -3.43% | $9,137 | $8,824 | 13 | 46% | - | -$313 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 70 |
MA
|
37 | 10🧊 | -4.47% | $14,232 | $13,596 | 19 | 47% | - | -$636 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 71 |
BMY
|
10 | 2 | -4.59% | $9,678 | $9,234 | 15 | 47% | - | -$444 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 72 |
PM
|
34 | 56🔥 | -4.63% | $14,351 | $13,686 | 19 | 58% | - | -$664 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 73 |
TMO
|
10 | 5 | -4.69% | $9,283 | $8,847 | 20 | 55% | - | -$435 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 74 |
MCD
|
20 | 1 | -4.77% | $11,293 | $10,754 | 14 | 36% | - | -$539 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 75 |
VRTX
|
21 | 6 | -4.82% | $11,264 | $10,721 | 17 | 47% | - | -$543 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 76 |
AMC
|
9 | 15 | -4.88% | $4,609 | $4,384 | 26 | 54% | - | -$225 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 77 |
ACN
|
8 | 37🔥 | -5.11% | $7,172 | $6,805 | 21 | 57% | - | -$366 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 78 |
AMGN
|
24 | 25 | -6.06% | $12,049 | $11,319 | 18 | 44% | - | -$730 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 79 |
NIO
|
9 | 35🔥 | -6.76% | $7,275 | $6,783 | 31 | 58% | - | -$492 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 80 |
ISRG
|
17 | 5 | -7.95% | $11,183 | $10,294 | 18 | 39% | - | -$889 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 81 |
CRWD
|
13 | 27 | -8.84% | $10,274 | $9,366 | 27 | 56% | - | -$908 | -37.8% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 82 |
ADBE
|
9 | 52🔥 | -9.42% | $7,382 | $6,686 | 21 | 57% | - | -$695 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 83 |
SCHW
|
24 | 5 | -9.49% | $12,714 | $11,507 | 21 | 43% | - | -$1,207 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 84 |
GILD
|
39 | 6🧊 | -10.39% | $16,446 | $14,737 | 17 | 47% | - | -$1,709 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 85 |
DIS
|
8 | 2 | -11.39% | $9,703 | $8,598 | 15 | 33% | - | -$1,105 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 86 |
GS
|
58 | 13🧊 | -11.65% | $22,045 | $19,477 | 22 | 45% | - | -$2,568 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 87 |
REGN
|
11 | 10 | -12.00% | $9,199 | $8,095 | 19 | 47% | - | -$1,104 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 88 |
MRK
|
12 | 5 | -12.83% | $10,407 | $9,072 | 19 | 47% | - | -$1,335 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 89 |
HOOD
|
11 | 40🔥 | -13.28% | $11,137 | $9,658 | 34 | 50% | - | -$1,479 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 90 |
BIIB
|
10 | 40🔥 | -14.20% | $9,832 | $8,436 | 20 | 40% | - | -$1,396 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 91 |
MU
|
40 | 52 | -14.60% | $21,822 | $18,636 | 34 | 53% | - | -$3,186 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 92 |
MDT
|
7 | 5 | -15.11% | $10,506 | $8,919 | 17 | 24% | - | -$1,588 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 93 |
HD
|
19 | 6 | -15.54% | $12,658 | $10,691 | 20 | 30% | - | -$1,967 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 94 |
CMCSA
|
6 | 2 | -16.19% | $6,417 | $5,378 | 15 | 27% | - | -$1,039 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 95 |
ABBV
|
13 | 3 | -16.40% | $12,052 | $10,075 | 17 | 35% | - | -$1,976 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 96 |
SOXL
|
43 | 35 | -19.92% | $25,131 | $20,125 | 39 | 51% | - | -$5,006 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 97 |
SLV
|
32 | 9🧊 | -22.05% | $16,900 | $13,174 | 29 | 45% | - | -$3,727 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 98 |
ARKK
|
11 | 12 | -22.14% | $10,293 | $8,014 | 25 | 44% | - | -$2,279 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 99 |
SOFI
|
10 | 18 | -24.64% | $10,664 | $8,037 | 30 | 47% | - | -$2,628 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 100 |
TQQQ
|
11 | 35🔥 | -31.83% | $8,398 | $5,725 | 28 | 36% | - | -$2,673 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 101 |
MARA
|
11 | 14 | -33.62% | $10,215 | $6,781 | 40 | 43% | - | -$3,434 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 102 |
RBLX
|
31 | 13 | -37.39% | $21,472 | $13,444 | 32 | 47% | - | -$8,028 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.