11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
Nov 14, 2025
→
Feb 14, 2026
(92 days)
📊 Last 3 Months Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last 3 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$12,210
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$11,964
(+$246)
+2.06%
Last 3 Months ROI
57.2%
Win Rate
2,223
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last 3 Months)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 3 Months)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last 3 Months:
Nov 14, 2025
→
Feb 14, 2026
(92 days)
| Rank | Symbol | Return | 3M Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
SOXL
|
+40.76% | $16,300 | $22,943 | 30 | 63% | - | +$6,644 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - |
| 2 |
MRNA
|
+27.12% | $15,929 | $20,250 | 33 | 67% | - | +$4,320 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - |
| 3 |
GME
|
+24.08% | $8,912 | $11,058 | 25 | 68% | - | +$2,146 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 4 |
XOM
|
+23.95% | $12,740 | $15,791 | 19 | 79% | - | +$3,051 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 5 |
INTC
|
+23.19% | $9,897 | $12,192 | 30 | 67% | - | +$2,295 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - |
| 6 |
GLD
|
+21.92% | $15,764 | $19,220 | 20 | 75% | - | +$3,456 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - |
| 7 |
XLE
|
+21.01% | $13,496 | $16,331 | 16 | 69% | - | +$2,835 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - |
| 8 |
WMT
|
+20.53% | $14,899 | $17,957 | 18 | 72% | - | +$3,059 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - |
| 9 |
SNOW
|
+19.31% | $12,389 | $14,781 | 29 | 69% | - | +$2,392 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - |
| 10 |
GOOGL
|
+15.79% | $20,380 | $23,598 | 20 | 65% | - | +$3,218 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 11 |
CSCO
|
+15.27% | $15,833 | $18,250 | 17 | 65% | - | +$2,418 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - |
| 12 |
GILD
|
+14.69% | $14,155 | $16,235 | 18 | 67% | - | +$2,079 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 13 |
SQQQ
|
+13.95% | $5,489 | $6,254 | 30 | 67% | - | +$766 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - |
| 14 |
SLV
|
+13.89% | $14,368 | $16,364 | 29 | 59% | - | +$1,996 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - |
| 15 |
BMY
|
+13.15% | $8,480 | $9,596 | 22 | 64% | - | +$1,115 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 16 |
MRK
|
+13.11% | $8,931 | $10,102 | 21 | 76% | - | +$1,171 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - |
| 17 |
VXX
|
+11.64% | $5,349 | $5,972 | 27 | 59% | - | +$623 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 18 |
REGN
|
+11.37% | $8,235 | $9,172 | 18 | 67% | - | +$936 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 19 |
CVX
|
+11.19% | $16,687 | $18,554 | 17 | 71% | - | +$1,867 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - |
| 20 |
JNJ
|
+10.99% | $12,473 | $13,844 | 18 | 61% | - | +$1,371 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - |
| 21 |
IBM
|
+10.76% | $13,589 | $15,051 | 20 | 60% | - | +$1,462 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - |
| 22 |
PG
|
+10.67% | $9,496 | $10,509 | 18 | 67% | - | +$1,013 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - |
| 23 |
PFE
|
+10.55% | $7,653 | $8,460 | 18 | 72% | - | +$807 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - |
| 24 |
CMCSA
|
+9.75% | $5,939 | $6,518 | 19 | 68% | - | +$579 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 25 |
AMGN
|
+9.61% | $10,816 | $11,855 | 18 | 67% | - | +$1,039 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 26 |
OXY
|
+9.20% | $11,208 | $12,239 | 21 | 62% | - | +$1,031 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 27 |
MCD
|
+9.02% | $10,517 | $11,465 | 16 | 56% | - | +$949 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - |
| 28 |
META
|
+8.76% | $13,831 | $15,042 | 20 | 55% | - | +$1,212 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - |
| 29 |
BIIB
|
+8.63% | $8,867 | $9,632 | 21 | 62% | - | +$765 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 30 |
C
|
+8.54% | $11,533 | $12,518 | 20 | 65% | - | +$985 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 31 |
MU
|
+8.35% | $20,179 | $21,864 | 32 | 56% | - | +$1,685 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 32 |
BAC
|
+8.11% | $12,418 | $13,425 | 17 | 65% | - | +$1,007 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - |
| 33 |
GS
|
+7.62% | $20,640 | $22,213 | 20 | 60% | - | +$1,573 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - |
| 34 |
VZ
|
+7.46% | $10,181 | $10,941 | 18 | 67% | - | +$760 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - |
| 35 |
SCHW
|
+7.42% | $11,665 | $12,531 | 18 | 78% | - | +$866 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - |
| 36 |
USO
|
+6.13% | $8,901 | $9,447 | 18 | 72% | - | +$546 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - |
| 37 |
SPY
|
+5.39% | $13,587 | $14,319 | 16 | 69% | - | +$732 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - |
| 38 |
VOO
|
+5.19% | $14,015 | $14,743 | 16 | 63% | - | +$727 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - |
| 39 |
ACN
|
+4.90% | $6,938 | $7,278 | 20 | 60% | - | +$340 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - |
| 40 |
PEP
|
+4.55% | $10,189 | $10,653 | 17 | 59% | - | +$464 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - |
| 41 |
VTI
|
+4.35% | $13,599 | $14,190 | 16 | 69% | - | +$592 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - |
| 42 |
DIA
|
+4.31% | $12,856 | $13,410 | 14 | 57% | - | +$554 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - |
| 43 |
UVXY
|
+4.06% | $8,408 | $8,750 | 31 | 61% | - | +$341 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - |
| 44 |
COST
|
+3.96% | $12,460 | $12,953 | 17 | 71% | - | +$493 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - |
| 45 |
XLF
|
+3.21% | $12,818 | $13,230 | 15 | 53% | - | +$411 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - |
| 46 |
VRTX
|
+3.00% | $10,919 | $11,246 | 18 | 56% | - | +$328 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - |
| 47 |
WFC
|
+2.85% | $13,118 | $13,492 | 20 | 60% | - | +$374 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - |
| 48 |
DKNG
|
+2.35% | $7,931 | $8,117 | 24 | 58% | - | +$186 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 49 |
KO
|
+1.61% | $12,100 | $12,295 | 13 | 54% | - | +$195 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - |
| 50 |
RIOT
|
+1.55% | $5,287 | $5,369 | 38 | 58% | - | +$82 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - |
| 51 |
PANW
|
+1.48% | $15,024 | $15,247 | 21 | 67% | - | +$222 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - |
| 52 |
LLY
|
+1.46% | $12,283 | $12,462 | 22 | 55% | - | +$179 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - |
| 53 |
HD
|
+1.43% | $12,600 | $12,780 | 19 | 47% | - | +$180 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - |
| 54 |
COP
|
+1.20% | $9,596 | $9,711 | 21 | 57% | - | +$115 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - |
| 55 |
XLK
|
+1.06% | $9,845 | $9,949 | 16 | 63% | - | +$104 | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 56 |
ORCL
|
+0.98% | $15,130 | $15,278 | 29 | 55% | - | +$148 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - |
| 57 |
NET
|
+0.79% | $13,149 | $13,253 | 29 | 55% | - | +$104 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - |
| 58 |
AXP
|
+0.64% | $17,105 | $17,215 | 20 | 55% | - | +$109 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - |
| 59 |
DIS
|
+0.47% | $9,873 | $9,919 | 18 | 50% | - | +$46 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 60 |
AAPL
|
+0.44% | $13,019 | $13,076 | 15 | 53% | - | +$57 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 61 |
PM
|
+0.26% | $13,886 | $13,922 | 19 | 58% | - | +$36 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - |
| 62 |
V
|
-0.55% | $12,575 | $12,506 | 17 | 47% | - | -$69 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - |
| 63 |
RIVN
|
-0.76% | $4,367 | $4,333 | 33 | 58% | - | -$33 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - |
| 64 |
QQQ
|
-0.88% | $9,946 | $9,859 | 16 | 50% | - | -$88 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - |
| 65 |
TLT
|
-1.85% | $9,383 | $9,209 | 14 | 43% | - | -$174 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - |
| 66 |
ADBE
|
-2.49% | $7,340 | $7,157 | 21 | 48% | - | -$183 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 67 |
TSLA
|
-2.65% | $12,838 | $12,498 | 25 | 56% | - | -$340 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - |
| 68 |
MDT
|
-2.73% | $10,647 | $10,356 | 15 | 40% | - | -$291 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - |
| 69 |
MS
|
-2.88% | $15,563 | $15,115 | 19 | 58% | - | -$448 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - |
| 70 |
MA
|
-3.00% | $14,334 | $13,904 | 17 | 47% | - | -$430 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - |
| 71 |
AVGO
|
-3.07% | $18,288 | $17,727 | 28 | 54% | - | -$561 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - |
| 72 |
SMCI
|
-4.00% | $7,143 | $6,857 | 30 | 50% | - | -$286 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - |
| 73 |
ISRG
|
-4.28% | $11,948 | $11,437 | 20 | 50% | - | -$511 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 74 |
ABBV
|
-4.35% | $12,709 | $12,156 | 19 | 63% | - | -$553 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 75 |
AMD
|
-4.44% | $10,152 | $9,701 | 28 | 57% | - | -$451 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 76 |
SPXU
|
-4.60% | $9,660 | $9,216 | 21 | 52% | - | -$444 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - |
| 77 |
BLK
|
-4.83% | $12,880 | $12,258 | 20 | 40% | - | -$622 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 78 |
IWM
|
-4.92% | $13,660 | $12,988 | 17 | 41% | - | -$672 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - |
| 79 |
JPM
|
-5.10% | $13,842 | $13,136 | 18 | 50% | - | -$706 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 80 |
BRK-B
|
-5.33% | $15,115 | $14,310 | 14 | 29% | - | -$806 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - |
| 81 |
AMZN
|
-6.59% | $11,398 | $10,646 | 21 | 57% | - | -$751 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - |
| 82 |
NFLX
|
-6.60% | $16,699 | $15,596 | 20 | 50% | - | -$1,102 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 83 |
NVDA
|
-7.06% | $21,617 | $20,091 | 23 | 52% | - | -$1,526 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 84 |
ARKK
|
-7.30% | $11,217 | $10,398 | 18 | 56% | - | -$819 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - |
| 85 |
TMO
|
-7.56% | $10,045 | $9,286 | 19 | 47% | - | -$759 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 86 |
MARA
|
-8.36% | $10,969 | $10,052 | 35 | 51% | - | -$917 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - |
| 87 |
PLTR
|
-8.38% | $21,287 | $19,503 | 31 | 52% | - | -$1,784 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - |
| 88 |
SLB
|
-9.55% | $9,435 | $8,534 | 24 | 50% | - | -$901 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - |
| 89 |
NIO
|
-10.95% | $7,713 | $6,868 | 26 | 50% | - | -$845 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 90 |
HOOD
|
-11.44% | $12,976 | $11,492 | 30 | 53% | - | -$1,484 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - |
| 91 |
CRM
|
-11.87% | $6,942 | $6,118 | 22 | 50% | - | -$824 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 92 |
ARM
|
-13.00% | $14,537 | $12,648 | 27 | 44% | - | -$1,890 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 93 |
CRWD
|
-13.23% | $12,100 | $10,499 | 26 | 50% | - | -$1,601 | -37.8% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 94 |
MSFT
|
-13.58% | $14,137 | $12,217 | 19 | 53% | - | -$1,920 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - |
| 95 |
AMC
|
-16.53% | $5,667 | $4,730 | 29 | 45% | - | -$937 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 96 |
LCID
|
-16.81% | $3,789 | $3,152 | 34 | 50% | - | -$637 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - |
| 97 |
RBLX
|
-17.76% | $26,568 | $21,850 | 29 | 45% | - | -$4,718 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - |
| 98 |
COIN
|
-18.48% | $4,490 | $3,660 | 30 | 47% | - | -$830 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - |
| 99 |
SOFI
|
-19.29% | $13,572 | $10,954 | 28 | 46% | - | -$2,618 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 100 |
TQQQ
|
-22.95% | $10,846 | $8,357 | 26 | 42% | - | -$2,489 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - |
| 101 |
PYPL
|
-24.29% | $9,171 | $6,943 | 19 | 32% | - | -$2,228 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - |
| 102 |
UNH
|
-24.94% | $8,885 | $6,669 | 20 | 40% | - | -$2,216 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.