11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
Aug 14, 2025
→
Feb 14, 2026
(184 days)
📊 Last 6 Months Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last 6 months across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$12,288
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$11,946
(+$341)
+2.86%
Last 6 Months ROI
56.5%
Win Rate
4,421
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last 6 Months)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last 6 Months)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last 6 Months:
Aug 14, 2025
→
Feb 14, 2026
(184 days)
| Rank | Symbol | Return | 6M Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
MU
|
+52.31% | $14,355 | $21,864 | 60 | 63% | - | +$7,509 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 2 |
MRNA
|
+50.83% | $13,425 | $20,250 | 66 | 65% | - | +$6,824 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - |
| 3 |
INTC
|
+46.64% | $8,314 | $12,192 | 62 | 65% | - | +$3,878 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - |
| 4 |
GLD
|
+40.53% | $13,677 | $19,220 | 37 | 78% | - | +$5,543 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - |
| 5 |
GOOGL
|
+35.86% | $17,369 | $23,598 | 41 | 66% | - | +$6,229 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 6 |
SNOW
|
+34.49% | $10,991 | $14,781 | 56 | 70% | - | +$3,791 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - |
| 7 |
XLE
|
+28.13% | $12,746 | $16,331 | 31 | 65% | - | +$3,585 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - |
| 8 |
JNJ
|
+27.90% | $10,824 | $13,844 | 33 | 70% | - | +$3,020 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - |
| 9 |
XOM
|
+27.34% | $12,401 | $15,791 | 38 | 66% | - | +$3,390 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 10 |
CSCO
|
+26.24% | $14,457 | $18,250 | 37 | 62% | - | +$3,794 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - |
| 11 |
REGN
|
+24.67% | $7,357 | $9,172 | 44 | 68% | - | +$1,815 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 12 |
VXX
|
+23.85% | $4,822 | $5,972 | 53 | 62% | - | +$1,150 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 13 |
SOXL
|
+23.75% | $18,540 | $22,943 | 65 | 62% | - | +$4,403 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - |
| 14 |
AMGN
|
+21.09% | $9,790 | $11,855 | 37 | 62% | - | +$2,065 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 15 |
TSLA
|
+20.34% | $10,385 | $12,498 | 54 | 63% | - | +$2,112 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - |
| 16 |
BIIB
|
+19.09% | $8,088 | $9,632 | 43 | 63% | - | +$1,544 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 17 |
AMD
|
+18.86% | $8,162 | $9,701 | 57 | 56% | - | +$1,539 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 18 |
SLV
|
+18.60% | $13,797 | $16,364 | 51 | 61% | - | +$2,566 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - |
| 19 |
CVX
|
+18.17% | $15,701 | $18,554 | 33 | 64% | - | +$2,853 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - |
| 20 |
UVXY
|
+17.38% | $7,454 | $8,750 | 61 | 61% | - | +$1,296 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - |
| 21 |
IBM
|
+17.08% | $12,856 | $15,051 | 42 | 62% | - | +$2,196 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - |
| 22 |
GILD
|
+16.76% | $13,904 | $16,235 | 39 | 59% | - | +$2,330 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 23 |
GME
|
+15.32% | $9,589 | $11,058 | 45 | 60% | - | +$1,469 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 24 |
WMT
|
+15.11% | $15,600 | $17,957 | 35 | 66% | - | +$2,357 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - |
| 25 |
AXP
|
+14.56% | $15,027 | $17,215 | 39 | 62% | - | +$2,188 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - |
| 26 |
MRK
|
+14.39% | $8,831 | $10,102 | 41 | 68% | - | +$1,271 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - |
| 27 |
AAPL
|
+14.27% | $11,443 | $13,076 | 31 | 61% | - | +$1,633 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 28 |
ORCL
|
+14.05% | $13,396 | $15,278 | 58 | 53% | - | +$1,882 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - |
| 29 |
SPY
|
+11.97% | $12,788 | $14,319 | 30 | 67% | - | +$1,531 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - |
| 30 |
VOO
|
+11.95% | $13,169 | $14,743 | 30 | 60% | - | +$1,574 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - |
| 31 |
OXY
|
+11.88% | $10,939 | $12,239 | 41 | 59% | - | +$1,300 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 32 |
DIA
|
+11.38% | $12,040 | $13,410 | 28 | 64% | - | +$1,370 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - |
| 33 |
VTI
|
+11.38% | $12,740 | $14,190 | 30 | 70% | - | +$1,450 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - |
| 34 |
PG
|
+10.31% | $9,527 | $10,509 | 34 | 56% | - | +$982 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - |
| 35 |
LLY
|
+10.10% | $11,319 | $12,462 | 44 | 57% | - | +$1,143 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - |
| 36 |
ACN
|
+8.81% | $6,689 | $7,278 | 40 | 60% | - | +$589 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - |
| 37 |
SQQQ
|
+8.67% | $5,755 | $6,254 | 59 | 63% | - | +$499 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - |
| 38 |
PANW
|
+8.60% | $14,039 | $15,247 | 42 | 67% | - | +$1,207 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - |
| 39 |
BAC
|
+7.82% | $12,451 | $13,425 | 37 | 57% | - | +$974 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - |
| 40 |
SCHW
|
+7.48% | $11,659 | $12,531 | 33 | 70% | - | +$872 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - |
| 41 |
GS
|
+6.97% | $20,765 | $22,213 | 40 | 58% | - | +$1,447 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - |
| 42 |
PEP
|
+6.62% | $9,992 | $10,653 | 32 | 53% | - | +$661 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - |
| 43 |
PFE
|
+6.29% | $7,959 | $8,460 | 36 | 67% | - | +$501 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - |
| 44 |
VRTX
|
+6.14% | $10,596 | $11,246 | 36 | 58% | - | +$651 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - |
| 45 |
RIOT
|
+5.99% | $5,065 | $5,369 | 80 | 61% | - | +$303 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - |
| 46 |
MCD
|
+5.17% | $10,902 | $11,465 | 30 | 50% | - | +$564 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - |
| 47 |
ABBV
|
+4.31% | $11,654 | $12,156 | 36 | 61% | - | +$502 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 48 |
KO
|
+4.08% | $11,813 | $12,295 | 29 | 52% | - | +$482 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - |
| 49 |
V
|
+4.02% | $12,023 | $12,506 | 35 | 49% | - | +$483 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - |
| 50 |
TMO
|
+3.78% | $8,948 | $9,286 | 38 | 55% | - | +$338 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 51 |
NIO
|
+3.50% | $6,636 | $6,868 | 61 | 57% | - | +$232 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 52 |
XLK
|
+3.19% | $9,641 | $9,949 | 36 | 64% | - | +$308 | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 53 |
C
|
+2.40% | $12,224 | $12,518 | 42 | 60% | - | +$293 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 54 |
VZ
|
+2.27% | $10,698 | $10,941 | 35 | 60% | - | +$243 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - |
| 55 |
ISRG
|
+2.25% | $11,185 | $11,437 | 40 | 50% | - | +$252 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 56 |
BMY
|
+0.53% | $9,545 | $9,596 | 42 | 60% | - | +$51 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 57 |
XLF
|
+0.29% | $13,191 | $13,230 | 28 | 46% | - | +$38 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - |
| 58 |
USO
|
-0.24% | $9,470 | $9,447 | 37 | 62% | - | -$23 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - |
| 59 |
MA
|
-0.55% | $13,981 | $13,904 | 35 | 51% | - | -$77 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - |
| 60 |
QQQ
|
-1.13% | $9,972 | $9,859 | 30 | 57% | - | -$113 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - |
| 61 |
JPM
|
-1.25% | $13,302 | $13,136 | 38 | 55% | - | -$166 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 62 |
COST
|
-1.58% | $13,161 | $12,953 | 32 | 53% | - | -$208 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - |
| 63 |
NVDA
|
-2.19% | $20,540 | $20,091 | 45 | 53% | - | -$450 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 64 |
TLT
|
-2.88% | $9,482 | $9,209 | 27 | 44% | - | -$273 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - |
| 65 |
NET
|
-3.08% | $13,674 | $13,253 | 60 | 57% | - | -$421 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - |
| 66 |
ADBE
|
-3.33% | $7,404 | $7,157 | 41 | 51% | - | -$247 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 67 |
IWM
|
-3.51% | $13,460 | $12,988 | 32 | 50% | - | -$472 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - |
| 68 |
WFC
|
-4.37% | $14,108 | $13,492 | 39 | 56% | - | -$617 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - |
| 69 |
BRK-B
|
-4.79% | $15,030 | $14,310 | 30 | 37% | - | -$720 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - |
| 70 |
PM
|
-5.39% | $14,716 | $13,922 | 39 | 54% | - | -$793 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - |
| 71 |
NFLX
|
-5.48% | $16,501 | $15,596 | 39 | 62% | - | -$904 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 72 |
AVGO
|
-6.07% | $18,872 | $17,727 | 52 | 50% | - | -$1,146 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - |
| 73 |
COP
|
-6.36% | $10,371 | $9,711 | 39 | 49% | - | -$660 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - |
| 74 |
DIS
|
-7.00% | $10,666 | $9,919 | 34 | 47% | - | -$747 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 75 |
SLB
|
-7.20% | $9,196 | $8,534 | 45 | 51% | - | -$662 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - |
| 76 |
MS
|
-8.73% | $16,561 | $15,115 | 35 | 54% | - | -$1,446 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - |
| 77 |
ARM
|
-8.94% | $13,889 | $12,648 | 54 | 54% | - | -$1,242 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 78 |
MDT
|
-9.30% | $11,418 | $10,356 | 30 | 43% | - | -$1,062 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - |
| 79 |
CRWD
|
-9.50% | $11,601 | $10,499 | 47 | 57% | - | -$1,102 | -37.8% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 80 |
CMCSA
|
-9.59% | $7,209 | $6,518 | 37 | 49% | - | -$691 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 81 |
RIVN
|
-9.65% | $4,796 | $4,333 | 65 | 58% | - | -$463 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - |
| 82 |
PLTR
|
-9.73% | $21,605 | $19,503 | 60 | 57% | - | -$2,102 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - |
| 83 |
META
|
-10.82% | $16,867 | $15,042 | 39 | 51% | - | -$1,825 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - |
| 84 |
HD
|
-12.02% | $14,526 | $12,780 | 33 | 42% | - | -$1,746 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - |
| 85 |
ARKK
|
-13.86% | $12,071 | $10,398 | 41 | 56% | - | -$1,673 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - |
| 86 |
AMZN
|
-14.78% | $12,493 | $10,646 | 42 | 52% | - | -$1,846 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - |
| 87 |
AMC
|
-15.13% | $5,574 | $4,730 | 50 | 52% | - | -$843 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 88 |
BLK
|
-15.50% | $14,506 | $12,258 | 37 | 43% | - | -$2,248 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 89 |
CRM
|
-15.74% | $7,261 | $6,118 | 41 | 54% | - | -$1,143 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 90 |
MSFT
|
-15.88% | $14,524 | $12,217 | 33 | 52% | - | -$2,306 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - |
| 91 |
SPXU
|
-17.28% | $11,141 | $9,216 | 30 | 43% | - | -$1,925 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - |
| 92 |
SMCI
|
-17.30% | $8,292 | $6,857 | 64 | 52% | - | -$1,435 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - |
| 93 |
HOOD
|
-18.56% | $14,111 | $11,492 | 64 | 56% | - | -$2,619 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - |
| 94 |
MARA
|
-22.43% | $12,959 | $10,052 | 77 | 52% | - | -$2,907 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - |
| 95 |
UNH
|
-24.00% | $8,775 | $6,669 | 42 | 48% | - | -$2,106 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 96 |
RBLX
|
-28.56% | $30,584 | $21,850 | 57 | 49% | - | -$8,735 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - |
| 97 |
DKNG
|
-32.67% | $12,056 | $8,117 | 52 | 44% | - | -$3,939 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 98 |
PYPL
|
-35.80% | $10,815 | $6,943 | 40 | 35% | - | -$3,872 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - |
| 99 |
SOFI
|
-36.63% | $17,286 | $10,954 | 61 | 46% | - | -$6,332 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 100 |
TQQQ
|
-36.63% | $13,187 | $8,357 | 52 | 44% | - | -$4,830 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - |
| 101 |
LCID
|
-38.96% | $5,164 | $3,152 | 68 | 50% | - | -$2,012 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - |
| 102 |
COIN
|
-39.89% | $6,089 | $3,660 | 63 | 44% | - | -$2,429 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.