11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
Feb 14, 2024
→
Feb 14, 2026
(731 days)
📊 2 Years Performance: We gave Rebel Contraire $10,000 and let him trade 102 stock symbols from Dec 31, 2023 to today. 🟢 LIVE
$12,255
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$10,000
(+$2,255)
+22.55%
2-Year ROI
58.0%
Win Rate
17,775
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (2 Years)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (2 Years)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (2 Years)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 2 Years:
Feb 14, 2024
→
Feb 14, 2026
(731 days)
| Rank | Symbol | Return | Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
GOOGL
|
+135.98% | $10,000 | $23,598 | 160 | 63% | - | +$13,598 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 2 |
SOXL
|
+129.43% | $10,000 | $22,943 | 288 | 61% | - | +$12,943 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - |
| 3 |
GS
|
+122.13% | $10,000 | $22,213 | 159 | 62% | - | +$12,213 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - |
| 4 |
MU
|
+118.64% | $10,000 | $21,864 | 222 | 61% | - | +$11,864 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 5 |
RBLX
|
+118.50% | $10,000 | $21,850 | 209 | 65% | - | +$11,850 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - |
| 6 |
MRNA
|
+102.50% | $10,000 | $20,250 | 259 | 63% | - | +$10,250 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - |
| 7 |
NVDA
|
+100.91% | $10,000 | $20,091 | 222 | 61% | - | +$10,091 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 8 |
PLTR
|
+95.03% | $10,000 | $19,503 | 247 | 62% | - | +$9,503 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - |
| 9 |
GLD
|
+92.20% | $10,000 | $19,220 | 127 | 66% | - | +$9,220 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - |
| 10 |
CVX
|
+85.54% | $10,000 | $18,554 | 138 | 64% | - | +$8,554 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - |
| 11 |
CSCO
|
+82.50% | $10,000 | $18,250 | 137 | 58% | - | +$8,250 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - |
| 12 |
WMT
|
+79.57% | $10,000 | $17,957 | 132 | 65% | - | +$7,957 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - |
| 13 |
AVGO
|
+77.27% | $10,000 | $17,727 | 207 | 57% | - | +$7,727 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - |
| 14 |
AXP
|
+72.15% | $10,000 | $17,215 | 158 | 63% | - | +$7,215 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - |
| 15 |
SLV
|
+63.64% | $10,000 | $16,364 | 166 | 60% | - | +$6,364 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - |
| 16 |
XLE
|
+63.31% | $10,000 | $16,331 | 137 | 62% | - | +$6,331 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - |
| 17 |
GILD
|
+62.35% | $10,000 | $16,235 | 144 | 59% | - | +$6,235 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 18 |
XOM
|
+57.91% | $10,000 | $15,791 | 144 | 64% | - | +$5,791 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 19 |
NFLX
|
+55.96% | $10,000 | $15,596 | 160 | 60% | - | +$5,596 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 20 |
ORCL
|
+52.78% | $10,000 | $15,278 | 185 | 57% | - | +$5,278 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - |
| 21 |
PANW
|
+52.47% | $10,000 | $15,247 | 178 | 60% | - | +$5,247 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - |
| 22 |
MS
|
+51.15% | $10,000 | $15,115 | 147 | 61% | - | +$5,115 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - |
| 23 |
IBM
|
+50.51% | $10,000 | $15,051 | 152 | 61% | - | +$5,051 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - |
| 24 |
META
|
+50.42% | $10,000 | $15,042 | 170 | 57% | - | +$5,042 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - |
| 25 |
SNOW
|
+47.81% | $10,000 | $14,781 | 204 | 59% | - | +$4,781 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - |
| 26 |
VOO
|
+47.43% | $10,000 | $14,743 | 121 | 64% | - | +$4,743 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - |
| 27 |
SPY
|
+43.19% | $10,000 | $14,319 | 122 | 65% | - | +$4,319 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - |
| 28 |
BRK-B
|
+43.10% | $10,000 | $14,310 | 128 | 56% | - | +$4,310 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - |
| 29 |
VTI
|
+41.90% | $10,000 | $14,190 | 122 | 63% | - | +$4,190 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - |
| 30 |
PM
|
+39.22% | $10,000 | $13,922 | 138 | 58% | - | +$3,922 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - |
| 31 |
MA
|
+39.04% | $10,000 | $13,904 | 134 | 58% | - | +$3,904 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - |
| 32 |
JNJ
|
+38.44% | $10,000 | $13,844 | 125 | 60% | - | +$3,844 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - |
| 33 |
WFC
|
+34.92% | $10,000 | $13,492 | 157 | 62% | - | +$3,492 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - |
| 34 |
BAC
|
+34.25% | $10,000 | $13,425 | 146 | 59% | - | +$3,425 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - |
| 35 |
DIA
|
+34.10% | $10,000 | $13,410 | 116 | 61% | - | +$3,410 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - |
| 36 |
NET
|
+32.53% | $10,000 | $13,253 | 212 | 62% | - | +$3,253 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - |
| 37 |
XLF
|
+32.30% | $10,000 | $13,230 | 118 | 57% | - | +$3,230 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - |
| 38 |
JPM
|
+31.36% | $10,000 | $13,136 | 143 | 59% | - | +$3,136 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 39 |
AAPL
|
+30.76% | $10,000 | $13,076 | 144 | 62% | - | +$3,076 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 40 |
IWM
|
+29.88% | $10,000 | $12,988 | 138 | 55% | - | +$2,988 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - |
| 41 |
COST
|
+29.53% | $10,000 | $12,953 | 132 | 56% | - | +$2,953 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - |
| 42 |
HD
|
+27.80% | $10,000 | $12,780 | 138 | 56% | - | +$2,780 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - |
| 43 |
ARM
|
+26.48% | $10,000 | $12,648 | 251 | 63% | - | +$2,648 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 44 |
SCHW
|
+25.31% | $10,000 | $12,531 | 141 | 60% | - | +$2,531 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - |
| 45 |
C
|
+25.18% | $10,000 | $12,518 | 159 | 60% | - | +$2,518 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 46 |
V
|
+25.06% | $10,000 | $12,506 | 135 | 54% | - | +$2,506 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - |
| 47 |
TSLA
|
+24.98% | $10,000 | $12,498 | 236 | 59% | - | +$2,498 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - |
| 48 |
LLY
|
+24.62% | $10,000 | $12,462 | 179 | 59% | - | +$2,462 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - |
| 49 |
KO
|
+22.95% | $10,000 | $12,295 | 122 | 56% | - | +$2,295 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - |
| 50 |
BLK
|
+22.58% | $10,000 | $12,258 | 145 | 55% | - | +$2,258 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 51 |
OXY
|
+22.39% | $10,000 | $12,239 | 159 | 60% | - | +$2,239 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 52 |
MSFT
|
+22.17% | $10,000 | $12,217 | 139 | 57% | - | +$2,217 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - |
| 53 |
INTC
|
+21.92% | $10,000 | $12,192 | 220 | 59% | - | +$2,192 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - |
| 54 |
ABBV
|
+21.56% | $10,000 | $12,156 | 142 | 58% | - | +$2,156 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 55 |
AMGN
|
+18.55% | $10,000 | $11,855 | 145 | 54% | - | +$1,855 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 56 |
HOOD
|
+14.92% | $10,000 | $11,492 | 261 | 58% | - | +$1,492 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - |
| 57 |
MCD
|
+14.65% | $10,000 | $11,465 | 125 | 53% | - | +$1,465 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - |
| 58 |
ISRG
|
+14.37% | $10,000 | $11,437 | 155 | 57% | - | +$1,437 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 59 |
VRTX
|
+12.46% | $10,000 | $11,246 | 147 | 59% | - | +$1,246 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - |
| 60 |
GME
|
+10.58% | $10,000 | $11,058 | 237 | 59% | - | +$1,058 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 61 |
SOFI
|
+9.54% | $10,000 | $10,954 | 236 | 58% | - | +$954 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 62 |
VZ
|
+9.41% | $10,000 | $10,941 | 130 | 58% | - | +$941 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - |
| 63 |
PEP
|
+6.53% | $10,000 | $10,653 | 128 | 52% | - | +$653 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - |
| 64 |
AMZN
|
+6.46% | $10,000 | $10,646 | 165 | 55% | - | +$646 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - |
| 65 |
PG
|
+5.09% | $10,000 | $10,509 | 121 | 56% | - | +$509 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - |
| 66 |
CRWD
|
+4.99% | $10,000 | $10,499 | 217 | 60% | - | +$499 | -37.8% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 67 |
ARKK
|
+3.98% | $10,000 | $10,398 | 184 | 61% | - | +$398 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - |
| 68 |
MDT
|
+3.56% | $10,000 | $10,356 | 127 | 51% | - | +$356 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - |
| 69 |
MRK
|
+1.02% | $10,000 | $10,102 | 150 | 59% | - | +$102 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - |
| 70 |
MARA
|
+0.52% | $10,000 | $10,052 | 319 | 58% | - | +$52 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - |
| 71 |
XLK
|
-0.51% | $10,000 | $9,949 | 141 | 57% | - | -$51 | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 72 |
DIS
|
-0.81% | $10,000 | $9,919 | 143 | 52% | - | -$81 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 73 |
QQQ
|
-1.41% | $10,000 | $9,859 | 129 | 57% | - | -$141 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - |
| 74 |
COP
|
-2.89% | $10,000 | $9,711 | 158 | 56% | - | -$289 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - |
| 75 |
AMD
|
-2.99% | $10,000 | $9,701 | 218 | 56% | - | -$299 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 76 |
BIIB
|
-3.68% | $10,000 | $9,632 | 161 | 54% | - | -$368 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 77 |
BMY
|
-4.04% | $10,000 | $9,596 | 162 | 54% | - | -$404 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 78 |
USO
|
-5.53% | $10,000 | $9,447 | 151 | 59% | - | -$553 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - |
| 79 |
TMO
|
-7.14% | $10,000 | $9,286 | 146 | 55% | - | -$714 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 80 |
SPXU
|
-7.84% | $10,000 | $9,216 | 110 | 58% | - | -$784 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - |
| 81 |
TLT
|
-7.91% | $10,000 | $9,209 | 113 | 54% | - | -$791 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - |
| 82 |
REGN
|
-8.28% | $10,000 | $9,172 | 163 | 55% | - | -$828 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 83 |
UVXY
|
-12.50% | $10,000 | $8,750 | 278 | 56% | - | -$1,250 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - |
| 84 |
SLB
|
-14.66% | $10,000 | $8,534 | 167 | 54% | - | -$1,466 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - |
| 85 |
PFE
|
-15.40% | $10,000 | $8,460 | 143 | 54% | - | -$1,540 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - |
| 86 |
TQQQ
|
-16.43% | $10,000 | $8,357 | 235 | 57% | - | -$1,644 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - |
| 87 |
DKNG
|
-18.83% | $10,000 | $8,117 | 215 | 57% | - | -$1,883 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 88 |
ACN
|
-27.22% | $10,000 | $7,278 | 148 | 49% | - | -$2,722 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - |
| 89 |
ADBE
|
-28.43% | $10,000 | $7,157 | 156 | 51% | - | -$2,843 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 90 |
PYPL
|
-30.57% | $10,000 | $6,943 | 166 | 56% | - | -$3,057 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - |
| 91 |
NIO
|
-31.32% | $10,000 | $6,868 | 244 | 55% | - | -$3,132 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 92 |
SMCI
|
-31.43% | $10,000 | $6,857 | 285 | 57% | - | -$3,143 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - |
| 93 |
UNH
|
-33.31% | $10,000 | $6,669 | 162 | 56% | - | -$3,331 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 94 |
CMCSA
|
-34.82% | $10,000 | $6,518 | 140 | 49% | - | -$3,482 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 95 |
SQQQ
|
-37.46% | $10,000 | $6,254 | 234 | 55% | - | -$3,746 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - |
| 96 |
CRM
|
-38.82% | $10,000 | $6,118 | 162 | 56% | - | -$3,882 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 97 |
VXX
|
-40.28% | $10,000 | $5,972 | 223 | 52% | - | -$4,028 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 98 |
RIOT
|
-46.31% | $10,000 | $5,369 | 313 | 58% | - | -$4,631 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - |
| 99 |
AMC
|
-52.70% | $10,000 | $4,730 | 227 | 55% | - | -$5,270 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 100 |
RIVN
|
-56.67% | $10,000 | $4,333 | 270 | 57% | - | -$5,667 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - |
| 101 |
COIN
|
-63.40% | $10,000 | $3,660 | 285 | 54% | - | -$6,340 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - |
| 102 |
LCID
|
-68.48% | $10,000 | $3,152 | 266 | 55% | - | -$6,848 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.