11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.
📊 Year to Date Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the year to date across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$12,475
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$12,208
(+$266)
+2.18%
Year to Date ROI
56.5%
Win Rate
3,344
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Year to Date)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Year to Date:
Jan 1, 2026
→
May 7, 2026
(125 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite
60+ Good
40+ Fair
<40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot
60+ Active
40+ Moderate
<40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance.
Full methodology →
| Rank | Symbol | Score | Mom | Return | YTD Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
INTC
|
33 | 88🔥 | +61.91% | $9,744 | $15,776 | 47 | 70% | - | +$6,032 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 2 |
VXX
|
10 | 50🔥 | +57.71% | $5,153 | $8,126 | 48 | 71% | - | +$2,974 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 3 |
USO
|
33 | 42 | +50.45% | $9,067 | $13,641 | 39 | 74% | - | +$4,574 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 4 |
XLE
|
61 | 13🧊 | +41.77% | $13,384 | $18,974 | 28 | 86% | - | +$5,590 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 5 |
OXY
|
35 | 19 | +39.32% | $10,797 | $15,043 | 37 | 76% | - | +$4,245 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 6 |
GME
|
26 | 44 | +38.08% | $8,839 | $12,204 | 35 | 74% | - | +$3,366 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 7 |
SMCI
|
12 | 67🔥 | +31.46% | $7,068 | $9,292 | 47 | 62% | - | +$2,224 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 8 |
AMD
|
23 | 95🔥 | +29.57% | $9,098 | $11,789 | 44 | 70% | - | +$2,690 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 9 |
COP
|
27 | 48🔥 | +24.99% | $9,569 | $11,960 | 34 | 71% | - | +$2,391 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 10 |
ARM
|
37 | 68🔥 | +24.69% | $12,578 | $15,684 | 47 | 62% | - | +$3,106 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 11 |
CVX
|
69 | 13🧊 | +24.05% | $16,701 | $20,718 | 28 | 75% | - | +$4,017 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 12 |
SPXU
|
19 | 9 | +22.92% | $8,569 | $10,533 | 38 | 63% | - | +$1,964 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 13 |
IBM
|
50 | 46 | +22.84% | $13,205 | $16,222 | 30 | 67% | - | +$3,016 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 14 |
MRNA
|
42 | 16🧊 | +21.32% | $17,265 | $20,946 | 48 | 63% | - | +$3,681 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 15 |
SLB
|
15 | 71🔥 | +20.92% | $8,455 | $10,224 | 35 | 66% | - | +$1,769 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 16 |
XOM
|
48 | 36 | +20.13% | $13,626 | $16,369 | 29 | 72% | - | +$2,743 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 17 |
SNOW
|
31 | 14 | +20.08% | $13,192 | $15,842 | 45 | 64% | - | +$2,649 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 18 |
NET
|
36 | 54 | +18.25% | $13,061 | $15,444 | 46 | 63% | - | +$2,384 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 19 |
AMZN
|
30 | 76🔥 | +18.18% | $11,018 | $13,021 | 33 | 70% | - | +$2,003 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 20 |
GLD
|
70 | 45🧊 | +17.56% | $17,216 | $20,239 | 30 | 63% | - | +$3,023 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 21 |
NFLX
|
46 | 13🧊 | +15.19% | $15,397 | $17,736 | 29 | 62% | - | +$2,339 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 22 |
XLK
|
26 | 76🔥 | +14.35% | $10,428 | $11,924 | 26 | 69% | - | +$1,496 | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 23 |
BAC
|
39 | 67🔥 | +13.88% | $13,341 | $15,193 | 28 | 64% | - | +$1,852 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 24 |
KO
|
33 | 43 | +13.14% | $11,595 | $13,119 | 21 | 76% | - | +$1,524 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 25 |
WMT
|
54 | 14🧊 | +12.73% | $15,833 | $17,848 | 27 | 67% | - | +$2,016 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 26 |
CSCO
|
70 | 51 | +11.86% | $17,235 | $19,280 | 24 | 54% | - | +$2,044 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 27 |
GOOGL
|
58 | 77 | +11.62% | $22,289 | $24,879 | 27 | 59% | - | +$2,590 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 28 |
AXP
|
57 | 60 | +11.18% | $17,277 | $19,209 | 27 | 59% | - | +$1,932 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 29 |
UVXY
|
10 | 47🔥 | +10.98% | $8,381 | $9,301 | 54 | 63% | - | +$920 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 30 |
AAPL
|
37 | 53 | +9.24% | $13,260 | $14,486 | 23 | 65% | - | +$1,225 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 31 |
PG
|
20 | 40 | +9.23% | $9,783 | $10,686 | 24 | 54% | - | +$903 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 32 |
RIOT
|
11 | 43🔥 | +7.64% | $5,151 | $5,544 | 53 | 62% | - | +$394 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 33 |
JNJ
|
43 | 3🧊 | +7.61% | $12,868 | $13,847 | 24 | 50% | - | +$979 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 34 |
NVDA
|
45 | 70🔥 | +7.58% | $20,915 | $22,501 | 32 | 59% | - | +$1,585 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 35 |
COST
|
32 | 12 | +7.43% | $11,987 | $12,878 | 23 | 65% | - | +$891 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 36 |
PANW
|
42 | 32 | +5.98% | $15,192 | $16,100 | 41 | 68% | - | +$908 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 37 |
PFE
|
9 | 2 | +5.81% | $8,067 | $8,535 | 22 | 64% | - | +$469 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 38 |
QQQ
|
21 | 66🔥 | +5.09% | $10,158 | $10,675 | 23 | 52% | - | +$517 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 39 |
JPM
|
36 | 44 | +4.80% | $13,653 | $14,308 | 26 | 65% | - | +$655 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 40 |
PEP
|
20 | 20 | +4.37% | $10,206 | $10,653 | 24 | 63% | - | +$446 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 41 |
VZ
|
22 | 6 | +3.87% | $10,447 | $10,851 | 24 | 58% | - | +$404 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 42 |
IWM
|
39 | 53 | +3.23% | $13,558 | $13,995 | 23 | 57% | - | +$438 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 43 |
SPY
|
53 | 51 | +2.99% | $14,470 | $14,903 | 20 | 60% | - | +$433 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 44 |
VOO
|
55 | 52 | +2.95% | $14,897 | $15,337 | 20 | 55% | - | +$439 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 45 |
RIVN
|
10 | 16 | +2.55% | $4,728 | $4,849 | 48 | 58% | - | +$121 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 46 |
SOXL
|
43 | 35 | +2.53% | $20,036 | $20,543 | 54 | 57% | - | +$507 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 47 |
DIA
|
39 | 45 | +2.31% | $13,305 | $13,613 | 21 | 48% | - | +$307 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 48 |
BLK
|
32 | 27 | +1.97% | $12,847 | $13,100 | 29 | 48% | - | +$253 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 49 |
C
|
32 | 64🔥 | +1.76% | $12,897 | $13,124 | 31 | 61% | - | +$227 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 50 |
VTI
|
49 | 50 | +1.47% | $14,350 | $14,561 | 20 | 55% | - | +$211 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 51 |
AMGN
|
24 | 25 | +0.91% | $11,217 | $11,319 | 27 | 52% | - | +$102 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 52 |
PLTR
|
45 | 51 | +0.87% | $19,749 | $19,921 | 47 | 57% | - | +$172 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 53 |
BMY
|
10 | 2 | +0.56% | $9,182 | $9,234 | 24 | 54% | - | +$51 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 54 |
V
|
36 | 49 | +0.18% | $13,231 | $13,255 | 23 | 48% | - | +$24 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 55 |
GILD
|
39 | 6🧊 | +0.04% | $14,732 | $14,737 | 26 | 58% | - | +$6 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 56 |
META
|
33 | 26 | -0.09% | $15,111 | $15,098 | 28 | 57% | - | -$14 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 57 |
XLF
|
35 | 17 | -0.17% | $13,443 | $13,420 | 22 | 55% | - | -$23 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 58 |
MCD
|
20 | 1 | -0.20% | $10,776 | $10,754 | 20 | 45% | - | -$22 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 59 |
PM
|
34 | 56🔥 | -0.59% | $13,768 | $13,686 | 29 | 62% | - | -$81 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 60 |
AVGO
|
44 | 49 | -1.71% | $18,447 | $18,131 | 37 | 57% | - | -$315 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 61 |
PYPL
|
11 | 67🔥 | -3.36% | $8,814 | $8,517 | 34 | 59% | - | -$296 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 62 |
BRK-B
|
43 | 5🧊 | -3.82% | $14,621 | $14,063 | 21 | 43% | - | -$559 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 63 |
TLT
|
10 | 3 | -3.92% | $9,184 | $8,824 | 18 | 44% | - | -$360 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 64 |
WFC
|
35 | 6🧊 | -4.01% | $13,996 | $13,435 | 28 | 57% | - | -$561 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 65 |
MS
|
42 | 71🔥 | -4.21% | $17,120 | $16,400 | 30 | 53% | - | -$721 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 66 |
ORCL
|
32 | 31 | -5.67% | $16,303 | $15,379 | 40 | 53% | - | -$924 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 67 |
COIN
|
9 | 16 | -6.39% | $4,185 | $3,918 | 47 | 55% | - | -$267 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 68 |
SCHW
|
24 | 5 | -6.39% | $12,293 | $11,507 | 28 | 54% | - | -$786 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 69 |
DKNG
|
12 | 59🔥 | -7.13% | $9,250 | $8,590 | 43 | 56% | - | -$659 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 70 |
VRTX
|
21 | 6 | -7.13% | $11,544 | $10,721 | 26 | 46% | - | -$823 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 71 |
MA
|
37 | 10🧊 | -7.46% | $14,692 | $13,596 | 26 | 46% | - | -$1,096 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 72 |
ACN
|
8 | 37🔥 | -8.22% | $7,415 | $6,805 | 31 | 55% | - | -$610 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 73 |
BIIB
|
10 | 40🔥 | -8.36% | $9,205 | $8,436 | 30 | 50% | - | -$770 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 74 |
TMO
|
10 | 5 | -8.48% | $9,667 | $8,847 | 29 | 52% | - | -$820 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 75 |
AMC
|
9 | 15 | -8.58% | $4,796 | $4,384 | 39 | 51% | - | -$411 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 76 |
SQQQ
|
9 | 9 | -8.99% | $6,885 | $6,266 | 45 | 56% | - | -$619 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 77 |
MU
|
40 | 52 | -9.18% | $21,092 | $19,156 | 50 | 56% | - | -$1,936 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 78 |
MSFT
|
29 | 59🔥 | -10.41% | $13,849 | $12,408 | 28 | 54% | - | -$1,442 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 79 |
DIS
|
8 | 2 | -10.48% | $9,821 | $8,792 | 24 | 42% | - | -$1,029 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 80 |
REGN
|
11 | 10 | -10.62% | $9,057 | $8,095 | 27 | 48% | - | -$962 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 81 |
CRM
|
10 | 15 | -10.63% | $7,112 | $6,356 | 35 | 57% | - | -$756 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 82 |
MRK
|
12 | 5 | -11.14% | $10,209 | $9,072 | 28 | 54% | - | -$1,137 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 83 |
GS
|
58 | 13🧊 | -11.44% | $21,993 | $19,477 | 30 | 47% | - | -$2,516 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 84 |
ADBE
|
9 | 52🔥 | -11.60% | $7,564 | $6,686 | 31 | 55% | - | -$877 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 85 |
TSLA
|
28 | 80🔥 | -11.94% | $14,751 | $12,990 | 35 | 51% | - | -$1,761 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 86 |
HD
|
19 | 6 | -12.33% | $12,195 | $10,691 | 27 | 33% | - | -$1,504 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 87 |
LLY
|
23 | 7 | -12.57% | $13,195 | $11,536 | 33 | 42% | - | -$1,659 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 88 |
NIO
|
9 | 35🔥 | -14.12% | $7,899 | $6,783 | 41 | 54% | - | -$1,115 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 89 |
UNH
|
10 | 64🔥 | -14.30% | $8,758 | $7,506 | 24 | 46% | - | -$1,252 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 90 |
MDT
|
7 | 5 | -15.46% | $10,765 | $9,101 | 25 | 32% | - | -$1,664 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 91 |
CMCSA
|
6 | 2 | -16.79% | $6,463 | $5,378 | 23 | 39% | - | -$1,085 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 92 |
ISRG
|
17 | 5 | -16.82% | $12,375 | $10,294 | 27 | 37% | - | -$2,082 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 93 |
SLV
|
32 | 9🧊 | -22.08% | $16,907 | $13,174 | 44 | 48% | - | -$3,733 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 94 |
CRWD
|
13 | 27 | -22.38% | $12,447 | $9,661 | 39 | 49% | - | -$2,786 | -37.8% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 95 |
LCID
|
8 | 15 | -23.68% | $3,937 | $3,005 | 48 | 52% | - | -$932 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - | |
| 96 |
ABBV
|
13 | 3 | -24.00% | $13,257 | $10,075 | 27 | 41% | - | -$3,182 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 97 |
HOOD
|
11 | 40🔥 | -25.91% | $13,035 | $9,658 | 44 | 45% | - | -$3,377 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 98 |
ARKK
|
11 | 12 | -30.49% | $11,530 | $8,014 | 33 | 42% | - | -$3,515 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 99 |
SOFI
|
10 | 18 | -32.13% | $11,841 | $8,037 | 43 | 47% | - | -$3,805 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 100 |
MARA
|
11 | 14 | -35.72% | $10,549 | $6,781 | 56 | 46% | - | -$3,768 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 101 |
TQQQ
|
11 | 35🔥 | -39.98% | $9,756 | $5,855 | 41 | 39% | - | -$3,900 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 102 |
RBLX
|
31 | 13 | -40.61% | $23,118 | $13,730 | 47 | 49% | - | -$9,388 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.