11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
Jan 1, 2026
→
Feb 14, 2026
(44 days)
📊 Year to Date Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the year to date across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$12,200
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$12,206
($-6)
-0.05%
Year to Date ROI
55.2%
Win Rate
1,130
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Year to Date)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Year to Date)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Year to Date:
Jan 1, 2026
→
Feb 14, 2026
(44 days)
| Rank | Symbol | Return | YTD Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
INTC
|
+25.12% | $9,744 | $12,192 | 16 | 75% | - | +$2,448 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - |
| 2 |
GME
|
+25.10% | $8,839 | $11,058 | 13 | 85% | - | +$2,219 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 3 |
XLE
|
+22.02% | $13,384 | $16,331 | 9 | 100% | - | +$2,947 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - |
| 4 |
MRNA
|
+17.29% | $17,264 | $20,250 | 17 | 65% | - | +$2,985 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - |
| 5 |
VXX
|
+15.89% | $5,153 | $5,972 | 14 | 71% | - | +$819 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 6 |
XOM
|
+15.89% | $13,626 | $15,791 | 10 | 90% | - | +$2,165 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 7 |
SOXL
|
+14.51% | $20,036 | $22,943 | 16 | 63% | - | +$2,907 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - |
| 8 |
IBM
|
+13.98% | $13,205 | $15,051 | 11 | 73% | - | +$1,846 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - |
| 9 |
WMT
|
+13.42% | $15,833 | $17,957 | 10 | 80% | - | +$2,125 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - |
| 10 |
OXY
|
+13.35% | $10,797 | $12,239 | 11 | 73% | - | +$1,441 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 11 |
SNOW
|
+12.05% | $13,192 | $14,781 | 15 | 73% | - | +$1,590 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - |
| 12 |
GLD
|
+11.64% | $17,216 | $19,220 | 12 | 75% | - | +$2,004 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - |
| 13 |
CVX
|
+11.09% | $16,702 | $18,554 | 10 | 80% | - | +$1,852 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - |
| 14 |
GILD
|
+10.21% | $14,731 | $16,235 | 10 | 70% | - | +$1,504 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 15 |
COST
|
+8.06% | $11,987 | $12,953 | 8 | 88% | - | +$966 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - |
| 16 |
JNJ
|
+7.59% | $12,868 | $13,844 | 9 | 56% | - | +$977 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - |
| 17 |
SPXU
|
+7.54% | $8,569 | $9,216 | 12 | 58% | - | +$646 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - |
| 18 |
PG
|
+7.42% | $9,783 | $10,509 | 9 | 67% | - | +$726 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - |
| 19 |
AMD
|
+6.63% | $9,098 | $9,701 | 14 | 71% | - | +$603 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 20 |
MCD
|
+6.40% | $10,776 | $11,465 | 8 | 63% | - | +$690 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - |
| 21 |
KO
|
+6.04% | $11,595 | $12,295 | 8 | 75% | - | +$700 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - |
| 22 |
CSCO
|
+5.89% | $17,235 | $18,250 | 8 | 50% | - | +$1,015 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - |
| 23 |
GOOGL
|
+5.87% | $22,290 | $23,598 | 9 | 67% | - | +$1,308 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 24 |
AMGN
|
+5.69% | $11,217 | $11,855 | 10 | 60% | - | +$638 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 25 |
PFE
|
+4.88% | $8,066 | $8,460 | 8 | 75% | - | +$394 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - |
| 26 |
HD
|
+4.80% | $12,194 | $12,780 | 9 | 44% | - | +$585 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - |
| 27 |
VZ
|
+4.73% | $10,447 | $10,941 | 9 | 67% | - | +$494 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - |
| 28 |
BIIB
|
+4.64% | $9,205 | $9,632 | 11 | 64% | - | +$427 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 29 |
BMY
|
+4.50% | $9,182 | $9,596 | 10 | 60% | - | +$413 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 30 |
UVXY
|
+4.39% | $8,382 | $8,750 | 16 | 69% | - | +$368 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - |
| 31 |
PEP
|
+4.38% | $10,206 | $10,653 | 9 | 56% | - | +$447 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - |
| 32 |
RIOT
|
+4.23% | $5,151 | $5,369 | 18 | 67% | - | +$218 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - |
| 33 |
USO
|
+4.19% | $9,067 | $9,447 | 11 | 73% | - | +$380 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - |
| 34 |
MU
|
+3.66% | $21,092 | $21,864 | 18 | 61% | - | +$772 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 35 |
SCHW
|
+1.93% | $12,293 | $12,531 | 9 | 78% | - | +$237 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - |
| 36 |
COP
|
+1.49% | $9,569 | $9,711 | 12 | 58% | - | +$143 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - |
| 37 |
NET
|
+1.47% | $13,061 | $13,253 | 15 | 53% | - | +$192 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - |
| 38 |
NFLX
|
+1.30% | $15,396 | $15,596 | 9 | 56% | - | +$200 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 39 |
REGN
|
+1.26% | $9,058 | $9,172 | 9 | 44% | - | +$114 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 40 |
PM
|
+1.13% | $13,767 | $13,922 | 11 | 64% | - | +$156 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - |
| 41 |
GS
|
+1.00% | $21,993 | $22,213 | 9 | 56% | - | +$220 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - |
| 42 |
DIS
|
+1.00% | $9,821 | $9,919 | 9 | 56% | - | +$98 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 43 |
SLB
|
+0.94% | $8,455 | $8,534 | 13 | 54% | - | +$79 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - |
| 44 |
CMCSA
|
+0.85% | $6,463 | $6,518 | 9 | 67% | - | +$55 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 45 |
DIA
|
+0.78% | $13,306 | $13,410 | 7 | 43% | - | +$104 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - |
| 46 |
BAC
|
+0.63% | $13,341 | $13,425 | 9 | 56% | - | +$84 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - |
| 47 |
ARM
|
+0.55% | $12,578 | $12,648 | 14 | 50% | - | +$69 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 48 |
PANW
|
+0.36% | $15,192 | $15,247 | 12 | 67% | - | +$55 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - |
| 49 |
TLT
|
+0.28% | $9,184 | $9,209 | 7 | 57% | - | +$26 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - |
| 50 |
AXP
|
-0.36% | $17,277 | $17,215 | 8 | 63% | - | -$62 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - |
| 51 |
META
|
-0.46% | $15,112 | $15,042 | 9 | 44% | - | -$70 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - |
| 52 |
SPY
|
-1.04% | $14,469 | $14,319 | 7 | 57% | - | -$150 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - |
| 53 |
VOO
|
-1.04% | $14,898 | $14,743 | 7 | 43% | - | -$155 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - |
| 54 |
MRK
|
-1.05% | $10,209 | $10,102 | 11 | 64% | - | -$107 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - |
| 55 |
VTI
|
-1.11% | $14,349 | $14,190 | 7 | 57% | - | -$159 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - |
| 56 |
PLTR
|
-1.25% | $19,750 | $19,503 | 17 | 53% | - | -$247 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - |
| 57 |
AMC
|
-1.36% | $4,795 | $4,730 | 14 | 50% | - | -$65 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 58 |
AAPL
|
-1.38% | $13,259 | $13,076 | 7 | 43% | - | -$183 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 59 |
XLF
|
-1.59% | $13,443 | $13,230 | 7 | 43% | - | -$214 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - |
| 60 |
MDT
|
-1.84% | $10,550 | $10,356 | 8 | 38% | - | -$194 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - |
| 61 |
ACN
|
-1.85% | $7,415 | $7,278 | 11 | 55% | - | -$137 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - |
| 62 |
BRK-B
|
-2.13% | $14,621 | $14,310 | 7 | 29% | - | -$311 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - |
| 63 |
VRTX
|
-2.57% | $11,543 | $11,246 | 10 | 40% | - | -$297 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - |
| 64 |
QQQ
|
-2.94% | $10,158 | $9,859 | 8 | 38% | - | -$299 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - |
| 65 |
C
|
-2.94% | $12,897 | $12,518 | 10 | 60% | - | -$379 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
| 66 |
SMCI
|
-2.98% | $7,068 | $6,857 | 15 | 40% | - | -$211 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - |
| 67 |
SLV
|
-3.21% | $16,907 | $16,364 | 16 | 50% | - | -$543 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - |
| 68 |
AMZN
|
-3.37% | $11,018 | $10,646 | 11 | 55% | - | -$371 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - |
| 69 |
WFC
|
-3.60% | $13,996 | $13,492 | 10 | 50% | - | -$504 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - |
| 70 |
JPM
|
-3.78% | $13,652 | $13,136 | 9 | 56% | - | -$516 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 71 |
AVGO
|
-3.90% | $18,446 | $17,727 | 14 | 50% | - | -$719 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - |
| 72 |
TMO
|
-3.94% | $9,667 | $9,286 | 10 | 50% | - | -$381 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 73 |
NVDA
|
-3.95% | $20,917 | $20,091 | 11 | 45% | - | -$826 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 74 |
IWM
|
-4.20% | $13,557 | $12,988 | 8 | 50% | - | -$569 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - |
| 75 |
BLK
|
-4.58% | $12,846 | $12,258 | 9 | 33% | - | -$588 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - |
| 76 |
XLK
|
-4.59% | $10,428 | $9,949 | 8 | 50% | - | -$479 | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 77 |
MARA
|
-4.71% | $10,549 | $10,052 | 17 | 53% | - | -$497 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - |
| 78 |
ADBE
|
-5.37% | $7,564 | $7,157 | 12 | 50% | - | -$406 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 79 |
MA
|
-5.37% | $14,693 | $13,904 | 9 | 33% | - | -$789 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - |
| 80 |
V
|
-5.48% | $13,231 | $12,506 | 8 | 38% | - | -$725 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - |
| 81 |
RBLX
|
-5.49% | $23,119 | $21,850 | 16 | 50% | - | -$1,269 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - |
| 82 |
LLY
|
-5.55% | $13,195 | $12,462 | 12 | 42% | - | -$732 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - |
| 83 |
ORCL
|
-6.29% | $16,303 | $15,278 | 13 | 46% | - | -$1,025 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - |
| 84 |
SOFI
|
-7.50% | $11,842 | $10,954 | 15 | 53% | - | -$888 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 85 |
ISRG
|
-7.58% | $12,375 | $11,437 | 10 | 40% | - | -$938 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 86 |
ABBV
|
-8.31% | $13,258 | $12,156 | 11 | 55% | - | -$1,102 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - |
| 87 |
RIVN
|
-8.35% | $4,728 | $4,333 | 17 | 47% | - | -$395 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - |
| 88 |
SQQQ
|
-9.15% | $6,884 | $6,254 | 14 | 50% | - | -$630 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - |
| 89 |
ARKK
|
-9.81% | $11,529 | $10,398 | 9 | 44% | - | -$1,131 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - |
| 90 |
MS
|
-11.71% | $17,120 | $15,115 | 9 | 33% | - | -$2,005 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - |
| 91 |
MSFT
|
-11.79% | $13,850 | $12,217 | 10 | 50% | - | -$1,633 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - |
| 92 |
HOOD
|
-11.84% | $13,035 | $11,492 | 13 | 38% | - | -$1,543 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - |
| 93 |
DKNG
|
-12.24% | $9,250 | $8,117 | 13 | 38% | - | -$1,132 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 94 |
COIN
|
-12.55% | $4,186 | $3,660 | 14 | 43% | - | -$525 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - |
| 95 |
NIO
|
-13.05% | $7,899 | $6,868 | 12 | 42% | - | -$1,031 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - |
| 96 |
CRM
|
-13.98% | $7,112 | $6,118 | 12 | 42% | - | -$994 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - |
| 97 |
TQQQ
|
-14.34% | $9,755 | $8,357 | 13 | 38% | - | -$1,399 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - |
| 98 |
TSLA
|
-15.28% | $14,752 | $12,498 | 11 | 36% | - | -$2,254 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - |
| 99 |
CRWD
|
-15.66% | $12,448 | $10,499 | 13 | 38% | - | -$1,949 | -37.8% | 1.8d | ✓ | - |
| 100 |
LCID
|
-19.95% | $3,937 | $3,152 | 16 | 38% | - | -$786 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - |
| 101 |
PYPL
|
-21.22% | $8,813 | $6,943 | 11 | 36% | - | -$1,870 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - |
| 102 |
UNH
|
-23.85% | $8,758 | $6,669 | 9 | 33% | - | -$2,089 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.