11
Rebel Contraire
The Rebel
⚡ Swing Trader 📅 72 years old (Born 1954)"Three red days means the amateurs have sold. Now it's time to buy what they threw away."
Rugged rebel in his early 70s, leather jacket over a suit, motorcycle helmet on desk. Silver hair slicked back. Defiant smirk.
ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.
📊 Last Month Performance: Showing Rebel Contraire's performance over the last month across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE
$12,452
Avg Value (per symbol)
Started at:
$12,513
($-60)
-0.48%
Last Month ROI
54.8%
Win Rate
810
Total Trades
Quick Performance Comparison
Click any period to view detailed stats
Equity Curve (Last Month)
Combined P&L across all 102 symbols
⚙️ Trading Strategy
Buy after 3 consecutive down days, target 2% reversal
After three consecutive down days, weak hands have capitulated. Rebel enters betting on the snapback, targeting a 2% relief rally.
🎯 Best Suited For
Oversold bounces, fading crowded trades
"When everyone zigs, I zag. Consensus is the enemy of returns."
📜 Why This Strategy Works
Short-term selling exhausts itself. When the panic subsides, prices snap back as buyers emerge from the sidelines.
Mathematical Formula
CODE VERIFIED —
These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-*-simulation.php
📊 Entry Signal
📈 Entry Signal
3 consecutive down days (Close[i] < Close[i-1] for i=0,1,2)
→ BUY at current close price
📉 Exit Conditions
• TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.02 (+2% reversal achieved)
• STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)
• MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 5 days
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
CONSECUTIVE_DOWN_DAYS:
3
TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
2%
STOP_LOSS_PCT:
-3%
MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
5
📖 Historical Origin
Origin: Humphrey B. Neill's "The Art of Contrary Thinking"
Humphrey B. Neill ran contrary opinion newsletters for decades. His thesis: when everyone agrees, everyone is wrong. Markets are driven by herds.
🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Month)
📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Month)
📊 All Symbol Results
Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve
📅 Last Month:
May 21, 2026
→
Jun 21, 2026
(31 days)
📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns
📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.
75+ Elite
60+ Good
40+ Fair
<40 Weak
⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.
75+ Hot
60+ Active
40+ Moderate
<40 Quiet
Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.
⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance.
Full methodology →
| Rank | Symbol | Score | Mom | Return | 1M Start | Final Value | Trades | Win Rate | Fees | Net | Max DD | Avg Hold | Refunds | Last Refund | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
SNOW
|
44 | 70🔥 | +28.82% | $17,774 | $22,896 | 11 | 64% | - | +$5,122 | -41.0% | 2.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 2 |
MU
|
46 | 64 | +16.97% | $18,877 | $22,080 | 14 | 71% | - | +$3,203 | -32.2% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 3 |
C
|
37 | 75🔥 | +15.71% | $12,915 | $14,944 | 8 | 88% | - | +$2,029 | -21.2% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 4 |
AMD
|
28 | 77🔥 | +14.29% | $12,291 | $14,047 | 12 | 75% | - | +$1,756 | -52.6% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 5 |
UVXY
|
17 | 64🔥 | +12.30% | $9,283 | $10,425 | 10 | 70% | - | +$1,142 | -48.5% | 22.7h | ✓ | - | |
| 6 |
MS
|
48 | 59 | +11.61% | $16,336 | $18,233 | 6 | 83% | - | +$1,897 | -18.0% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 7 |
MRNA
|
45 | 55 | +10.57% | $21,077 | $23,305 | 13 | 77% | - | +$2,228 | -42.5% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 8 |
AMC
|
9 | 50🔥 | +9.72% | $4,388 | $4,815 | 13 | 69% | - | +$427 | -57.1% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 9 |
DKNG
|
12 | 54🔥 | +9.72% | $8,013 | $8,791 | 11 | 73% | - | +$779 | -46.7% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 10 |
RIVN
|
10 | 50🔥 | +9.42% | $4,521 | $4,947 | 13 | 77% | - | +$426 | -60.0% | 1.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 11 |
GS
|
67 | 57 | +9.37% | $20,097 | $21,980 | 7 | 86% | - | +$1,883 | -13.2% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 12 |
WFC
|
37 | 54 | +9.23% | $12,920 | $14,112 | 6 | 83% | - | +$1,192 | -17.9% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 13 |
BAC
|
42 | 52 | +8.57% | $14,844 | $16,117 | 6 | 83% | - | +$1,272 | -19.8% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 14 |
PG
|
22 | 55🔥 | +8.40% | $10,122 | $10,972 | 7 | 86% | - | +$850 | -19.3% | 4.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 15 |
PANW
|
47 | 50 | +8.35% | $16,488 | $17,865 | 10 | 80% | - | +$1,377 | -18.6% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 16 |
HOOD
|
22 | 47🔥 | +8.22% | $10,219 | $11,059 | 12 | 67% | - | +$840 | -32.1% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 17 |
MARA
|
11 | 39🔥 | +6.99% | $6,702 | $7,170 | 14 | 71% | - | +$468 | -40.2% | 16.1h | ✓ | - | |
| 18 |
RBLX
|
34 | 44 | +6.58% | $13,947 | $14,864 | 11 | 73% | - | +$918 | -34.9% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 19 |
BIIB
|
11 | 39🔥 | +5.72% | $8,802 | $9,305 | 7 | 71% | - | +$503 | -32.7% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 20 |
AAPL
|
40 | 42 | +5.57% | $14,554 | $15,364 | 6 | 67% | - | +$811 | -20.3% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 21 |
TQQQ
|
12 | 33🔥 | +5.16% | $6,364 | $6,692 | 11 | 64% | - | +$328 | -41.0% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 22 |
SCHW
|
28 | 36 | +5.08% | $11,613 | $12,203 | 7 | 71% | - | +$590 | -16.1% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 23 |
XLK
|
29 | 31 | +4.91% | $12,018 | $12,608 | 7 | 71% | - | +$590 | -30.8% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 24 |
DIA
|
43 | 37 | +4.80% | $13,425 | $14,069 | 4 | 100% | - | +$644 | -13.6% | 5.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 25 |
VRTX
|
25 | 33 | +4.68% | $10,902 | $11,412 | 6 | 67% | - | +$510 | -21.3% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 26 |
XLF
|
36 | 34 | +4.33% | $13,357 | $13,935 | 4 | 75% | - | +$578 | -17.8% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 27 |
AXP
|
60 | 30🧊 | +4.02% | $19,189 | $19,961 | 6 | 67% | - | +$771 | -13.8% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 28 |
CSCO
|
72 | 30🧊 | +4.01% | $20,012 | $20,814 | 7 | 71% | - | +$802 | -9.7% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 29 |
TLT
|
10 | 27 | +3.78% | $8,744 | $9,075 | 4 | 50% | - | +$331 | -15.8% | 5.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 30 |
PYPL
|
11 | 22 | +2.99% | $8,047 | $8,287 | 7 | 57% | - | +$241 | -52.5% | 2.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 31 |
SLV
|
33 | 24 | +2.80% | $13,083 | $13,449 | 7 | 71% | - | +$366 | -18.7% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 32 |
LLY
|
24 | 25 | +2.73% | $11,642 | $11,960 | 7 | 71% | - | +$318 | -33.4% | 2.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 33 |
BRK-B
|
49 | 27🧊 | +2.55% | $14,715 | $15,091 | 5 | 80% | - | +$375 | -10.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 34 |
VOO
|
59 | 23🧊 | +2.51% | $15,671 | $16,064 | 4 | 75% | - | +$393 | -9.6% | 4.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 35 |
GME
|
27 | 19 | +2.32% | $12,225 | $12,509 | 8 | 50% | - | +$284 | -32.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 36 |
SOXL
|
43 | 26 | +2.22% | $20,414 | $20,867 | 14 | 57% | - | +$453 | -33.0% | 20.2h | ✓ | - | |
| 37 |
AMGN
|
26 | 19 | +2.16% | $11,470 | $11,718 | 6 | 67% | - | +$248 | -20.8% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 38 |
VTI
|
51 | 22🧊 | +2.03% | $14,877 | $15,179 | 4 | 75% | - | +$302 | -10.5% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 39 |
IWM
|
40 | 17🧊 | +1.98% | $14,287 | $14,569 | 5 | 60% | - | +$283 | -11.9% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 40 |
QQQ
|
25 | 19 | +1.89% | $11,147 | $11,358 | 6 | 67% | - | +$211 | -24.0% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 41 |
SPY
|
55 | 18🧊 | +1.59% | $15,222 | $15,464 | 4 | 75% | - | +$242 | -9.7% | 4.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 42 |
ORCL
|
30 | 25 | +1.55% | $14,317 | $14,539 | 12 | 58% | - | +$222 | -37.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 43 |
TSLA
|
29 | 21 | +0.94% | $13,404 | $13,530 | 10 | 60% | - | +$126 | -37.6% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 44 |
NIO
|
9 | 20 | +0.76% | $6,707 | $6,758 | 10 | 70% | - | +$51 | -39.7% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 45 |
UNH
|
10 | 12 | +0.72% | $7,561 | $7,615 | 5 | 60% | - | +$54 | -41.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 46 |
GILD
|
36 | 13🧊 | +0.53% | $14,226 | $14,302 | 7 | 57% | - | +$75 | -16.0% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 47 |
INTC
|
36 | 17 | +0.51% | $17,559 | $17,649 | 12 | 58% | - | +$90 | -45.8% | 1.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 48 |
BLK
|
32 | 13 | +0.46% | $13,146 | $13,207 | 6 | 67% | - | +$60 | -17.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 49 |
JNJ
|
45 | 10🧊 | +0.41% | $14,053 | $14,110 | 5 | 60% | - | +$58 | -9.8% | 4.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 50 |
NET
|
39 | 18🧊 | +0.40% | $16,758 | $16,825 | 10 | 60% | - | +$67 | -29.4% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 51 |
SPXU
|
19 | 13 | +0.04% | $10,512 | $10,516 | 8 | 63% | - | +$4 | -29.5% | 2.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 52 |
RIOT
|
11 | 17 | -0.02% | $5,282 | $5,281 | 11 | 64% | - | -$1 | -55.6% | 17.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 53 |
TMO
|
10 | 13 | -0.06% | $8,245 | $8,240 | 8 | 63% | - | -$5 | -23.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 54 |
PEP
|
20 | 7 | -0.60% | $10,714 | $10,649 | 5 | 60% | - | -$64 | -16.0% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 55 |
V
|
35 | 2🧊 | -0.70% | $13,266 | $13,173 | 5 | 40% | - | -$93 | -11.9% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 56 |
JPM
|
35 | 5🧊 | -0.85% | $14,369 | $14,247 | 8 | 50% | - | -$122 | -21.7% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 57 |
COIN
|
9 | 13 | -1.31% | $3,724 | $3,675 | 13 | 46% | - | -$49 | -67.1% | 23.4h | ✓ | - | |
| 58 |
DIS
|
8 | 2 | -1.43% | $8,268 | $8,150 | 5 | 40% | - | -$118 | -25.4% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 59 |
REGN
|
11 | 6 | -1.67% | $7,216 | $7,095 | 6 | 50% | - | -$121 | -42.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 60 |
SOFI
|
10 | 14 | -1.71% | $7,600 | $7,470 | 11 | 55% | - | -$130 | -43.4% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 61 |
VZ
|
19 | 2 | -1.93% | $10,707 | $10,500 | 5 | 40% | - | -$207 | -15.3% | 4.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 62 |
ABBV
|
11 | 6 | -2.22% | $10,240 | $10,013 | 6 | 50% | - | -$227 | -25.0% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 63 |
HD
|
9 | 3 | -2.59% | $9,805 | $9,551 | 6 | 33% | - | -$254 | -18.6% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 64 |
MA
|
34 | 2🧊 | -2.81% | $13,358 | $12,982 | 5 | 40% | - | -$375 | -12.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 65 |
MDT
|
7 | 3 | -3.37% | $8,781 | $8,485 | 6 | 33% | - | -$296 | -15.1% | 4.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 66 |
KO
|
32 | 2🧊 | -3.43% | $13,517 | $13,054 | 5 | 40% | - | -$464 | -18.7% | 4.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 67 |
ARM
|
38 | 15🧊 | -3.74% | $18,201 | $17,520 | 14 | 57% | - | -$681 | -36.8% | 1.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 68 |
GLD
|
62 | 5🧊 | -3.97% | $19,408 | $18,638 | 7 | 43% | - | -$771 | -11.3% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 69 |
AVGO
|
39 | 19 | -4.03% | $16,981 | $16,297 | 9 | 78% | - | -$684 | -21.1% | 1.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 70 |
SMCI
|
12 | 12 | -4.39% | $8,954 | $8,561 | 14 | 43% | - | -$393 | -63.9% | 22.3h | ✓ | - | |
| 71 |
ARKK
|
11 | 6 | -4.73% | $8,097 | $7,714 | 7 | 57% | - | -$383 | -23.5% | 2.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 72 |
MCD
|
9 | 2 | -4.80% | $10,404 | $9,904 | 5 | 20% | - | -$499 | -15.2% | 4.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 73 |
PFE
|
9 | 3 | -4.95% | $8,250 | $7,842 | 6 | 17% | - | -$408 | -30.4% | 3.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 74 |
GOOGL
|
56 | 3🧊 | -5.53% | $25,662 | $24,242 | 7 | 43% | - | -$1,419 | -25.1% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 75 |
WMT
|
48 | 6🧊 | -5.55% | $17,304 | $16,344 | 6 | 50% | - | -$960 | -14.2% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 76 |
MRK
|
11 | 2 | -5.85% | $9,184 | $8,647 | 6 | 50% | - | -$537 | -29.6% | 3.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 77 |
PM
|
35 | 3🧊 | -6.07% | $14,779 | $13,882 | 6 | 33% | - | -$897 | -19.7% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 78 |
META
|
30 | 9🧊 | -6.14% | $14,598 | $13,702 | 8 | 50% | - | -$896 | -36.9% | 2.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 79 |
ISRG
|
11 | 5 | -6.17% | $9,730 | $9,129 | 7 | 29% | - | -$600 | -39.2% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 80 |
PLTR
|
44 | 9🧊 | -6.34% | $20,340 | $19,051 | 9 | 44% | - | -$1,290 | -26.0% | 1.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 81 |
COP
|
25 | 3🧊 | -6.39% | $12,211 | $11,430 | 7 | 29% | - | -$780 | -20.4% | 3.2d | ✓ | - | |
| 82 |
CRWD
|
18 | 9 | -6.46% | $11,039 | $10,326 | 10 | 50% | - | -$713 | -37.8% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 83 |
BMY
|
10 | 3 | -6.69% | $9,725 | $9,074 | 7 | 43% | - | -$651 | -39.5% | 3.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 84 |
CMCSA
|
6 | 3 | -7.29% | $5,070 | $4,700 | 6 | 33% | - | -$370 | -47.7% | 3.7d | ✓ | - | |
| 85 |
SQQQ
|
9 | 14 | -8.03% | $5,754 | $5,292 | 12 | 50% | - | -$462 | -53.7% | 1.5d | ✓ | - | |
| 86 |
COST
|
29 | 3🧊 | -8.57% | $13,436 | $12,284 | 7 | 14% | - | -$1,151 | -17.4% | 4.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 87 |
CRM
|
10 | 9 | -8.74% | $6,440 | $5,877 | 9 | 44% | - | -$563 | -46.3% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 88 |
MSFT
|
25 | 5🧊 | -9.25% | $12,715 | $11,539 | 7 | 29% | - | -$1,176 | -19.1% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 89 |
CVX
|
63 | 3🧊 | -9.90% | $21,569 | $19,434 | 6 | 33% | - | -$2,135 | -12.9% | 3.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 90 |
ACN
|
8 | 5 | -10.05% | $7,098 | $6,385 | 7 | 29% | - | -$713 | -41.3% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 91 |
NFLX
|
38 | 2🧊 | -10.41% | $17,183 | $15,394 | 5 | 0% | - | -$1,789 | -19.6% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 92 |
XLE
|
55 | 3🧊 | -10.41% | $19,799 | $17,738 | 6 | 17% | - | -$2,061 | -12.9% | 4.0d | ✓ | - | |
| 93 |
VXX
|
10 | 9 | -10.78% | $7,934 | $7,079 | 10 | 40% | - | -$855 | -57.1% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 94 |
XOM
|
42 | 5🧊 | -10.95% | $16,547 | $14,735 | 8 | 25% | - | -$1,812 | -13.9% | 3.6d | ✓ | - | |
| 95 |
ADBE
|
8 | 7 | -12.27% | $6,587 | $5,779 | 9 | 33% | - | -$808 | -40.9% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 96 |
AMZN
|
24 | 5 | -12.39% | $13,001 | $11,390 | 8 | 38% | - | -$1,611 | -27.2% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 97 |
OXY
|
33 | 5🧊 | -12.42% | $16,116 | $14,114 | 7 | 29% | - | -$2,002 | -31.5% | 3.1d | ✓ | - | |
| 98 |
IBM
|
40 | 9🧊 | -13.95% | $16,133 | $13,882 | 11 | 45% | - | -$2,251 | -11.2% | 3.4d | ✓ | - | |
| 99 |
SLB
|
10 | 6 | -14.48% | $10,915 | $9,335 | 8 | 25% | - | -$1,581 | -24.3% | 2.9d | ✓ | - | |
| 100 |
USO
|
26 | 6 | -14.50% | $13,484 | $11,529 | 9 | 22% | - | -$1,955 | -29.6% | 3.3d | ✓ | - | |
| 101 |
NVDA
|
39 | 6🧊 | -18.67% | $22,751 | $18,503 | 8 | 25% | - | -$4,248 | -35.3% | 1.8d | ✓ | - | |
| 102 |
LCID
|
8 | 11 | -20.66% | $2,975 | $2,360 | 12 | 50% | - | -$615 | -69.8% | 23.6h | ✓ | - |
👤 Personality
Contrarian to a fault. If everyone agrees on something, he bets against it. Gets physically uncomfortable in consensus situations.