Compendium › Bruno Breakout › MSFT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MSFT
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-06-20 to present • 4 trades in period

-7.41%
Last Year Return
$9,589.14
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$10,356.12
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 16:32:24

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 11%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
51.2/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
0.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
0.8/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.11 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (11%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
34,186
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,356.12
Current Value
$9,589.14
Period P&L
$-766.98
Max Drawdown
-10.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.30

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+8.28%
Worst Trade
-5.19%
Avg Trade Return
-1.77%
Avg Hold Time
17.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$77,551.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-766.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$-766.98
Gross Return
-7.41%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $10,356.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET $544.62 19 $10,347.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 11:10am ET $516.96 19 $9,822.16 $9,830.50 $-525.62
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 9:30am ET $545.72 18 $9,822.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 10:00am ET $517.41 18 $9,313.31 $9,320.92 $-509.58
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $384.69 24 $9,232.56 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $416.55 24 $9,997.32 $10,085.68 +$764.76
(+8.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
48d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $464.57 21 $9,755.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 2:50pm ET $440.92 21 $9,259.32 $9,589.14 $-496.54
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,589.14
Net Profit/Loss: $-410.86
Total Return: -4.11%
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