Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 15:33:32

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 62%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.2/35
Total Return
16.2/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
6.8/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 54.7/100
× Confidence 0.62 = 33.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (62%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,200
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$14,141.14
Current Value
$18,706.78
Period P&L
$4,565.64
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.64

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+15.19%
Worst Trade
-5.77%
Avg Trade Return
+6.20%
Avg Hold Time
14.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$149,611.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,565.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,565.64
Gross Return
+32.29%
Net Return (after fees)
+32.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $14,141.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 9:30am ET $209.95 67 $14,066.64
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 12:15pm ET $197.84 67 $13,254.95 $13,329.44 $-811.70
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 9:30am ET $187.60 71 $13,319.60
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 9:30am ET $209.60 71 $14,881.60 $14,891.44 +$1,562.00
(+11.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $189.78 78 $14,802.84
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:00pm ET $179.88 78 $14,030.64 $14,119.24 $-772.20
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $151.53 93 $14,092.29
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $174.54 93 $16,232.68 $16,259.63 +$2,140.39
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
5 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $191.08 85 $16,241.80
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 12:40pm ET $219.87 85 $18,688.95 $18,706.78 +$2,447.15
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,706.78
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,706.78
Total Return: +87.07%
Back to Bruno Breakout