Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:26:27

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
8.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 14.6/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 12.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,210
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$13,236.55
Current Value
$11,029.34
Period P&L
$-2,207.21
Max Drawdown
-44.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
6 / 10
Best Trade
+16.96%
Worst Trade
-27.78%
Avg Trade Return
-0.35%
Avg Hold Time
9.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$419,706.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,207.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,207.21
Gross Return
-16.68%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $13,236.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 3:40pm ET $32.50 407 $13,227.50
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 10:20am ET $37.41 407 $15,224.65 $15,233.70 +$1,997.15
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 16, 2025 9:30am ET $46.02 331 $15,232.62
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 9:45am ET $43.28 331 $14,325.68 $14,326.76 $-906.94
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2025 9:30am ET $43.96 325 $14,287.00
🔴 SELL May 29, 2025 10:10am ET $41.75 325 $13,568.75 $13,608.51 $-718.25
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
42m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2025 9:30am ET $44.64 304 $13,570.32
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 12:30pm ET $42.40 304 $12,888.08 $12,926.27 $-682.24
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 9:30am ET $44.28 291 $12,885.48
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 9:30am ET $51.79 291 $15,070.89 $15,111.68 +$2,185.41
(+17.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2025 9:30am ET $56.08 269 $15,085.98
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 9:30am ET $47.75 269 $12,843.41 $12,869.11 $-2,242.57
(-14.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2025 9:30am ET $45.99 279 $12,831.21
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 9:30am ET $52.93 279 $14,768.45 $14,806.35 +$1,937.24
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $54.16 273 $14,786.28
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 11:10am ET $51.38 273 $14,026.74 $14,046.81 $-759.54
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $50.18 279 $14,000.22
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 1:35pm ET $47.66 279 $13,297.14 $13,343.73 $-703.08
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $41.36 322 $13,317.92
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:50am ET $39.17 322 $12,611.13 $12,636.94 $-706.79
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $35.33 357 $12,612.81
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET $33.54 357 $11,973.92 $11,998.05 $-638.89
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $30.30 395 $11,968.50
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET $28.56 395 $11,279.23 $11,308.77 $-689.28
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $29.02 389 $11,288.78
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $33.56 389 $13,054.84 $13,074.83 +$1,766.06
(+15.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:45am ET $32.95 396 $13,048.20
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $33.42 396 $13,236.30 $13,262.93 +$188.10
(+1.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.3d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $31.25 424 $13,250.00
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $22.57 424 $9,569.68 $9,582.61 $-3,680.32
(-27.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
29d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $24.03 398 $9,563.94
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:20am ET $27.67 398 $11,010.67 $11,029.34 +$1,446.73
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,029.34
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,029.34
Total Return: +10.29%
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