Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-20 16:36:27

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.1/35
Total Return
9.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 16.0/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 14.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,681
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,926.27
Current Value
$11,431.26
Period P&L
$-1,495.01
Max Drawdown
-44.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
6 / 9
Best Trade
+16.96%
Worst Trade
-27.78%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
10.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$379,312.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,495.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,495.01
Gross Return
-11.57%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $12,926.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 9:30am ET $44.28 291 $12,885.48
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 9:30am ET $51.79 291 $15,070.89 $15,111.68 +$2,185.41
(+17.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2025 9:30am ET $56.08 269 $15,085.98
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 9:30am ET $47.75 269 $12,843.41 $12,869.11 $-2,242.57
(-14.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2025 9:30am ET $45.99 279 $12,831.21
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 9:30am ET $52.93 279 $14,768.45 $14,806.35 +$1,937.24
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $54.16 273 $14,786.28
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 11:10am ET $51.38 273 $14,026.74 $14,046.81 $-759.54
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $50.18 279 $14,000.22
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 1:35pm ET $47.66 279 $13,297.14 $13,343.73 $-703.08
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $41.36 322 $13,317.92
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:50am ET $39.17 322 $12,611.13 $12,636.94 $-706.79
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $35.33 357 $12,612.81
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET $33.54 357 $11,973.92 $11,998.05 $-638.89
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $30.30 395 $11,968.50
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET $28.56 395 $11,279.23 $11,308.77 $-689.28
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $29.02 389 $11,288.78
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $33.56 389 $13,054.84 $13,074.83 +$1,766.06
(+15.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:45am ET $32.95 396 $13,048.20
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $33.42 396 $13,236.30 $13,262.93 +$188.10
(+1.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.3d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $31.25 424 $13,250.00
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $22.57 424 $9,569.68 $9,582.61 $-3,680.32
(-27.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
29d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $24.03 398 $9,563.94
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:20am ET $27.67 398 $11,010.67 $11,029.34 +$1,446.73
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
13 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $31.36 351 $11,007.36
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $36.16 351 $12,692.86 $12,714.84 +$1,685.50
(+15.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
14 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $44.36 286 $12,686.96
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:45am ET $42.11 286 $12,043.46 $12,071.34 $-643.50
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $31.68 381 $12,070.08
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:10am ET $30.00 381 $11,430.00 $11,431.26 $-640.08
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,431.26
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,431.26
Total Return: +14.31%
Back to Bruno Breakout