Compendium › Bruno Breakout › AVGO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AVGO
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-20 to present • 4 trades in period

+5.47%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,230.46
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$11,596.16
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 16:29:34

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.5/35
Total Return
11.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 18.0/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 14.0

30-Day Momentum

0
-8.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,596.16
Current Value
$12,230.46
Period P&L
$634.30
Max Drawdown
-31.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+15.44%
Worst Trade
-15.96%
Avg Trade Return
+2.24%
Avg Hold Time
13.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$106,079.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$634.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$634.30
Gross Return
+5.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $11,596.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $326.71 35 $11,434.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:10am ET $375.73 35 $13,150.55 $13,311.86 +$1,715.70
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $390.09 34 $13,263.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $450.33 34 $15,311.22 $15,360.02 +$2,048.16
(+15.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
47d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $488.34 31 $15,138.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $410.39 31 $12,721.94 $12,943.42 $-2,416.60
(-16.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $402.68 32 $12,885.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $380.40 32 $12,172.96 $12,230.46 $-712.96
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,230.46
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,230.46
Total Return: +22.30%
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