Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:30:32

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
20.3/35
Total Return
18.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 47.8/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 40.0

30-Day Momentum

11
+3.9%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.2 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,045
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$36,518.78
Current Value
$27,325.38
Period P&L
$-9,193.40
Max Drawdown
-29.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.35

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
2 / 9
Best Trade
+15.27%
Worst Trade
-5.91%
Avg Trade Return
-2.33%
Avg Hold Time
4.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$652,783.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-9,193.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$-9,193.40
Gross Return
-25.17%
Net Return (after fees)
-25.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $36,518.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 9:30am ET $139.73 259 $36,190.07
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 9:55am ET $131.59 259 $34,081.81 $34,110.08 $-2,108.26
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $138.10 246 $33,972.60
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 11:25am ET $131.10 246 $32,250.60 $32,388.08 $-1,722.00
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $122.91 263 $32,325.33
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 9:50am ET $116.75 263 $30,705.25 $30,768.00 $-1,620.08
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $123.73 248 $30,685.04
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 2:55pm ET $117.27 248 $29,081.72 $29,164.68 $-1,603.32
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $80.20 363 $29,112.60
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $85.89 363 $31,179.88 $31,231.96 +$2,067.28
(+7.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.3d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $77.06 405 $31,209.30
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:20am ET $73.07 405 $29,594.40 $29,617.06 $-1,614.90
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $72.05 411 $29,612.55
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $67.79 411 $27,863.74 $27,868.25 $-1,748.81
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $71.20 391 $27,839.20
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $67.19 391 $26,272.85 $26,301.91 $-1,566.34
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $76.96 341 $26,245.06
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:55am ET $73.04 341 $24,908.34 $24,965.19 $-1,336.72
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $75.24 331 $24,904.44
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $86.73 331 $28,707.63 $28,768.38 +$3,803.19
(+15.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $90.10 319 $28,741.90
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:00am ET $85.58 319 $27,298.90 $27,325.38 $-1,443.00
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $27,325.38
Net Profit/Loss: +$17,325.38
Total Return: +173.25%
Back to Bruno Breakout