Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 16:32:24

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 4.8/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,276
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,480.72
Current Value
$9,413.32
Period P&L
$1,932.60
Max Drawdown
-53.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.32

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
4 / 6
Best Trade
+21.47%
Worst Trade
-5.78%
Avg Trade Return
+3.61%
Avg Hold Time
5.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$160,375.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,932.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,932.60
Gross Return
+25.83%
Net Return (after fees)
+25.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $7,480.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $13.55 515 $6,975.68
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 3:50pm ET $12.78 515 $6,581.70 $6,593.99 $-393.98
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.3d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $14.68 449 $6,591.36
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $16.98 449 $7,624.02 $7,626.65 +$1,032.66
(+15.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET $17.97 424 $7,619.28
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:30pm ET $17.03 424 $7,220.72 $7,228.09 $-398.56
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $13.10 551 $7,220.85
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 9:35am ET $15.12 551 $8,331.62 $8,338.85 +$1,110.76
(+15.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $17.04 489 $8,332.56
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 12:25pm ET $16.17 489 $7,909.57 $7,915.86 $-422.99
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $15.14 522 $7,903.08
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 1:35pm ET $14.35 522 $7,488.09 $7,500.87 $-414.99
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $15.49 484 $7,497.16
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $17.99 484 $8,707.16 $8,710.87 +$1,210.00
(+16.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.53 496 $8,694.88
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:55am ET $16.52 496 $8,192.68 $8,208.67 $-502.20
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held
9 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $18.58 441 $8,193.78
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $22.57 441 $9,953.37 $9,968.26 +$1,759.59
(+21.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $28.50 349 $9,946.50
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $26.91 349 $9,391.56 $9,413.32 $-554.94
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,413.32
Net Profit/Loss: $-586.68
Total Return: -5.87%
Back to Bruno Breakout