Compendium › Bruno Breakout › UVXY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
UVXY
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 13 trades in period

+13.70%
Last 6 Months Return
$8,432.79
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$7,416.62
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:23:25

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 3.6/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 2.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,127
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,416.62
Current Value
$8,432.79
Period P&L
$1,016.17
Max Drawdown
-60.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
4 / 9
Best Trade
+19.83%
Worst Trade
-6.79%
Avg Trade Return
+1.57%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$203,253.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,016.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,016.17
Gross Return
+13.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $7,416.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 2:35pm ET $51.80 142 $7,355.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET $59.63 142 $8,466.75 $8,485.17 +$1,111.15
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $59.15 143 $8,458.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 10:35am ET $55.80 143 $7,979.40 $8,006.12 $-479.05
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $60.98 131 $7,987.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:10am ET $57.80 131 $7,571.80 $7,590.19 $-415.93
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET $56.78 133 $7,551.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 10:40am ET $53.81 133 $7,156.73 $7,195.18 $-395.01
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
54m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $36.92 194 $7,162.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET $34.97 194 $6,784.18 $6,816.88 $-378.30
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $38.75 175 $6,781.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $36.12 175 $6,320.95 $6,356.42 $-460.46
(-6.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $37.15 171 $6,351.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $35.27 171 $6,031.17 $6,035.79 $-320.63
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $40.01 150 $6,000.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:45am ET $46.28 150 $6,942.75 $6,977.79 +$942.00
(+15.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $41.85 166 $6,947.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $50.15 166 $8,324.90 $8,355.59 +$1,377.80
(+19.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $46.07 181 $8,338.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $54.80 181 $9,918.80 $9,935.72 +$1,580.13
(+18.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $52.24 190 $9,925.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET $49.49 190 $9,402.15 $9,412.27 $-523.45
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $56.76 165 $9,365.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET $53.53 165 $8,831.63 $8,878.50 $-533.77
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $55.10 161 $8,870.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET $52.33 161 $8,425.13 $8,432.79 $-445.71
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,432.79
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,567.21
Total Return: -15.67%
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