Compendium › Bruno Breakout › XLK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XLK
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 15:20:00+00 • 7 trades executed

+35.97%
2 Years Return
$13,756.05
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$10,117.23
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:21:59

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 17%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
50.1/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
80.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
88.2/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.17 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (17%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
56,873
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
526 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,117.23
Current Value
$13,756.05
Total P&L
$3,638.82
Max Drawdown
-10.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.64

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+15.08%
Worst Trade
-5.39%
Avg Trade Return
+5.73%
Avg Hold Time
23.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$135,958.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,638.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,638.82
Gross Return
+35.97%
Net Return (after fees)
+35.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 526 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $10,117.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 3, 2024 9:30am ET $100.99 99 $9,997.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2024 9:30am ET $113.95 99 $11,281.05 $11,380.47 +$1,283.54
(+12.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $115.82 98 $11,350.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2024 9:30am ET $118.24 98 $11,587.52 $11,617.63 +$237.16
(+2.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $95.22 122 $11,616.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 3:05pm ET $90.09 122 $10,990.98 $10,991.77 $-625.86
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 9:30am ET $101.69 108 $10,982.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2025 1:55pm ET $96.31 108 $10,401.48 $10,410.73 $-581.04
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $100.19 103 $10,319.57 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 9:55am ET $115.28 103 $11,873.33 $11,964.49 +$1,553.76
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $143.16 83 $11,882.69 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:10am ET $164.75 83 $13,674.25 $13,756.05 +$1,791.56
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
27d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,756.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,756.05
Total Return: +37.56%
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