Compendium › Bruno Breakout › CVX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CVX
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 3 trades in period

-6.29%
Year to Date Return
$9,032.45
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$9,638.26
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:12:47

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 14%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
52.7/35
Total Return
86.5/25
Win Rate
16.9/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
8.8/10
Raw Quality 190.8/100
× Confidence 0.14 = 26.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (14%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,282
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,638.26
Current Value
$9,032.45
Period P&L
$-605.81
Max Drawdown
-9.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.42

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+4.88%
Worst Trade
-5.98%
Avg Trade Return
-2.04%
Avg Hold Time
6.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$55,579.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-605.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$-605.81
Gross Return
-6.29%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $9,638.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $163.53 58 $9,484.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 12:45pm ET $155.34 58 $9,009.72 $9,163.25 $-475.01
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $173.87 52 $9,041.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $182.36 52 $9,482.72 $9,604.73 +$441.48
(+4.9%) 		📅 Sim Ended
12.3d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $203.54 47 $9,566.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $191.37 47 $8,994.16 $9,032.45 $-572.28
(-6.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,032.45
Net Profit/Loss: $-967.55
Total Return: -9.68%
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