Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-15 18:27:24

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.39%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.5
Unsettled
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 13%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
62.6/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
93.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
88.2/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.13 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (13%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
57,200
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-17 → 2026-06-15
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,121.58
Current Value
$16,034.85
Total P&L
$4,913.27
Max Drawdown
-5.4%
Sharpe Ratio
1.03

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
5
Winners / Losers
4 / 1
Best Trade
+15.30%
Worst Trade
-5.41%
Avg Trade Return
+7.89%
Avg Hold Time
23.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$135,177.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,913.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,913.27
Gross Return
+44.18%
Net Return (after fees)
+44.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $11,121.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $99.13 112 $11,102.56
🔴 SELL Nov 15, 2024 2:05pm ET $114.14 112 $12,783.68 $12,802.70 +$1,681.12
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $86.13 148 $12,746.50
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 3:15pm ET $81.47 148 $12,056.82 $12,113.02 $-689.68
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $88.84 136 $12,082.24
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 12:30pm ET $102.43 136 $13,930.48 $13,961.26 +$1,848.24
(+15.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.1d held
4 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $109.93 127 $13,960.48
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 9:30am ET $120.32 127 $15,280.01 $15,280.79 +$1,319.53
(+9.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $98.32 155 $15,240.37
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $103.19 155 $15,994.44 $16,034.85 +$754.06
(+4.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
48d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,034.85
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,034.85
Total Return: +60.35%
Back to Bruno Breakout