Compendium › Bruno Breakout › LTCUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LTCUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

2024-01-01 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 12:55:00+00 • 16 trades executed

-4.19%
2 Years Return
$10,397.63
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$10,852.49
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:57:59

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.8 oversold
20d Trend
-38.7%
5d Trend
-38.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.1%
ATR%
12.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 32%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.9/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
5.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
14.5/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.32 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (32%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
210,383
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
731 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,852.49
Current Value
$10,397.63
Total P&L
$-454.86
Max Drawdown
-25.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
14
Winners / Losers
4 / 10
Best Trade
+15.41%
Worst Trade
-5.82%
Avg Trade Return
+0.60%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$329,148.07
Estimated Fees
$822.87
Gross P&L
$-454.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,277.73
Gross Return
-4.19%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.77%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 731 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $10,852.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2024 12:20pm ET $69.11 157 $10,852.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2024 10:00am ET $65.56 157 $10,295.03 $10,242.16 $-610.33
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2024 10:45pm ET $80.51 127 $10,242.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 16, 2024 9:55am ET $92.92 127 $11,820.91 $11,765.75 +$1,523.59
(+15.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.5d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 16, 2024 12:05pm ET $93.09 126 $11,765.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2024 6:10am ET $87.95 126 $11,115.59 $11,058.39 $-707.36
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2024 10:05am ET $107.73 103 $11,058.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2024 7:15pm ET $124.28 103 $12,757.23 $12,697.69 +$1,639.30
(+15.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2024 7:20pm ET $127.77 99 $12,697.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2024 10:45pm ET $120.34 99 $11,959.30 $11,897.66 $-800.03
(-5.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2024 10:15am ET $127.66 93 $11,897.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2024 11:20am ET $121.10 93 $11,286.28 $11,228.32 $-669.34
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2024 12:25pm ET $123.43 91 $11,228.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2024 8:00am ET $116.65 91 $10,611.55 $10,556.95 $-671.37
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2025 5:50pm ET $112.38 94 $10,556.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2025 12:30pm ET $129.52 94 $12,167.08 $12,110.27 +$1,553.32
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 10:20am ET $100.83 120 $12,110.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2025 3:05am ET $116.00 120 $13,932.28 $13,867.17 +$1,756.90
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.7d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2025 4:35am ET $125.43 111 $13,867.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2025 12:10am ET $118.97 111 $13,152.97 $13,085.42 $-781.75
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2025 11:30am ET $128.34 102 $13,085.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 1:15am ET $121.84 102 $12,422.69 $12,358.92 $-726.50
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.8h held
12 🟢 BUY May 9, 2025 8:05pm ET $104.56 118 $12,358.92 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2025 9:55am ET $99.11 118 $11,714.73 $11,654.55 $-704.37
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 2:50am ET $105.67 110 $11,654.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 10:25am ET $100.38 110 $11,071.11 $11,014.29 $-640.26
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 11:25am ET $99.97 110 $11,014.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:20pm ET $94.86 110 $10,451.29 $10,397.63 $-616.66
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,397.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$397.63
Total Return: +3.98%
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