BTCUSD Crasher's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-12-21 to present • 7 trades in period
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026
Quality Components
30-Day Momentum
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 7 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crasher had $13,768.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $85,205.19 | 0 | $13,768.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 10:10am ET | $81,134.00 | 0 | $13,110.89 | $13,043.69 |
$-725.09 (-5.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 1, 2026 10:35pm ET | $74,543.62 | 0 | $13,043.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:35pm ET | $76,744.01 | 0 | $13,428.72 | $13,362.53 |
+$318.84 (+2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $67,456.00 | 0 | $13,362.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 7, 2026 10:20am ET | $69,271.31 | 0 | $13,722.13 | $13,654.42 |
+$291.89 (+2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $65,896.21 | 0 | $13,654.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 2:55pm ET | $67,521.99 | 0 | $13,991.30 | $13,922.19 |
+$267.77 (+2.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 22, 2026 8:05pm ET | $65,561.10 | 0 | $13,922.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 8:05pm ET | $64,427.50 | 0 | $13,681.47 | $13,681.47 |
$-309.73 (-1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 1:50am ET | $63,400.00 | 0 | $13,681.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 1:50am ET | $66,157.60 | 0 | $14,276.54 | $14,276.54 |
+$525.18 (+4.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 2:20am ET | $61,383.90 | 0 | $14,276.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 7, 2026 2:20am ET | $61,763.50 | 0 | $14,364.83 | $14,364.83 |
+$16.68 (+0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
2d held |