Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 13:43:00

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 4.0/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

1
-3.5%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,533
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,809.45
Current Value
$8,302.69
Period P&L
$-506.79
Max Drawdown
-27.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+6.17%
Worst Trade
-3.37%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$105,265.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-506.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$-506.79
Gross Return
-5.75%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $8,809.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $172.39 48 $8,274.72
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:40am ET $182.30 48 $8,750.64 $8,878.84 +$475.92
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $173.70 51 $8,858.70
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $184.41 51 $9,405.16 $9,425.30 +$546.46
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $202.54 46 $9,316.84
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:10am ET $196.23 46 $9,026.70 $9,135.16 $-290.14
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $176.57 51 $9,005.32
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $170.62 51 $8,701.62 $8,831.45 $-303.71
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $167.06 52 $8,687.12
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $161.91 52 $8,419.32 $8,563.65 $-267.80
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $152.50 56 $8,540.00
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 12:30pm ET $147.84 56 $8,279.04 $8,302.69 $-260.96
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,302.69
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,697.31
Total Return: -16.97%
Back to Danny Dip