Compendium › Danny Dip › DOGEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DOGEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 3 trades in period

+7.00%
Last Month Return
$773.63
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$664.56
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:05:13

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.8 oversold
20d Trend
-37.1%
5d Trend
-36.5%
EMA20 Dist
-35.0%
ATR%
12.1%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.9/10
Raw Quality 3.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.5

30-Day Momentum

31
+8.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 51.0 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,822
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
31 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$664.56
Current Value
$773.63
Period P&L
$46.52
Max Drawdown
-94.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.66

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+6.05%
Worst Trade
-3.04%
Avg Trade Return
+2.70%
Avg Hold Time
5.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$4,453.31
Estimated Fees
$11.13
Gross P&L
$46.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$35.39
Gross Return
+7.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.32%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 31 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $664.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:25am ET $0.0946 7,570 $715.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:50pm ET $0.0994 7,570 $752.35 $752.35 +$32.70
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 8:15am ET $0.1065 7,063 $752.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 12:15pm ET $0.1033 7,063 $729.50 $729.50 $-26.55
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:45pm ET $0.1021 7,146 $729.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 8:55pm ET $0.1083 7,146 $773.63 $773.63 +$40.37
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $773.63
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,226.37
Total Return: -92.26%
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