Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 12:26:04

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 3.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

3
-10.2%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,518
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$4,224.28
Current Value
$3,793.27
Period P&L
$-431.02
Max Drawdown
-57.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.52

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
1 / 5
Best Trade
+5.72%
Worst Trade
-3.78%
Avg Trade Return
-1.72%
Avg Hold Time
17.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$46,938.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-431.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$-431.02
Gross Return
-10.20%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $4,224.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:35am ET $6.65 635 $4,222.75
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 12:40pm ET $6.45 635 $4,092.58 $4,094.12 $-130.17
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:50am ET $5.55 737 $4,094.03
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:50am ET $5.34 737 $3,939.26 $3,939.35 $-154.77
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET $5.29 744 $3,935.69
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $5.13 744 $3,816.72 $3,820.38 $-118.97
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:50am ET $4.89 780 $3,818.10
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $4.74 780 $3,701.10 $3,703.38 $-117.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:45am ET $5.16 718 $3,701.29
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $5.45 718 $3,913.10 $3,915.19 +$211.81
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $5.14 762 $3,912.87
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET $4.97 762 $3,790.95 $3,793.27 $-121.92
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,793.27
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,206.73
Total Return: -62.07%
Back to Danny Dip