Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 12:28:35

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
7.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 13.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 13.1

30-Day Momentum

26
+5.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.4 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+12 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,518
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,234.72
Current Value
$10,447.11
Period P&L
$212.44
Max Drawdown
-46.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+5.66%
Worst Trade
-3.72%
Avg Trade Return
+0.38%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$149,438.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$212.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$212.44
Gross Return
+2.08%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,234.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $13.98 732 $10,233.36
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET $14.69 732 $10,756.74 $10,758.05 +$523.38
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 1:55pm ET $14.36 748 $10,745.02
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $13.83 748 $10,344.84 $10,357.87 $-400.18
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:45am ET $13.35 775 $10,350.12
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 2:30pm ET $14.03 775 $10,873.17 $10,880.92 +$523.05
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $13.79 789 $10,880.31
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET $13.34 789 $10,525.26 $10,525.87 $-355.05
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:25am ET $12.94 813 $10,518.59
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:35pm ET $13.67 813 $11,113.71 $11,120.99 +$595.12
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:15am ET $14.66 758 $11,112.28
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $14.22 758 $10,778.76 $10,787.47 $-333.52
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:55am ET $15.82 681 $10,773.42
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 12:15pm ET $15.32 681 $10,433.06 $10,447.11 $-340.36
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,447.11
Net Profit/Loss: +$447.11
Total Return: +4.47%
Back to Danny Dip