Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:21:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 5.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 5.6

30-Day Momentum

34
+10.8%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 48.9 Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,739
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$6,625.74
Current Value
$7,341.87
Period P&L
$716.14
Max Drawdown
-66.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.50

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+6.16%
Worst Trade
-3.20%
Avg Trade Return
+2.17%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$68,503.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$716.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$716.14
Gross Return
+10.81%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.81%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $6,625.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET $50.64 130 $6,583.20
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $53.76 130 $6,988.80 $7,031.33 +$405.60
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $53.68 130 $6,978.40
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:45am ET $51.96 130 $6,754.98 $6,807.91 $-223.42
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:55am ET $49.19 138 $6,788.91
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET $47.70 138 $6,582.90 $6,601.90 $-206.01
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:40am ET $45.15 146 $6,591.17
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:15am ET $47.74 146 $6,970.04 $6,980.77 +$378.87
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
5 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:15am ET $44.28 157 $6,951.96
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $46.58 157 $7,313.06 $7,341.87 +$361.10
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,341.87
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,658.13
Total Return: -26.58%
Back to Danny Dip