Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 13:43:08

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.9

30-Day Momentum

8
+0.4%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 9.8 Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,533
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$4,684.99
Current Value
$4,529.68
Period P&L
$-155.31
Max Drawdown
-63.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+5.67%
Worst Trade
-4.22%
Avg Trade Return
-0.32%
Avg Hold Time
16.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$70,611.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-155.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$-155.31
Gross Return
-3.32%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.32%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $4,684.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $27.37 171 $4,680.27
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $26.22 171 $4,482.77 $4,487.48 $-197.51
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $27.63 162 $4,476.06
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $26.63 162 $4,313.25 $4,324.67 $-162.81
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $26.41 163 $4,304.83
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $25.54 163 $4,163.02 $4,182.86 $-141.81
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:15am ET $24.43 171 $4,177.55
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:20am ET $25.75 171 $4,402.40 $4,407.71 +$224.85
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:20am ET $25.73 171 $4,399.83
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $24.72 171 $4,227.12 $4,235.00 $-172.71
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $24.39 173 $4,218.61
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $25.65 173 $4,437.45 $4,453.84 +$218.84
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET $27.17 163 $4,428.71
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:45pm ET $28.71 163 $4,679.73 $4,704.86 +$251.02
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:20am ET $29.36 160 $4,697.58
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 11:20am ET $28.26 160 $4,522.40 $4,529.68 $-175.18
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,529.68
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,470.32
Total Return: -54.70%
Back to Danny Dip