Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:58:48

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 4.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

5
+0.7%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.5 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$4,182.39
Current Value
$4,209.83
Period P&L
$27.44
Max Drawdown
-80.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+5.55%
Worst Trade
-3.46%
Avg Trade Return
+0.23%
Avg Hold Time
19.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$42,645.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$27.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$27.44
Gross Return
+0.66%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $4,182.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:45am ET $22.57 185 $4,175.45
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET $21.83 185 $4,037.63 $4,044.57 $-137.82
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET $22.97 176 $4,042.72
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $24.22 176 $4,262.72 $4,264.57 +$220.00
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $26.51 160 $4,241.60
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $27.98 160 $4,476.80 $4,499.77 +$235.20
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:15am ET $28.42 158 $4,490.38
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:25am ET $27.54 158 $4,351.32 $4,360.71 $-139.06
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $26.58 164 $4,359.12
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:05am ET $25.66 164 $4,208.24 $4,209.83 $-150.88
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,209.83
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,790.17
Total Return: -57.90%
Back to Danny Dip