Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 13:43:08

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 4.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.3

30-Day Momentum

6
-6.0%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,533
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,175.92
Current Value
$4,889.09
Period P&L
$-286.83
Max Drawdown
-80.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+8.88%
Worst Trade
-3.71%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
21.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$97,078.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-286.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$-286.83
Gross Return
-5.54%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $5,175.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 11:05am ET $32.51 151 $4,909.01
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:35am ET $34.26 151 $5,173.26 $5,200.83 +$264.25
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:25am ET $37.27 139 $5,180.53
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:20am ET $39.53 139 $5,493.98 $5,514.28 +$313.45
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:40am ET $46.52 118 $5,489.36
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $50.65 118 $5,976.70 $6,001.62 +$487.34
(+8.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $48.42 123 $5,955.64
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET $46.69 123 $5,742.87 $5,788.85 $-212.77
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:50am ET $45.72 126 $5,760.72
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $44.28 126 $5,579.28 $5,607.41 $-181.44
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $43.13 130 $5,606.90
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $41.55 130 $5,401.50 $5,402.01 $-205.40
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:45am ET $34.30 157 $5,385.10
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:20am ET $33.25 157 $5,220.25 $5,237.16 $-164.85
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $30.98 169 $5,235.62
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $29.83 169 $5,041.27 $5,042.81 $-194.35
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:10am ET $30.00 168 $5,040.00
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 11:10am ET $29.08 168 $4,886.28 $4,889.09 $-153.72
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,889.09
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,110.91
Total Return: -51.11%
Back to Danny Dip