Compendium › Danny Dip › TSLA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TSLA
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 3 trades in period

-3.55%
Last Month Return
$13,978.33
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$14,492.63
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:23:55

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 27.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 26.8

30-Day Momentum

0
-2.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,492.63
Current Value
$13,978.33
Period P&L
$-514.28
Max Drawdown
-32.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+5.28%
Worst Trade
-4.77%
Avg Trade Return
-0.85%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$81,762.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-514.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$-514.28
Gross Return
-3.55%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.55%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $14,492.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $364.39 39 $14,211.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET $353.29 39 $13,778.31 $13,939.99 $-432.89
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:20am ET $392.41 35 $13,734.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $373.69 35 $13,079.15 $13,284.79 $-655.20
(-4.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:00am ET $364.81 36 $13,133.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $384.08 36 $13,826.70 $13,978.33 +$693.54
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,978.33
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,978.33
Total Return: +39.78%
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