Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 13:43:26

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.1/35
Total Return
13.2/25
Win Rate
1.4/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 26.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 25.8

30-Day Momentum

1
-3.5%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,533
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,253.22
Current Value
$14,479.62
Period P&L
$226.42
Max Drawdown
-32.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+6.44%
Worst Trade
-3.56%
Avg Trade Return
+0.41%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$134,848.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$226.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$226.42
Gross Return
+1.59%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.59%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $14,253.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:25am ET $430.16 33 $14,195.28
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:35pm ET $416.86 33 $13,756.38 $13,814.30 $-438.90
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:25am ET $406.31 33 $13,408.23
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $393.97 33 $13,000.96 $13,407.03 $-407.27
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $401.68 33 $13,255.44
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $387.39 33 $12,784.03 $12,935.62 $-471.41
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:10pm ET $387.41 33 $12,784.53
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $412.36 33 $13,607.88 $13,758.97 +$823.35
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET $390.50 35 $13,667.50
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:05am ET $411.09 35 $14,388.15 $14,479.62 +$720.65
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,479.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,479.62
Total Return: +44.80%
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