Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:03:21

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
7.1/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 15.5/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 11.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,597
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,179.69
Current Value
$10,615.05
Period P&L
$435.37
Max Drawdown
-12.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+5.28%
Worst Trade
-4.21%
Avg Trade Return
+0.69%
Avg Hold Time
7.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$145,793.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$435.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$435.37
Gross Return
+4.28%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,179.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 2, 2025 10:05am ET $277.24 36 $9,980.64
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 1:55pm ET $268.81 36 $9,677.20 $9,868.59 $-303.44
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
2 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 9:30am ET $267.76 36 $9,639.36
🔴 SELL May 22, 2025 9:30am ET $271.02 36 $9,756.54 $9,985.77 +$117.18
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 2:30pm ET $275.64 36 $9,923.21
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 11:05am ET $290.19 36 $10,446.84 $10,509.40 +$523.63
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2025 9:30am ET $287.70 36 $10,357.19
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:30am ET $297.85 36 $10,722.60 $10,874.81 +$365.41
(+3.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $322.60 33 $10,645.72
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:00am ET $339.20 33 $11,193.60 $11,422.69 +$547.88
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:05am ET $373.96 30 $11,218.80
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $362.34 30 $10,870.20 $11,074.09 $-348.60
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $340.95 32 $10,910.40
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $326.61 32 $10,451.36 $10,615.05 $-459.04
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,615.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$615.05
Total Return: +6.15%
Back to Danny Dip