Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 14:07:20

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.1/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
7.4/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 54.8/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 40.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,941
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
259 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,890.23
Current Value
$14,961.05
Period P&L
$2,070.82
Max Drawdown
-9.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.41

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+5.93%
Worst Trade
-3.27%
Avg Trade Return
+1.58%
Avg Hold Time
7.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$277,503.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,070.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,070.82
Gross Return
+16.07%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 259 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $12,890.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2025 9:30am ET $1,058.91 12 $12,706.92
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 9:40am ET $1,115.82 12 $13,389.84 $13,573.16 +$682.92
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 10:00am ET $1,155.72 11 $12,712.92
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 9:45am ET $1,214.96 11 $13,364.56 $14,224.80 +$651.64
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:20am ET $1,080.74 13 $14,049.56
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1,144.81 13 $14,882.53 $15,057.77 +$832.98
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:50am ET $1,131.96 13 $14,715.48
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET $1,116.23 13 $14,510.99 $14,853.28 $-204.49
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:15am ET $1,068.14 13 $13,885.82
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $1,033.78 13 $13,439.14 $14,406.60 $-446.68
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $992.66 14 $13,897.31
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:30am ET $960.20 14 $13,442.73 $13,952.02 $-454.58
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:30am ET $922.30 15 $13,834.50
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:35am ET $971.47 15 $14,572.05 $14,689.57 +$737.55
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $956.54 15 $14,348.10
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $956.04 15 $14,340.64 $14,682.11 $-7.46
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
9 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:55am ET $1,052.48 13 $13,682.24
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:45am ET $1,020.50 13 $13,266.50 $14,266.37 $-415.74
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $991.68 14 $13,883.52
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:25am ET $1,041.30 14 $14,578.20 $14,961.05 +$694.68
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,961.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,961.05
Total Return: +49.61%
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