Compendium › Danny Dip › BMY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BMY
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 8 trades in period

-4.89%
Last Year Return
$8,499.22
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$8,936.02
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:56:07

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 66%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 3.6/100
× Confidence 0.66 = 2.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (66%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,956
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$8,936.02
Current Value
$8,499.22
Period P&L
$-436.80
Max Drawdown
-20.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+5.60%
Worst Trade
-3.49%
Avg Trade Return
-0.15%
Avg Hold Time
6.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$138,533.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-436.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-436.80
Gross Return
-4.89%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $8,936.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:50am ET $48.28 179 $8,641.23 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 9:50am ET $48.07 179 $8,605.41 $8,611.12 $-35.82
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
2 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 9:30am ET $46.79 184 $8,609.36 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 12:30pm ET $45.33 184 $8,340.72 $8,342.48 $-268.64
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 10:30am ET $47.03 177 $8,324.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2025 10:30am ET $47.60 177 $8,424.32 $8,442.48 +$100.01
(+1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET $43.36 194 $8,411.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 9:30am ET $45.79 194 $8,883.26 $8,913.90 +$471.42
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $47.07 189 $8,895.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 10:00am ET $45.55 189 $8,608.01 $8,626.62 $-287.28
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $58.58 147 $8,611.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:40am ET $61.75 147 $9,076.91 $9,092.28 +$465.65
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:05am ET $60.51 150 $9,077.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:20am ET $58.60 150 $8,790.06 $8,805.09 $-287.19
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:20am ET $60.07 146 $8,770.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET $57.97 146 $8,464.35 $8,499.22 $-305.87
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,499.22
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,500.78
Total Return: -15.01%
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