Compendium › Danny Dip › COST
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COST
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 4 trades in period

-5.96%
Last Year Return
$9,553.95
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$10,159.10
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:28:36

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 12, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 45%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 6.9/100
× Confidence 0.45 = 3.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (45%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
24,154
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,159.10
Current Value
$9,553.95
Period P&L
$-605.15
Max Drawdown
-9.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.58

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+2.98%
Worst Trade
-3.04%
Avg Trade Return
-1.52%
Avg Hold Time
10.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$75,775.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-605.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$-605.15
Gross Return
-5.96%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.96%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,159.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 10:20am ET $1,021.69 9 $9,195.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 1:10pm ET $991.03 9 $8,919.23 $9,883.17 $-275.94
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 9:30am ET $912.31 10 $9,123.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 9:30am ET $939.46 10 $9,394.60 $10,154.67 +$271.50
(+3.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:45am ET $911.60 11 $10,027.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:40am ET $883.93 11 $9,723.23 $9,850.30 $-304.37
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 10:15am ET $894.94 11 $9,844.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 1:00pm ET $868.00 11 $9,548.01 $9,553.95 $-296.34
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,553.95
Net Profit/Loss: $-446.05
Total Return: -4.46%
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