Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:18:15

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.9/35
Total Return
14.7/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 39.8/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 33.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,588
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$13,746.29
Current Value
$15,859.82
Period P&L
$2,113.54
Max Drawdown
-15.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
7 / 9
Best Trade
+7.70%
Worst Trade
-3.51%
Avg Trade Return
+1.00%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$474,552.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,113.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,113.54
Gross Return
+15.38%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $13,746.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 9:35am ET $748.19 18 $13,467.42
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 10:05am ET $724.36 18 $13,038.48 $13,317.35 $-428.94
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY May 14, 2025 10:40am ET $730.80 18 $13,154.48
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 10:40am ET $721.40 18 $12,985.20 $13,148.08 $-169.28
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 9:45am ET $758.54 17 $12,895.10
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 12:25pm ET $796.82 17 $13,545.94 $13,798.92 +$650.85
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2025 10:45am ET $778.80 17 $13,239.60
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 10:45am ET $777.32 17 $13,214.44 $13,773.76 $-25.16
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 9:30am ET $661.20 20 $13,224.00
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 10:00am ET $638.02 20 $12,760.30 $13,310.06 $-463.70
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 10:30am ET $630.19 21 $13,233.99
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2025 9:50am ET $663.15 21 $13,926.15 $14,002.22 +$692.16
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET $794.00 17 $13,498.00
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 11:25am ET $833.82 17 $14,174.91 $14,679.13 +$676.91
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:40am ET $910.86 16 $14,573.76
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:35am ET $964.43 16 $15,430.88 $15,536.25 +$857.12
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 9:45am ET $1,068.74 14 $14,962.29
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:45am ET $1,033.46 14 $14,468.44 $15,042.40 $-493.85
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:05am ET $1,047.72 14 $14,668.08
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET $1,103.03 14 $15,442.42 $15,816.74 +$774.34
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET $1,038.69 15 $15,580.35
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:10am ET $1,091.91 15 $16,378.65 $16,615.04 +$798.30
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $1,012.17 16 $16,194.72
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $1,090.07 16 $17,441.12 $17,861.44 +$1,246.40
(+7.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $1,048.31 17 $17,821.27
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:35pm ET $1,014.87 17 $17,252.79 $17,292.95 $-568.48
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:55am ET $1,072.00 16 $17,152.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,046.36 16 $16,741.76 $16,882.71 $-410.24
(-2.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
6h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 11:00am ET $972.59 17 $16,534.03
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:40am ET $941.04 17 $15,997.68 $16,346.36 $-536.35
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $890.01 18 $16,020.18
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $862.98 18 $15,533.64 $15,859.82 $-486.54
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,859.82
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,859.82
Total Return: +58.60%
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