Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:17:09

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49 neutral
20d Trend
-0.0%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.9/35
Total Return
11.9/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 33.2/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 24.3

30-Day Momentum

30
+7.4%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 48.7 Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,164
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
259 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,156.57
Current Value
$12,633.96
Period P&L
$477.38
Max Drawdown
-13.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+5.41%
Worst Trade
-3.64%
Avg Trade Return
+0.56%
Avg Hold Time
6.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$199,647.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$477.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$477.38
Gross Return
+3.93%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SCHW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 259 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $12,156.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2025 9:55am ET $85.79 141 $12,096.39
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2025 2:35pm ET $90.10 141 $12,704.10 $12,764.30 +$607.71
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $95.20 134 $12,756.80
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 9:30am ET $96.82 134 $12,973.88 $12,981.38 +$217.08
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET $94.10 137 $12,891.70
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2025 11:40am ET $91.28 137 $12,504.68 $12,594.35 $-387.02
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:00am ET $102.99 122 $12,564.78
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:15am ET $99.24 122 $12,107.28 $12,136.85 $-457.50
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 10:30am ET $94.49 128 $12,094.72
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:15am ET $91.58 128 $11,722.88 $11,765.01 $-371.84
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:25am ET $91.12 129 $11,754.48
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $96.00 129 $12,384.64 $12,395.17 +$630.16
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $94.44 131 $12,372.29
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $99.55 131 $13,041.05 $13,063.93 +$668.76
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $96.69 135 $13,053.82
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:30pm ET $93.51 135 $12,623.85 $12,633.96 $-429.97
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,633.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,633.96
Total Return: +26.34%
Back to Danny Dip