Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 12:30:28

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.1/35
Total Return
1.7/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 7.6/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 5.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
33,825
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,154.89
Current Value
$10,058.76
Period P&L
$-96.11
Max Drawdown
-24.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
6 / 8
Best Trade
+6.80%
Worst Trade
-6.61%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
6.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$257,935.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-96.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$-96.11
Gross Return
-0.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,154.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 10:15am ET $315.34 32 $10,090.88
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 9:50am ET $305.53 32 $9,777.04 $9,841.04 $-313.84
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 9:55am ET $284.98 34 $9,689.32
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 9:30am ET $266.15 34 $9,049.19 $9,200.91 $-640.14
(-6.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 9:40am ET $257.36 35 $9,007.60
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 3:30pm ET $249.46 35 $8,731.10 $8,924.41 $-276.50
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 10:35am ET $239.98 37 $8,879.26
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 9:30am ET $256.31 37 $9,483.29 $9,528.43 +$604.03
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2025 3:30pm ET $299.06 31 $9,270.86
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 9:45am ET $314.36 31 $9,745.01 $10,002.58 +$474.15
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 9:40am ET $344.54 29 $9,991.66
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 9:35am ET $334.03 29 $9,686.87 $9,697.79 $-304.79
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 10:25am ET $345.84 28 $9,683.52
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 9:45am ET $335.06 28 $9,381.54 $9,395.81 $-301.98
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:45am ET $323.53 29 $9,382.37
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:40am ET $311.37 29 $9,029.59 $9,043.02 $-352.78
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:25am ET $340.05 26 $8,841.30
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET $328.11 26 $8,530.86 $8,732.58 $-310.44
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $289.19 30 $8,675.70
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:25pm ET $280.12 30 $8,403.69 $8,460.57 $-272.01
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:05am ET $274.91 30 $8,247.30
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET $292.65 30 $8,779.50 $8,992.77 +$532.20
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET $285.61 31 $8,854.06
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 10:50am ET $287.87 31 $8,923.97 $9,062.68 +$69.91
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $345.62 26 $8,986.12
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:45am ET $362.95 26 $9,436.70 $9,513.26 +$450.58
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
14 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:20am ET $376.64 25 $9,416.00
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:45am ET $398.46 25 $9,961.50 $10,058.76 +$545.50
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,058.76
Net Profit/Loss: +$58.76
Total Return: +0.59%
Back to Danny Dip