Compendium › Danny Dip › VRTX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VRTX
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-07 to present • 5 trades in period

-0.25%
Last Year Return
$9,474.65
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$9,498.80
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:19:18

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 56%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 7.6/100
× Confidence 0.56 = 4.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (56%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,680
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
253 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,498.80
Current Value
$9,474.65
Period P&L
$-24.15
Max Drawdown
-20.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+5.08%
Worst Trade
-3.91%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$95,249.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-24.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$-24.15
Gross Return
-0.25%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 253 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,498.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 9:35am ET $426.30 22 $9,378.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 3:50pm ET $447.97 22 $9,855.34 $9,975.54 +$476.74
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12.3d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 9:30am ET $401.31 24 $9,631.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 10:25am ET $385.61 24 $9,254.64 $9,598.74 $-376.80
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
54m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $410.62 23 $9,444.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 11:10am ET $431.39 23 $9,921.97 $10,076.45 +$477.71
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET $484.64 20 $9,692.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:45am ET $468.80 20 $9,376.00 $9,759.65 $-316.80
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:05am ET $474.48 20 $9,489.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:10pm ET $460.23 20 $9,204.60 $9,474.65 $-285.00
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,474.65
Net Profit/Loss: $-525.35
Total Return: -5.25%
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