Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:14:58

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.5/35
Total Return
17.4/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 39.7/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 38.6

30-Day Momentum

39
+20.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 63.8 Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$18,610.30
Current Value
$22,459.88
Period P&L
$3,849.55
Max Drawdown
-37.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
5 / 6
Best Trade
+22.16%
Worst Trade
-6.71%
Avg Trade Return
+2.03%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$406,095.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,849.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,849.55
Gross Return
+20.69%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.69%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $18,610.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $200.92 92 $18,484.64
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $194.88 92 $17,928.96 $18,054.65 $-555.68
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $205.08 88 $18,047.04
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $198.82 88 $17,496.16 $17,503.77 $-550.88
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $191.43 91 $17,419.68
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 1:00pm ET $201.13 91 $18,302.56 $18,386.65 +$882.88
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $195.43 94 $18,370.42
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $189.15 94 $17,779.63 $17,795.86 $-590.79
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET $198.49 89 $17,665.61
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $211.51 89 $18,823.95 $18,954.19 +$1,158.33
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:15am ET $213.72 88 $18,807.36
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 11:20am ET $207.07 88 $18,222.16 $18,368.99 $-585.20
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET $200.43 91 $18,239.13
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $193.90 91 $17,645.35 $17,775.22 $-593.77
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $204.05 87 $17,752.35
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 11:20am ET $214.54 87 $18,664.55 $18,687.42 +$912.20
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:20am ET $275.30 67 $18,445.10
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $291.27 67 $19,515.09 $19,757.41 +$1,069.99
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $334.30 59 $19,723.99
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $311.88 59 $18,400.63 $18,434.04 $-1,323.37
(-6.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
11 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:40am ET $349.38 52 $18,167.76
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $426.80 52 $22,193.60 $22,459.88 +$4,025.84
(+22.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,459.88
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,459.88
Total Return: +124.60%
Back to Danny Dip